NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	112		Excitement	8.5 [153]		MVP	Will Riley (WAS): +36.7%
Washington Wizards	116		Comeback	3.7 [182]		LVP	Malik Monk (SAC): -13.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.17	0.18	-0.01	16	73%	0.43	3	-0.07	12	92%	0.06
Maxime Raynaud	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.07
Doug McDermott	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Cardwell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Drew Eubanks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	40%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Nique Clifford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Zach LaVine	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.01	0.15	-0.13	0.01	26	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.05
Isaiah Stevens	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Daeqwon Plowden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	10	20%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.21,0.15,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.06	0.29	-0.02	15	56%	0.39	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.09	0.22	0.00	8	81%	0.34	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	8	94%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	9	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	8	72%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jamir Watkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bub Carrington	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyshawn George	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sharife Cooper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
AJ Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	13	61%	0.09	7	-0.22	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	0.0	31.4	0.0	29.1	0.0	33.5	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +82.4%

SAC -27.4%

WAS +6.1%

SAC -11.0%

SAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	14.2	114.3	118.4	113.4
season	14.2	13.8		107.9	108.6
opponent	14.2	14.2		119.5	118.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.6	16.0	13.4	13.8	15.2
WAS	12.2	14.0	12.8	18.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	24	24	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-8	12	16.0	14.9	1.05	14.0	14.2	-0.16
Devin Carter	68	67	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.15	-6	2	-8	15.1	15.4	-0.29	13.5	15.7	-2.21
Drew Eubanks	9	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	1	-6	18.2	14.9	3.37	10.6	14.5	-3.85
Dylan Cardwell	64	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	3	-10	15.7	14.1	1.69	13.2	16.0	-2.86
Malik Monk	75	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	2	-8	15.6	13.8	1.75	13.0	18.3	-5.30
Precious Achiuwa	19	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	7	-18	18.1	14.5	3.65	12.5	14.6	-2.03
Daeqwon Plowden	78	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	4	-12	15.4	14.3	1.08	13.7	15.8	-2.10
Isaiah Stevens	38	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-1	-2	15.1	15.2	-0.14	15.8	13.2	2.64
Maxime Raynaud	75	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.49	3	-7	10	14.9	16.2	-1.32	14.5	13.1	1.41
Nique Clifford	84	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	0	-4	15.3	14.2	1.11	14.5	12.5	1.92
Zach LaVine	90	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	15.2	14.2	0.99	14.3	12.9	1.40
DeMar DeRozan	75	73	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.21	-20	16	-36	15.5	14.2	1.24	13.8	15.2	-1.45

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Skal Labissiere	87	88	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.29	14	-10	24	13.9	16.4	-2.48	15.2	15.0	0.18
Will Riley	87	88	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.29	14	-10	24	13.9	16.4	-2.48	15.2	15.0	0.18
AJ Johnson	87	88	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.29	14	-10	24	13.9	16.4	-2.48	15.2	15.0	0.18
Anthony Gill	74	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-6	16	14.0	14.8	-0.83	15.1	15.4	-0.30
Sharife Cooper	35	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	0	4	16.0	13.2	2.81	14.9	15.3	-0.44
Jamir Watkins	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	-6	16	12.6	16.9	-4.28	15.5	14.6	0.88
Kyshawn George	53	53	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	0	4	12.9	15.6	-2.74	16.0	14.1	1.90
Bilal Coulibaly	58	58	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	0	4	13.1	15.7	-2.60	15.8	14.2	1.59
Bub Carrington	57	56	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	2	0	13.3	15.4	-2.11	15.8	14.3	1.54
Khris Middleton	51	51	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	2	0	12.6	15.9	-3.32	15.8	14.5	1.29
Marvin Bagley III	53	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	8	-12	13.2	15.3	-2.16	15.5	14.8	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.21,0.67,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.32,0.36,0.57,0.83,1	90.9%
LAC 88, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.37,0.76,0.95,1	90.8%
MIL 90, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.67,0.95,1	90.6%