NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	137		Excitement	11.2 [24]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK): +35.8%
New York Knicks	134		Comeback	2.6 [77]		LVP	Landry Shamet (NYK): -15.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quenton Jackson	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.32	0.17	0.15	0.00	7	95%	0.34	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.12	0.05	16	71%	0.26	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	9	68%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.02	0.09	-0.03	10	50%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.00	0.00	5	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.01	9	53%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	26	48%	0.09	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.07
Kam Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Micah Potter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.09	-0.02	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	-0.03	0.38	-0.00	17	55%	0.57	5	-0.21	6	83%	0.21
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.10	0.02	15	69%	0.26	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Ariel Hukporti	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	4	78%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	8	75%	0.18	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Mohamed Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Kolek	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.16,0.06,0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.04	-0.04	0.17	-0.18	0.03	31	57%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.04
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.15	0.08	-0.17	0.06	14	55%	-0.15	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	31.3	15.5	27.4	1.3	39.8	1.7	19.9	161.7
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.2	32.8	2.2	16.6	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +80.7%

NYK -54.2%

IND +5.4%

IND +16.9%

IND +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	14.2	120.2	118.6	113.5
season	13.9	14.9		107.6	118.0
opponent	14.0	14.2		112.0	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	13.7	13.3	13.4	14.8	13.5	13.7
NYK	15.0	13.8	14.3	14.8	12.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Brown	89	91	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-8	19	14.1	12.3	1.87	14.4	13.7	0.65
Ben Sheppard	83	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-6	15	13.8	13.5	0.30	14.5	13.5	0.96
Pascal Siakam	114	113	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	13.7	0.0	13.74	14.2	0.0	14.25
Quenton Jackson	82	84	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	2	-1	14.2	12.5	1.76	13.8	15.4	-1.57
Andrew Nembhard	101	101	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	1	1	13.9	12.3	1.61	14.0	15.9	-1.87
Aaron Nesmith	101	101	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	1	1	13.9	12.3	1.61	14.0	15.9	-1.87
Jay Huff	87	89	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	-6	15	14.2	12.3	1.84	14.9	11.9	2.96
Micah Potter	97	97	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	3	-3	13.8	13.4	0.45	14.3	13.7	0.58
T.J. McConnell	68	68	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-7	17	13.7	13.7	-0.00	14.6	13.7	0.89
Kam Jones	70	71	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	-1	5	14.2	13.0	1.13	14.7	13.5	1.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	86	87	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-5	7	14.3	13.9	0.42	14.3	11.8	2.57
Jordan Clarkson	71	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	5	-13	14.4	14.0	0.39	13.5	14.1	-0.54
Landry Shamet	104	105	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-3	3	14.1	15.6	-1.42	13.9	12.0	1.89
Tyler Kolek	10	11	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.35	-1	-2	1	13.2	14.3	-1.15	14.6	13.6	1.00
Mikal Bridges	107	108	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-2	1	14.3	13.5	0.79	13.8	13.2	0.60
Jose Alvarado	76	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	11	-25	14.9	12.9	2.02	14.0	13.2	0.87
Josh Hart	113	114	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.2	0.0	14.25	13.7	0.0	13.74
Jalen Brunson	113	113	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	0	-3	14.2	0.0	14.25	13.8	4.0	9.82
Ariel Hukporti	106	105	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	7	-17	14.4	12.3	2.09	14.1	9.8	4.30
Mohamed Diawara	90	91	-1.06	0.56	-1.63	-0.65	-14	11	-25	14.7	12.5	2.22	14.1	12.3	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.5,0.45,0.22,0.14,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 112, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.14,0.13,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.08,0	89.2%
TOR 95, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.09,0,0	89.1%
CHA 95, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.16,0.13,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.03,0,0	89.1%