NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	105		Excitement	9.6 [91]		MVP	Kevin Durant (HOU): +33.5%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	20.9 [88]		LVP	Tari Eason (HOU): -18.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0.27	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.47,0.27	0.27	0.03	0.03	18	85%	0.47	2	-0.20	5	60%	-0.02
Karlo Matkovi?	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	0.00	3	133%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zion Williamson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	10	72%	0.34	2	-0.21	9	78%	0.04
Yves Missi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jeremiah Fears	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derik Queen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	22%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	15	44%	-0.06	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.05
Herbert Jones	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	12	28%	-0.13	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.05,0.33	0.34	0.14	0.20	0.01	24	62%	0.50	1	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.17	-0.00	14	60%	0.27	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.01	16	48%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.09	0.02	15	61%	0.12	4	-0.20	8	87%	0.02
Tari Eason	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	11	18%	-0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.5	27.0	14.4	26.9	1.3	46.8	142.3
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +25.6%

NOP -0.7%

HOU +2.5%

HOU +13.7%

HOU +8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	HOU	NBA	NOP	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	16.2	14.2	110.5	115.1	113.4
season	14.1	15.4		112.0	115.2
opponent	14.0	14.1		111.0	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.0	15.5	15.1	14.0	14.4
HOU	16.2	16.4	16.8	15.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karlo Matkovi?	42	41	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.21	3	-5	8	15.3	13.6	1.69	16.3	16.2	0.04
Derik Queen	51	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	2	-6	14.4	14.3	0.09	15.8	16.8	-1.03
Dejounte Murray	74	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.41	6	-8	14	14.6	13.4	1.21	16.6	15.1	1.43
Jeremiah Fears	54	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	5	-12	14.6	14.1	0.52	15.7	16.9	-1.21
Trey Murphy III	84	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-8	14	14.6	12.3	2.37	16.3	15.5	0.80
Yves Missi	89	87	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-5	8	14.2	16.8	-2.63	16.4	14.5	1.87
Herbert Jones	90	89	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-7	12	14.4	13.8	0.60	16.4	12.5	3.92
Zion Williamson	90	89	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.49	5	-7	12	14.4	13.8	0.60	16.4	12.5	3.92
Saddiq Bey	82	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	6	-14	14.7	12.1	2.65	16.4	15.2	1.24

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith Jr.	93	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	16.2	0.0	16.25	14.4	0.0	14.37
Amen Thompson	93	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	16.2	0.0	16.25	14.4	0.0	14.37
Kevin Durant	93	94	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	2	-2	16.2	0.0	16.25	14.4	8.0	6.44
Clint Capela	93	94	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	2	-2	16.2	0.0	16.25	14.4	8.0	6.44
Josh Okogie	79	81	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.42	-3	5	-8	16.3	16.2	0.04	14.5	13.9	0.60
Dorian Finney-Smith	82	82	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	-1	4	16.4	15.5	0.90	15.0	10.2	4.79
Reed Sheppard	92	94	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	1	0	16.4	1.0	15.41	14.5	6.0	8.46
Tari Eason	43	42	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	-1	4	16.7	15.8	0.88	15.3	13.6	1.64
Jeff Green	17	17	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.05	-7	9	-16	16.5	16.2	0.27	15.8	14.1	1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, NOH 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.5,0.51,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.55,0.27,1	91.6%
CLE 91, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.58,1	91.4%
CHA 80, UTA 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.67,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.42,1	90.7%