NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	105		Excitement	7.2 [418]		MVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): +24.7%
Orlando Magic	113		Comeback	1.6 [502]		LVP	Jalen Duren (DET): -7.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duncan Robinson	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	8	59%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ausar Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	10	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.03	0.03	16	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Daniss Jenkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.08,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.01	-0.10	0.09	-0.02	23	49%	0.22	9	-0.21	9	89%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Javonte Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	36%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.25,0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	-0.01	18	45%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Bane	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.06	-0.02	18	69%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.07	0.02	17	52%	0.15	3	-0.07	14	79%	0.02
Jamal Cain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	9	61%	0.11	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.08	-0.05	12	58%	0.10	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	0.0	40.4	0.0	35.8	0.0	41.9	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +28.2%

ORL +3.9%

ORL +13.2%

ORL +3.3%

ORL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.0	14.2	106.1	116.5	113.6
season	14.1	14.1		115.3	112.6
opponent	14.2	14.4		111.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.7	13.8	15.2	16.2	14.4
ORL	13.3	15.0	14.7	17.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caris LeVert	27	28	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-8	8	12.7	15.0	-2.35	13.3	15.6	-2.35
Paul Reed	20	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-5	2	16.1	13.9	2.23	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Kevin Huerter	61	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-4	0	14.0	14.9	-0.93	14.4	15.9	-1.51
Daniss Jenkins	13	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	2	-12	16.6	14.0	2.58	16.1	14.8	1.29
Isaiah Stewart	78	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	8	-24	14.5	14.0	0.41	14.3	17.3	-2.97
Javonte Green	93	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-2	-4	14.8	7.5	7.32	15.1	12.5	2.62
Jalen Duren	65	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	3	-14	14.8	13.6	1.11	15.2	14.4	0.87
Cade Cunningham	98	96	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	0	-8	14.5	0.0	14.52	15.1	0.0	15.11
Ausar Thompson	98	96	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	0	-8	14.5	0.0	14.52	15.1	6.0	9.05
Duncan Robinson	70	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	5	-18	15.3	12.2	3.06	15.6	13.4	2.20
Tobias Harris	91	89	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	3	-14	14.6	12.2	2.31	15.1	13.6	1.45

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paolo Banchero	93	94	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-2	12	14.8	17.5	-2.65	14.5	11.6	2.92
Franz Wagner	97	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	15.0	0.0	14.96	14.4	0.0	14.37
Wendell Carter Jr.	77	77	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	-2	12	15.2	14.2	0.96	14.4	14.3	0.13
Tristan da Silva	77	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	3	2	15.3	13.6	1.71	15.1	11.6	3.41
Jamal Cain	45	47	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-7	22	15.3	14.7	0.62	16.2	12.7	3.46
Desmond Bane	94	96	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	4	0	15.1	11.3	3.74	14.5	11.0	3.48
Jalen Suggs	90	90	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	2	4	15.2	11.3	3.96	14.7	10.7	4.08
Goga Bitadze	64	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	0	8	14.6	15.6	-0.94	14.7	13.8	0.83
Anthony Black	77	77	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	13	-18	15.3	13.5	1.84	14.8	13.0	1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.78,0.86,0.45,0.69,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 118, DEN 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.55,0.84,0.98,1	91.7%
POR 115, TOR 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	91.5%
NJN 88, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.84,0.97,1,1	91.1%