NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	6.8 [440]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +22.4%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	1.0 [1099]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -17.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Price	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.00	17	63%	0.19	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Singleton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	10	65%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	48%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Cartier Martin	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.1,-0.17	-0.01	-0.18	-0.02	21	46%	-0.14	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.08	0.01	9	86%	0.25	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.03
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.12	-0.02	8	59%	0.18	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	16	53%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	12	63%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.03	-0.03	8	56%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.12	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	26.2	15.6	27.0	1.8	35.0	132.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +42.1%

CHI +12.9%

CHI +16.6%

WAS -21.3%

WAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	17.9	15.4	102.2	106.7	104.1
season	15.1	16.6		98.8	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.3	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	12.7	15.4	14.3	14.3
CHI	15.7	18.0	19.8	18.4	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jan Vesely	33	32	0.31	-0.81	1.11	-0.25	19	-22	41	13.8	14.6	-0.73	18.2	17.7	0.47
Chris Singleton	55	55	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.39	18	-21	39	14.6	13.9	0.65	18.7	16.6	2.06
Jason Collins	31	32	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.26	11	-14	25	15.0	13.9	1.10	17.0	18.4	-1.43
A.J. Price	56	56	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.60	21	-24	45	14.0	14.8	-0.78	18.0	17.8	0.21
Cartier Martin	18	17	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.27	-22	19	-41	13.9	14.4	-0.53	16.8	18.1	-1.32
Garrett Temple	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	6	-15	14.4	14.1	0.29	17.7	18.5	-0.77
Kevin Seraphin	59	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	11	-25	13.9	15.0	-1.10	18.4	17.0	1.43
John Wall	73	71	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.25	-17	14	-31	14.4	14.0	0.38	17.6	18.8	-1.19
Trevor Booker	57	57	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.16	-22	19	-41	14.6	13.8	0.73	17.7	18.2	-0.47

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	48	48	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.17	18	-15	33	16.5	19.5	-3.01	14.9	13.6	1.34
Luol Deng	50	52	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.04	20	-17	37	18.5	17.1	1.35	13.9	14.8	-0.92
Carlos Boozer	72	74	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-10	23	17.4	19.9	-2.47	14.3	14.6	-0.31
Jimmy Butler	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	1	1	17.8	18.7	-0.92	14.7	11.5	3.25
Nazr Mohammed	41	41	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.21	21	-18	39	18.4	17.5	0.93	14.3	14.3	-0.08
Taj Gibson	40	41	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.48	-15	18	-33	17.9	17.8	0.11	13.5	15.0	-1.56
Richard Hamilton	24	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	6	-9	16.5	18.4	-1.84	12.2	15.1	-2.87
Marco Belinelli	25	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.30	-13	16	-29	18.3	17.7	0.60	16.0	13.7	2.30
Joakim Noah	25	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.30	-13	16	-29	18.3	17.7	0.60	16.0	13.7	2.30
Nate Robinson	41	42	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.24	-15	18	-33	19.5	16.5	3.01	13.6	14.9	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 84, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.83,1	91.5%
MEM 96, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.78,0.85,1	91.4%
GSW 87, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.62,0.78,0.86,0.87,1	91.4%