NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	5.9 [645]		MVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): +21.5%
Boston Celtics	89		Comeback	1.7 [798]		LVP	Delonte West (BOS): -14.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.12	0.01	12	61%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Corey Maggette	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.12	0.01	6	66%	0.23	1	-0.04	17	88%	0.07
Cuttino Mobley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	14	62%	0.17	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	21	57%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Daniel Ewing	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	48%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.02	16	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.08
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	3	100%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	14	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	13	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Allan Ray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	10	62%	0.01	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	8	35%	-0.00	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	29.0	16.8	24.2	1.8	36.2	134.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -6.8%

LAC +38.8%

LAC +7.1%

LAC +12.3%

BOS -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.4	111.1	98.9	104.5
season	15.7	15.5		103.3	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.2	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.9	15.7	19.6	16.0	16.4
BOS	16.4	15.6	16.4	14.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	44	45	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-5	21	15.3	17.5	-2.18	15.3	15.8	-0.56
Cuttino Mobley	83	83	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-6	23	16.6	15.0	1.55	15.7	13.6	2.16
Shaun Livingston	49	48	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-2	15	14.9	18.3	-3.46	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Tim Thomas	67	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	2	7	16.2	17.2	-1.05	14.9	17.4	-2.48
Elton Brand	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	-4	19	16.7	15.2	1.44	16.4	11.7	4.72
Sam Cassell	40	41	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.06	-1	12	-13	18.6	14.7	3.90	16.4	14.9	1.47
Chris Kaman	62	63	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	16	-21	17.0	15.2	1.82	15.3	16.1	-0.83
Quinton Ross	31	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.12	-9	20	-29	16.2	16.5	-0.32	15.0	15.9	-0.86

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	5.0	15.7	-10.69	5.0	16.6	-11.56
Allan Ray	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	9.3	15.8	-6.45	13.7	16.5	-2.86
Brian Scalabrine	50	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-11	11	16.0	15.0	1.02	17.9	14.7	3.13
Sebastian Telfair	10	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-8	5	15.2	15.6	-0.41	13.7	16.8	-3.08
Delonte West	70	69	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-8	5	15.4	16.0	-0.62	17.4	13.3	4.11
Al Jefferson	67	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-6	1	15.8	15.0	0.76	17.5	13.4	4.11
Gerald Green	27	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-3	-5	14.8	15.9	-1.13	14.4	17.4	-3.01
Ryan Gomes	75	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-5	-1	16.0	13.4	2.60	17.1	13.6	3.44
Kendrick Perkins	23	25	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-1	-9	16.7	15.2	1.52	13.0	17.8	-4.75
Rajon Rondo	80	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-3	-5	15.6	15.2	0.41	16.8	13.7	3.08
Wally Szczerbiak	44	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	2	-15	14.8	16.3	-1.51	14.4	18.5	-4.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.24,0.37,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.0%
NJN 112, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.11,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	92.7%
MIN 98, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.27,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0	92.7%