inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 110 Excitement8.2 [220] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +53.2%
Boston Celtics 107 Comeback6.0 [197] LVPEvan Turner (BOS): -11.3%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.530,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.530.300.250.021780%0.5300.001090%0.04
Patrick Patterson0.210,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.21,0.210.110.09-0.00887%0.231-0.0200%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.18-0.050.22-0.012541%0.232-0.05683%0.03
Lou Williams0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.080.011052%0.1000.001100%0.00
Charles Hayes0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.020.001100%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Greg Stiemsma0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.012100%0.061-0.042100%0.01
James Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0-0.030.03-0.00933%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00844%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.01250%-0.001-0.03450%-0.02
Terrence Ross-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02520%-0.041-0.0100%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.090.07-0.011175%0.222-0.052100%0.01
Jared Sullinger0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.030.011361%0.1200.005100%0.03
Jeff Green0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.040.040.02-0.04-0.051662%0.184-0.1400%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.030.03-0.010.050.01865%0.155-0.13475%0.04
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.01350%0.051-0.042100%0.02
Tyler Zeller00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.01-0.02343%0.042-0.051100%0.01
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.13,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.050.01963%0.264-0.321100%0.01
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.050.001355%0.074-0.143100%0.03
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.03-0.02250%-0.005-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.02.526.515.425.21.630.4128.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +17.1%
BOS -11.2%
BOS -36.0%
TOR +81.7%
BOS -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORBOSNBATORBOSNBA
this game15.814.315.1115.8111.5104.2
season15.614.3109.1103.1
opponent15.415.0103.3106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR17.815.214.216.215.8
BOS12.814.215.115.114.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Johnson45460.61-0.110.720.3210-71714.916.7-1.7514.014.6-0.56
Greivis Vasquez41420.59-0.090.680.3010-71715.216.3-1.1614.114.5-0.42
Kyle Lowry71720.480.020.460.364-1516.214.71.4513.716.3-2.67
Tyler Hansbrough45460.310.190.120.37-25-716.715.11.5913.914.8-0.89
Charles Hayes25250.260.240.020.144-1515.216.1-0.8614.514.30.25
DeMar DeRozan77760.260.240.010.29-14-516.413.43.0114.712.81.94
Lou Williams48490.150.35-0.210.1503-314.816.9-2.1414.414.30.15
Patrick Patterson5152-0.010.51-0.510.20-710-1716.714.81.9314.314.4-0.10
Greg Stiemsma2525-0.070.57-0.64-0.1012-115.016.1-1.1815.014.10.90
Terrence Ross4747-0.080.58-0.660.04-47-1115.915.70.1615.213.51.64

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Zeller1010-0.09-0.410.310.11-74-1117.114.03.0915.215.9-0.71
Kelly Olynyk6967-0.13-0.370.25-0.368-111914.414.30.1015.915.60.27
Marcus Smart4545-0.20-0.300.10-0.14-2-1-113.615.0-1.3816.215.50.70
Rajon Rondo7170-0.20-0.300.09-0.479-122114.713.41.2616.713.33.46
Marcus Thornton3332-0.23-0.270.040.01-85-1313.914.6-0.6914.016.8-2.81
Avery Bradley5253-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.434-71114.913.61.2916.315.30.98
Jeff Green6869-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.29-1-2114.513.80.7216.813.33.53
Brandon Bass2928-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-1512-2712.815.0-2.1613.716.7-3.05
Evan Turner2927-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.04-107-1713.414.7-1.3212.317.2-4.94
Jared Sullinger7474-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.557-101714.613.41.2016.513.62.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 106, NYK 900.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,090.9%
SAS 113, DEN 1120.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.26,090.3%
OKC 96, DET 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.09,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.04,090.2%