inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 106 Excitement9.6 [101] MVPScott Padgett (NJN): +45.9%
New Jersey Nets 115 Comeback28.5 [61] LVPClifford Robinson (NJN): -10.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Miller0.210,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.210.030.11-0.061756%0.273-0.065100%0.07
DerMarr Johnson0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.140.080.07-0.001070%0.192-0.04333%-0.03
Carmelo Anthony0.130,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13-0.110.18-0.052337%0.222-0.09887%0.05
Earl Watson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.090.010.041367%0.112-0.051100%0.00
Eduardo Najera0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.001100%0.091-0.064100%0.06
Greg Buckner0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.012100%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Linas Kleiza0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.04540%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.021744%0.072-0.112100%0.03

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.460.460.130.32-0.00894%0.481-0.0200%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.110.150.011460%0.281-0.03771%-0.07
Jason Kidd0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.20.20-0.010.20-0.011356%0.263-0.051100%0.01
Nenad Krstic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.030.011071%0.174-0.12475%-0.01
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.08-0.15-0.062557%0.064-0.071090%0.04
Jason Collins0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01430%-0.011-0.04250%-0.01
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.040.04640%-0.0800.00367%-0.01
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.0230%-0.062-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.02.725.715.025.22.537.21.517.8150.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NJN +18.4%
DEN -7.6%
NJN +21.1%
NJN +4.1%
NJN +14.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENNJNNBADENNJNNBA
this game14.616.015.6101.0111.7104.4
season14.415.7103.5102.1
opponent15.715.9100.9103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN15.512.317.113.714.514.6
NJN12.216.514.820.617.216.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DerMarr Johnson50490.06-0.560.63-0.2611-203113.415.7-2.3117.814.33.42
Linas Kleiza210.00-0.500.50-0.093-12152.514.9-12.3624.015.98.12
Eduardo Najera7572-0.13-0.370.23-0.316-152114.515.0-0.5216.814.12.67
Greg Buckner2526-0.29-0.21-0.090.15-156-2115.514.41.1211.917.3-5.40
Carmelo Anthony8182-0.33-0.17-0.150.11-156-2115.212.62.6015.617.2-1.54
Francisco Elson5757-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.07-101-1115.513.61.8116.215.60.64
Earl Watson7674-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.556-152114.016.3-2.2816.315.01.29
Kenyon Martin7371-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.05-145-1914.415.2-0.7614.818.5-3.64
Andre Miller8683-0.610.11-0.71-0.11-178-2515.112.32.8216.115.20.88

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nenad Krstic84880.69-0.190.880.1917-82515.517.9-2.4415.012.92.01
Richard Jefferson73760.68-0.180.860.0721-123315.517.0-1.5114.814.20.63
Jason Kidd83850.66-0.160.810.1318-92715.816.5-0.7314.415.7-1.32
Vince Carter89890.430.070.370.0214-51915.618.2-2.6114.913.01.92
Scott Padgett36370.320.180.130.2918-718.714.54.2914.614.6-0.05
Jason Collins60610.260.240.01-0.1514-51914.717.7-2.9414.614.7-0.09
Jacque Vaughn39390.200.30-0.100.2009-918.014.73.2814.314.8-0.59
Lamond Murray1213-0.180.68-0.860.11-1019-2915.316.0-0.7114.214.7-0.45
Clifford Robinson2221-0.210.71-0.920.20-1423-3716.515.80.6914.414.7-0.31
Jeff McInnis1716-0.350.85-1.190.12-1625-4116.115.90.1913.514.8-1.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.66,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.34,0.05,0.46,0.62,0.85,0.94,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 119, DAL 1280.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.98,187.8%
SEA 116, ATL 1190.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.8,0.71,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,187.2%
BOS 104, CLE 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.38,0.51,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.17,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.91,187.1%