inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 110 Excitement11.2 [25] MVPWendell Carter Jr. (ORL): +53.7%
Los Angeles Lakers 109 Comeback6.2 [96] LVPAnthony Black (ORL): -11.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.0.540,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.540.130.410.001371%0.571-0.032100%0.02
Desmond Bane0.430,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.430.060.370.001955%0.461-0.042100%0.01
Tristan da Silva0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.060.01972%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Paolo Banchero0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.21,0.13,0.24,0.060.14-0.070.012265%0.234-0.181191%-0.02
Jase Richardson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonathan Isaac-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.02-0.00337%0.001-0.02250%-0.02
Moritz Wagner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00633%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jett Howard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00533%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Jevon Carter-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Anthony Black-0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.120.00-0.001327%-0.052-0.0640%-0.10

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.170.170.040.150.021370%0.305-0.13475%-0.03
Deandre Ayton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.130.020.011178%0.212-0.075100%0.02
Austin Reaves0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.120.120.010.120.001650%0.172-0.054100%0.02
Rui Hachimura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.25,0.25,0.120.120.070.050.00771%0.1200.0000%0.00
Luke Kennard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.010.00475%0.0600.00475%-0.01
Jake LaRavia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.060.00437%0.0600.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.03-0.00250%0.0400.00250%-0.02
Jarred Vanderbilt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Luka Don?i?0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.1,0.06,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.04-0.022439%-0.072-0.04944%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.30.329.114.330.11.233.9137.4
league avg26.32.029.014.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +41.2%
LAL -9.5%
LAL -7.9%
LAL -4.7%
ORL +31.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLLALNBAORLLALNBA
this game14.314.714.2110.0111.2113.3
season14.114.5112.4115.6
opponent14.114.2114.7111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.215.612.115.514.3
LAL13.213.215.717.214.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paolo Banchero92910.61-0.110.720.417-61314.215.2-1.0815.110.14.95
Anthony Black86860.420.080.330.362-1314.413.21.2214.715.2-0.49
Desmond Bane86850.380.120.260.322-1314.413.21.2214.714.8-0.04
Wendell Carter Jr.91900.340.160.180.43-34-714.610.93.7014.320.1-5.87
Tristan da Silva85840.170.33-0.150.122-1314.115.0-0.8715.013.21.77
Jonathan Isaac99960.090.41-0.320.0610114.220.0-5.8014.98.06.88
Jase Richardson1010-0.010.51-0.52-0.0410116.314.02.2715.914.61.30
Moritz Wagner3939-0.090.59-0.690.11-78-1514.514.10.4114.714.8-0.07
Jevon Carter6261-0.100.60-0.690.05-56-1113.216.0-2.8515.014.40.57
Jett Howard7775-0.130.63-0.76-0.07-23-514.015.1-1.1314.615.3-0.69

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maxi Kleber47470.26-0.761.02-0.0310-112114.015.5-1.4913.315.1-1.74
Jake LaRavia82830.23-0.730.970.066-71314.714.7-0.0214.314.00.31
Marcus Smart49480.20-0.700.91-0.038-91714.614.9-0.3314.314.20.14
Luke Kennard86890.14-0.640.780.082-3515.013.11.8814.115.5-1.34
Jarred Vanderbilt70710.13-0.630.760.014-5915.014.01.0313.715.6-1.92
Austin Reaves9194-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.411-2314.912.32.6414.411.72.76
Deandre Ayton7272-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.472-3514.515.5-0.9914.713.21.40
LeBron James8083-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.40-21-315.312.13.2814.314.10.24
Luka Don?i?98100-0.500.00-0.50-0.47-10-114.70.014.7314.30.014.26
Rui Hachimura8688-0.560.06-0.61-0.44-43-715.012.52.5514.214.7-0.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.62,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.61,0.55,0.76,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 90, SAC 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.72,0.84,0.58,090.5%
NOP 114, SAS 1130.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.34,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.53,0.69,090.4%
CHH 91, POR 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.78,0.9,090.3%