NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	122		Excitement	8.4 [218]		MVP	Malik Monk (SAC): +33.7%
Sacramento Kings	126		Comeback	2.4 [584]		LVP	E.J. Liddell (BKN): -11.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malachi Smith	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26	0.19	0.08	0.00	9	95%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyson Etienne	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.16	0.08	0.00	6	117%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Saraf	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.02	0.12	0.01	20	52%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nolan Traore	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	12	63%	0.19	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.04
Ochai Agbaji	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ziaire Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.16	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Chaney Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	3	70%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Danny Wolf	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Terance Mann	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drake Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E.J. Liddell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	5	8%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.16	-0.00	17	74%	0.48	4	-0.14	9	100%	0.11
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.17	0.00	5	82%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.12	0.00	4	112%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maxime Raynaud	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	13	73%	0.20	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Devin Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.11	0.11	-0.04	0.14	-0.01	12	50%	0.20	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	0.00	7	56%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Nique Clifford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dylan Cardwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	13	47%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	0.6	27.7	0.1	43.7	0.0	46.4	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +20.6%

SAC +12.3%

SAC +42.3%

BKN -22.8%

BKN -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	SAC	NBA	BKN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	15.3	14.2	125.8	129.9	113.5
season	14.9	14.3		107.8	108.9
opponent	14.1	14.4		118.8	117.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.0	14.3	15.8	13.5	14.4
SAC	16.4	14.0	15.5	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ziaire Williams	57	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-3	2	15.5	12.7	2.76	14.8	16.1	-1.29
Ochai Agbaji	28	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-2	0	16.6	13.5	3.14	15.9	15.0	0.88
Danny Wolf	24	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-1	-2	16.3	13.7	2.55	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Terance Mann	53	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	0	-4	15.8	12.6	3.17	14.3	16.4	-2.09
Chaney Johnson	77	78	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-1	-2	15.1	11.4	3.74	15.5	14.5	1.00
Tyson Etienne	51	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	0	-4	15.6	13.0	2.57	16.1	14.4	1.68
E.J. Liddell	79	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.32	-1	-3	2	14.2	15.2	-0.98	15.7	13.1	2.62
Nolan Traore	70	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	0	-4	14.5	14.1	0.36	14.8	16.4	-1.56
Drake Powell	75	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	3	-10	14.8	13.0	1.77	14.8	16.9	-2.09
Malachi Smith	97	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.4	0.0	14.37	15.3	0.0	15.28
Ben Saraf	85	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	3	-10	14.3	15.0	-0.72	15.8	11.6	4.22

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	77	76	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-5	14	15.9	12.9	2.93	14.7	13.0	1.75
Devin Carter	92	92	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	-4	12	15.5	10.4	5.14	14.3	14.8	-0.45
DeMar DeRozan	83	82	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	2	0	14.9	17.4	-2.43	14.9	11.5	3.36
Precious Achiuwa	83	81	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	2	0	14.9	17.4	-2.43	15.0	11.1	3.89
Maxime Raynaud	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	3	-2	14.9	16.5	-1.52	14.5	13.8	0.77
Malik Monk	92	91	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.34	-2	6	-8	15.2	16.8	-1.60	14.3	15.5	-1.20
Nique Clifford	66	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	-3	10	14.8	16.2	-1.35	15.7	11.7	4.00
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	64	62	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	1	2	16.3	13.3	3.04	15.2	12.9	2.32
Dylan Cardwell	52	52	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	-4	12	16.2	14.3	1.89	15.2	13.4	1.73
Killian Hayes	25	24	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	1	2	15.1	15.3	-0.21	16.3	13.7	2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.88,0.9,0.72,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.88,0.86,0.64,0.83,0.92,1	92.8%
CHA 89, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.96,1	92.2%
MEM 90, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	92.2%