NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	91		Excitement	7.3 [390]		MVP	Bismack Biyombo (TOR): +13.0%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	1.3 [1092]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -26.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11	0.12	-0.00	0.01	10	74%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	8	55%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Otto Porter	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	14	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jarell Eddie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	15	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
John Wall	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.26	-0.10	-0.14	0.02	23	38%	-0.20	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.06

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	3	80%	0.15	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	24	54%	0.18	3	-0.07	15	100%	0.11
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	12	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	31%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	10	28%	-0.12	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.06
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.22,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	0.02	-0.01	12	38%	0.01	6	-0.15	5	100%	0.07
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	32.1	15.4	27.3	1.8	42.2	145.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -0.3%

TOR +35.8%

TOR +26.4%

WAS -18.8%

TOR +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	12.7	16.7	14.9	92.9	95.9	105.1
season	13.8	16.1		104.1	107.2
opponent	14.8	15.1		104.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.5	13.8	12.1	12.4	12.7
TOR	17.3	15.6	17.4	16.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	59	62	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.13	6	-9	15	12.7	12.8	-0.09	18.3	13.8	4.53
Jarell Eddie	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	0	-3	15.0	12.4	2.57	16.2	16.7	-0.53
Kelly Oubre	29	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-2	1	12.5	12.8	-0.28	15.2	17.4	-2.16
Kris Humphries	28	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	3	-9	12.8	12.7	0.15	14.3	17.6	-3.33
Marcin Gortat	70	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-6	9	12.7	12.8	-0.15	17.6	14.3	3.33
Jared Dudley	75	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-1	-1	12.5	13.3	-0.83	16.7	16.7	-0.05
Otto Porter	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	1	-5	12.6	13.2	-0.60	17.2	15.2	2.00
John Wall	84	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	1	-5	12.5	13.9	-1.42	16.7	16.3	0.43
Ramon Sessions	60	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	1	-5	13.1	12.1	1.08	15.1	19.1	-3.99

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	58	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	0	3	14.6	19.6	-4.99	13.3	11.8	1.57
Terrence Ross	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	-7	17	15.6	18.5	-2.96	12.9	12.5	0.41
Cory Joseph	51	50	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.38	2	1	1	15.5	18.0	-2.47	13.1	12.3	0.75
DeMar DeRozan	75	75	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	2	-1	16.7	16.6	0.14	12.2	14.5	-2.30
Kyle Lowry	70	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	3	-3	17.1	15.7	1.39	12.6	13.1	-0.50
Luis Scola	42	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	-7	17	18.1	15.6	2.49	13.0	12.5	0.48
Patrick Patterson	42	44	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	5	-7	15.8	17.3	-1.47	12.7	12.7	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	51	51	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.36	-9	12	-21	18.1	15.1	3.01	12.9	12.5	0.43
Jonas Valanciunas	40	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	3	-3	19.6	14.6	4.99	11.8	13.3	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.96,0.97,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.5%
BOS 97, NJN 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.77,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,1,1,0.99,1	93.4%
CHA 91, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.95,1,0.99,1,1	93.3%