NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	80		Excitement	5.3 [720]		MVP	Juan Carlos Navarro (MEM): +19.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	98		Comeback	4.8 [347]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -19.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.00	8	74%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	-0.01	10	85%	0.17	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	6	57%	0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.05	-0.04	18	22%	-0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.06	-0.02	14	26%	-0.17	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.05	0.02	11	78%	0.22	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.05	0.02	11	58%	0.10	0	0.00	11	45%	-0.05
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	47%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	31%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	58%	0.07	5	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	34%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	26.2	15.6	25.2	2.5	29.4	126.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.7%

MEM +1.4%

MEM +0.9%

MEM +21.7%

CHA -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MEM	NBA	CHA	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.4	87.9	110.1	105.7
season	15.8	14.9		103.1	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		109.9	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.3	16.6	16.5	15.4	16.2
MEM	14.4	14.6	15.5	18.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermareo Davidson	13	12	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-21	24	15.9	16.3	-0.35	22.9	14.7	8.25
Earl Boykins	33	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-21	24	16.7	15.9	0.80	18.4	14.4	4.01
Jared Dudley	38	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-17	16	15.8	16.5	-0.74	17.1	14.8	2.33
Nazr Mohammed	32	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-16	14	17.4	15.6	1.83	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Ryan Hollins	14	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-13	8	15.3	16.4	-1.10	22.7	14.6	8.10
Derek Anderson	44	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-14	10	15.7	16.7	-1.04	17.5	14.3	3.18
Jason Richardson	71	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-5	-8	16.5	15.1	1.37	15.1	18.4	-3.35
Emeka Okafor	45	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-7	-4	15.7	16.8	-1.09	14.3	17.2	-2.84
Gerald Wallace	46	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-3	-12	16.7	15.7	0.96	14.0	17.5	-3.50
Matt Carroll	45	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	-1	-16	15.5	17.0	-1.49	14.6	17.0	-2.38
Raymond Felton	74	73	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	0.10	-28	10	-38	16.5	15.2	1.28	14.3	22.6	-8.27

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	55	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	1	16	14.4	18.0	-3.65	16.4	15.9	0.54
Mike Miller	57	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	-2	22	14.6	17.8	-3.18	16.7	15.4	1.33
Juan Carlos Navarro	66	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	4	10	14.7	18.9	-4.17	16.0	16.9	-0.91
Mike Conley	51	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	4	10	14.3	17.8	-3.47	16.5	15.8	0.74
Javaris Crittenton	54	56	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	8	2	15.8	15.7	0.05	16.0	16.5	-0.48
Rudy Gay	43	44	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.09	14	4	10	15.9	15.7	0.16	17.0	15.5	1.55
Kyle Lowry	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	14	-10	17.8	14.3	3.47	15.8	16.5	-0.74
Hakim Warrick	45	47	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	20	-22	16.7	14.9	1.80	15.9	16.5	-0.59
Kwame Brown	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	61.5	14.7	46.78	3.5	16.5	-13.01
Casey Jacobsen	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	61.5	14.7	46.78	3.5	16.5	-13.01
Jason Collins	32	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	14	-10	15.3	16.0	-0.72	16.7	16.0	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.0%
LAC 83, MIN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
CLE 99, CHA 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%