NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	97		Excitement	9.4 [114]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +35.4%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	5.6 [139]		LVP	George Hill (UTA): -16.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.19,-0.19,0.05,0.35	-0.04	0.40	0.01	29	51%	0.53	6	-0.17	17	76%	0.08
Enes Kanter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	9	64%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Victor Oladipo	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	11	75%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cameron Payne	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	10	41%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Domantas Sabonis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.23	0.23	0.03	0.22	0.01	17	46%	0.23	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	7	65%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	8	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	29%	-0.09
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	9	45%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	10	35%	-0.11	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	3.0	32.0	15.0	27.2	2.4	34.2	136.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +23.9%

OKC +4.2%

OKC +27.3%

UTA -5.6%

OKC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	14.5	16.0	14.8	102.1	101.1	107.7
season	14.0	16.1		107.0	108.0
opponent	15.0	15.1		105.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.8	12.3	16.6	17.1	14.5
UTA	18.0	14.4	16.1	15.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	57	58	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.46	18	-16	34	14.9	13.9	1.04	17.1	14.1	3.01
Steven Adams	75	73	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.48	7	-5	12	14.4	15.0	-0.68	15.7	17.0	-1.39
Andre Roberson	61	62	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.49	6	-4	10	14.7	14.2	0.44	16.0	15.8	0.19
Russell Westbrook	74	73	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	-2	6	14.1	15.8	-1.66	15.7	16.8	-1.08
Enes Kanter	60	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	0	2	14.1	15.1	-0.99	15.3	17.1	-1.83
Alex Abrines	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.29	-6	8	-14	13.2	15.1	-1.93	13.7	17.0	-3.25
Domantas Sabonis	32	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	1	0	14.2	14.7	-0.50	18.7	14.4	4.29
Joffrey Lauvergne	22	21	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.03	-5	7	-12	16.7	13.8	2.88	15.2	16.2	-0.94
Cameron Payne	26	25	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.06	-11	13	-24	15.7	14.1	1.62	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Jerami Grant	39	36	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.22	-6	8	-14	14.4	14.6	-0.14	15.9	16.0	-0.04

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	30	31	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.02	14	-16	30	15.2	16.3	-1.18	15.9	13.8	2.06
Dante Exum	30	29	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.01	14	-16	30	14.6	16.6	-1.96	14.6	14.5	0.10
Trey Lyles	31	33	0.40	-0.90	1.30	-0.01	14	-16	30	15.5	16.2	-0.67	16.2	13.6	2.60
Joe Ingles	45	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	4	-10	16.4	15.6	0.74	13.5	15.4	-1.89
Derrick Favors	51	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.30	1	-3	4	16.5	15.3	1.23	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Boris Diaw	32	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	9	-20	16.3	15.8	0.47	14.3	14.6	-0.33
Alec Burks	46	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.54	4	-6	10	15.2	16.7	-1.60	16.1	12.9	3.13
Rudy Gobert	73	72	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.45	-9	7	-16	15.8	16.4	-0.59	14.1	15.9	-1.84
George Hill	61	63	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.46	-13	11	-24	16.6	14.9	1.68	14.0	15.6	-1.58
Gordon Hayward	71	71	-0.96	0.46	-1.41	-0.43	-18	16	-34	16.4	14.5	1.91	13.9	16.5	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.69,0.81,0.67,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 101, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.72,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.16,0	90.3%
IND 106, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.91,0.79,0.59,0.46,0.25,0.45,0.33,0.08,0	89.6%
TOR 89, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.42,0	89.2%