inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 113 Excitement7.8 [272] MVPAnthony Davis (NOH): +29.0%
Milwaukee Bucks 117 Comeback2.0 [803] LVPGreivis Vasquez (NOH): -23.8%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.3,0.290.170.130.001380%0.374-0.08989%0.04
Roger Mason Jr.0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.040.07-0.00862%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Jason Smith0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.04-0.00467%0.0900.004100%0.02
Robin Lopez0.060,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.024100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Darius Miller0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ryan Anderson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.010.05-0.020.021662%0.153-0.1400%0.00
Austin Rivers0.000,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01260%0.042-0.046100%0.03
Brian Roberts-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.02-0.01567%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.03-0.090.01764%0.044-0.1600%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.240,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24-0.08-0.160.001639%-0.133-0.101100%0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.290.290.090.210.011658%0.2900.006100%0.05
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.110.070.011663%0.211-0.04367%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.02-0.001261%0.1200.00475%-0.01
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.02-0.01956%0.112-0.0700%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.001065%0.103-0.073100%0.02
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.050.06-0.00657%0.144-0.122100%0.02
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.021050%0.0100.0000%0.00
John Henson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ekpe Udoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Larry Sanders0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06-0.06-0.080.01-0.01525%-0.021-0.04633%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.326.515.724.01.836.2131.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +30.4%
NOH -15.9%
MIL +10.6%
MIL +23.7%
MIL +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHMILNBANOHMILNBA
this game15.613.915.4116.5119.4104.1
season16.314.7103.9101.6
opponent15.315.6103.9108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH15.314.216.916.115.6
MIL14.115.213.113.313.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Smith34350.22-0.720.93-0.1613-173013.316.9-3.5314.613.61.04
Brian Roberts30300.08-0.580.67-0.065-91413.016.8-3.8414.413.70.68
Robin Lopez3536-0.05-0.450.390.04-3-1-217.314.62.7014.913.41.56
Al-Farouq Aminu6364-0.20-0.300.10-0.324-81216.414.12.3114.013.90.07
Austin Rivers4242-0.23-0.270.040.09-117-1817.014.62.4414.713.31.37
Darius Miller3434-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.06-84-1214.116.4-2.3113.914.0-0.07
Greivis Vasquez5961-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.371-5617.013.53.4413.914.0-0.07
Ryan Anderson6363-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.39-1-3214.717.4-2.7213.414.9-1.53
Roger Mason Jr.6363-0.510.01-0.52-0.42-3-1-214.717.3-2.6313.215.2-2.02
Anthony Davis6262-0.740.24-0.98-0.24-1713-3016.913.43.4713.514.6-1.08

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Jennings81810.71-0.210.920.3911-71813.814.5-0.7316.511.35.16
Ekpe Udoh49460.440.060.390.3340414.213.70.5514.816.4-1.63
Tobias Harris33330.270.230.040.038-41213.114.4-1.2618.214.33.84
Larry Sanders45430.260.240.030.44-610-1614.013.80.2114.316.6-2.28
Marquis Daniels16170.260.240.02-0.0310-61613.614.0-0.4414.215.9-1.75
Mike Dunleavy65640.230.27-0.040.35-48-1214.413.11.2614.318.2-3.84
John Henson15140.210.29-0.08-0.069-51414.913.81.1115.615.6-0.06
Beno Udrih30290.060.44-0.390.12-26-814.013.90.0513.616.5-2.95
Ersan Ilyasova49510.060.44-0.390.0604-413.714.2-0.5516.414.81.63
Samuel Dalembert38400.030.47-0.45-0.0013-213.414.2-0.8317.014.62.35
Monta Ellis6967-0.030.53-0.550.30-1115-2614.113.40.7315.915.10.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.52,0.5,0.34,0.53,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.98,0.78,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 93, POR 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.92,191.9%
WAS 91, TOR 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.95,0.99,1,191.5%
PHX 107, DET 1180.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,191.3%