NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	111		Excitement	7.7 [326]		MVP	James Johnson (MIA): +36.7%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.4 [304]		LVP	Dante Exum (UTA): -16.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.37,0.37	0.17	0.19	-0.00	15	80%	0.41	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.04	-0.02	9	85%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.11	0.04	0.08	0.01	21	55%	0.19	2	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Rodney McGruder	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Willie Reed	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hassan Whiteside	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Josh McRoberts	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	11	33%	-0.06	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.11	0.00	8	94%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.07	0.00	9	90%	0.33	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	86%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.01	0.00	8	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.3,-0.04	-0.04	0.18	-0.20	0.02	22	64%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	25.6	15.5	26.2	2.4	30.8	127.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -1.5%

MIA +3.2%

MIA +22.6%

MIA +14.1%

MIA +11.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	UTA	NBA	MIA	UTA	NBA
this game	16.6	16.7	14.8	127.6	127.9	107.7
season	15.4	16.1		106.7	108.0
opponent	15.0	14.5		105.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.6	16.4	16.4	16.2	16.6
UTA	18.4	17.1	15.6	15.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney McGruder	66	64	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.37	15	-14	29	15.8	19.1	-3.31	17.7	13.8	3.88
James Johnson	45	46	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.36	9	-8	17	15.2	18.2	-3.06	16.5	16.8	-0.35
Hassan Whiteside	67	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.45	-1	2	-3	17.0	15.3	1.73	16.2	18.0	-1.83
Goran Dragic	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	2	-3	17.6	13.9	3.76	16.5	17.3	-0.82
Tyler Johnson	57	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	5	-9	16.3	17.3	-0.97	15.8	18.2	-2.43
Willie Reed	20	21	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	-1	3	15.3	17.0	-1.73	18.0	16.2	1.83
Wayne Ellington	61	62	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	6	-11	16.3	17.3	-0.96	16.1	18.2	-2.14
Luke Babbitt	13	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	3	-5	18.6	16.3	2.33	19.4	16.2	3.21
Josh McRoberts	42	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.11	-8	9	-17	18.2	15.2	3.06	16.8	16.5	0.35

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	60	61	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.49	15	-16	31	15.5	19.3	-3.79	16.7	16.4	0.35
Joe Johnson	57	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-11	21	16.8	16.4	0.43	16.9	15.9	1.01
Dante Exum	33	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	5	-11	17.3	16.3	1.04	16.6	16.6	-0.04
Boris Diaw	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	6	-13	18.3	16.0	2.30	17.3	16.4	0.85
Jeff Withey	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.12	-3	2	-5	17.4	16.4	0.99	14.5	17.4	-2.94
Trey Lyles	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	3	-7	16.6	16.7	-0.15	16.9	16.4	0.47
Rudy Gobert	62	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.35	2	-3	5	16.4	17.4	-0.99	17.4	14.5	2.94
Joe Ingles	43	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-2	3	16.0	17.3	-1.37	15.3	17.8	-2.51
Gordon Hayward	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	0	-1	16.9	15.6	1.29	17.0	15.0	2.00
Raul Neto	13	13	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	11	-23	18.0	16.4	1.58	15.1	16.9	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.33,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.32,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 86, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.1,0.23,0.26,0	92.6%
CHA 98, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0,0	92.3%
HOU 99, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0,0	92.2%