NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	112		Excitement	9.4 [99]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +58.5%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	3.5 [392]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): -17.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.11	-0.00	4	80%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.06
Brian Cook	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.03	12	70%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	16	48%	0.14	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Keith Bogans	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.03	0.02	8	89%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,0.05	-0.14	0.16	-0.03	18	32%	0.15	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,-0.02,-0.18	0.02	-0.20	-0.01	15	53%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.59	0.59	0.04	0.54	-0.00	13	58%	0.60	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.16	0.00	9	75%	0.26	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	16	57%	0.15	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	14	54%	0.12	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.03
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17	-0.17	0.00	-0.14	0.03	18	57%	-0.03	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	0.3	29.4	15.5	27.2	1.8	36.0	138.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +57.3%

ORL -16.5%

PHX +4.5%

ORL -3.5%

PHX +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.5	117.9	118.9	106.4
season	15.3	14.1		107.3	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.8		109.9	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.9	14.4	16.3	14.5	14.8
PHX	14.9	14.4	14.3	19.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	33	32	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-4	7	13.9	15.2	-1.27	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Brian Cook	14	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-5	9	13.9	14.9	-1.07	18.5	15.0	3.47
Marcin Gortat	25	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.43	11	-12	23	13.6	15.2	-1.53	18.3	14.6	3.67
Tony Battie	31	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	1	-3	16.2	14.1	2.12	14.6	16.0	-1.34
Courtney Lee	44	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.40	7	-8	15	14.1	15.3	-1.22	17.3	14.1	3.12
Keith Bogans	64	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	5	-11	15.0	14.3	0.76	14.2	18.5	-4.36
Dwight Howard	46	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	14	-29	14.5	15.0	-0.44	14.8	16.3	-1.50
Rashard Lewis	78	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	0	-1	14.6	15.5	-0.93	15.1	17.8	-2.77
Hedo Turkoglu	78	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	1	-3	15.2	12.8	2.37	15.7	15.1	0.61
Jameer Nelson	62	63	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	3	-7	15.2	13.9	1.27	15.6	15.4	0.21

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	70	70	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-15	31	15.2	16.4	-1.16	15.3	13.2	2.13
Grant Hill	69	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.57	0	1	-1	14.2	19.1	-4.86	14.9	14.4	0.50
Matt Barnes	67	67	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	-4	9	15.9	14.7	1.23	15.1	14.0	1.09
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	84	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	-5	11	15.1	18.5	-3.38	14.9	13.9	0.97
Jason Richardson	64	65	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.43	-4	5	-9	16.5	13.6	2.92	14.4	15.5	-1.07
Robin Lopez	42	41	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-9	19	14.6	16.3	-1.75	15.5	14.2	1.27
Lou Amundson	37	37	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	6	-11	15.9	15.3	0.52	13.9	15.3	-1.35
Jared Dudley	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	7	-13	17.7	15.5	2.30	13.2	14.8	-1.59
Leandro Barbosa	39	39	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.16	-17	18	-35	17.7	14.1	3.64	13.5	15.7	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.9,0.87,0.7,0.71,0.57,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.72,0.81,0.72,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 104, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.71,0.57,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.9,0.97,0.85,0.57,0.72,1	91.0%
LAC 92, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.58,0.53,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.72,0.57,0.91,1	91.0%
ORL 84, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.84,1	90.3%