NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	3.8 [1064]		MVP	Jarvis Hayes (WAS): +14.0%
Atlanta Hawks	85		Comeback	1.4 [847]		LVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): -9.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.00	0.01	14	71%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	70%	0.15	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	4	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	5	55%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.07	16	69%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	2	17%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.05	7	22%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Darius Songaila	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelden Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	74%	0.07	4	-0.05	5	40%	-0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Esteban Batista	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	80%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	14	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	35%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	50%	-0.01	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	20	53%	0.04	5	-0.13	5	40%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	26.5	17.8	27.5	2.7	32.4	134.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +38.8%

WAS +1.7%

WAS +4.2%

WAS +5.9%

ATL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	17.2	15.9	15.4	112.6	97.7	104.5
season	14.8	16.1		107.8	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.3		106.1	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.7	15.9	18.5	17.7	17.2
ATL	19.3	16.8	14.2	13.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	63	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.19	26	-13	39	16.6	19.0	-2.37	16.9	13.1	3.84
Antonio Daniels	72	73	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	-8	29	16.7	19.6	-2.85	16.9	10.5	6.39
Antawn Jamison	58	58	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.09	20	-7	27	16.4	18.9	-2.53	17.2	13.1	4.14
Jarvis Hayes	74	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	4	5	17.6	15.5	2.09	15.5	17.7	-2.21
Etan Thomas	36	34	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	3	7	16.4	17.8	-1.41	18.4	14.2	4.19
Michael Ruffin	19	21	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.15	9	4	5	19.7	16.6	3.13	14.1	16.4	-2.33
Darius Songaila	40	41	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.32	-7	20	-27	17.6	17.0	0.62	14.7	16.9	-2.28
Andray Blatche	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	15	-17	18.9	16.3	2.63	13.1	17.4	-4.35
Brendan Haywood	17	17	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	13	-13	16.6	17.4	-0.81	16.0	15.8	0.17
Roger Mason Jr.	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	18.5	17.1	1.35	7.6	16.4	-8.77
Donell Taylor	19	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.28	-14	27	-41	18.5	16.9	1.58	12.2	16.9	-4.74

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	26	27	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.23	-7	-6	-1	15.3	16.1	-0.74	16.8	17.4	-0.62
Esteban Batista	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-21	29	8.7	16.4	-7.73	17.9	17.2	0.67
Lorenzen Wright	24	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-10	7	16.3	15.7	0.59	18.9	16.7	2.13
Anthony Johnson	63	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-14	15	16.0	15.6	0.33	16.4	19.3	-2.89
Royal Ivey	54	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-4	-5	15.1	17.1	-1.98	18.1	16.0	2.03
Marvin Williams	83	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-6	-1	15.9	16.0	-0.14	17.4	13.3	4.05
Shelden Williams	66	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-3	-7	15.5	16.9	-1.37	17.2	17.4	-0.27
Solomon Jones	52	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	1	-15	17.2	13.9	3.26	16.8	17.9	-1.08
Tyronn Lue	61	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.12	-24	11	-35	16.4	14.5	1.94	17.2	17.4	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 103, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
MIN 92, DAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%
WAS 113, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%