NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	4.6 [877]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (NYK): +14.4%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	1.6 [711]		LVP	Sam Merrill (CLE): -11.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.02	8	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.02	0.06	18	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
James Harden	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.04	15	55%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Thomas Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Proctor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylon Tyson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dean Wade	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schröder	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Max Strus	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	7	31%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Sam Merrill	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	8	20%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.02	12	79%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	8	78%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.01	12	69%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	21	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Kolek	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pacôme Dadiet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	9	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	16	53%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	0.0	28.9	0.0	31.4	0.0	39.1	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +59.2%

CLE -10.0%

CLE -4.3%

NYK +4.0%

NYK +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	17.2	14.2	104.5	121.1	113.5
season	13.9	15.0		116.0	118.3
opponent	14.2	14.6		110.1	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.0	15.7	14.9	13.0	14.9
NYK	15.9	15.6	17.8	19.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Bryant	22	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-15	14	13.0	15.5	-2.54	19.7	16.4	3.32
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	22	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-15	14	13.0	15.5	-2.54	19.7	16.4	3.32
Craig Porter Jr.	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-13	10	12.6	15.6	-2.98	19.6	16.5	3.13
Tyrese Proctor	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-13	10	12.6	15.6	-2.98	19.6	16.5	3.13
Keon Ellis	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-13	10	12.6	15.6	-2.98	19.6	16.5	3.13
Jaylon Tyson	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-13	10	15.7	14.6	1.09	17.9	17.0	0.93
Dennis Schröder	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-10	4	15.8	13.5	2.35	17.5	16.7	0.78
Dean Wade	53	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	-1	-14	16.0	13.3	2.74	16.3	18.5	-2.15
Jarrett Allen	69	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	1	-18	15.6	12.6	2.98	17.1	17.8	-0.70
Sam Merrill	78	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	0	-16	14.9	14.9	0.00	17.2	17.4	-0.16
James Harden	73	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	2	-20	15.1	14.1	0.96	17.3	17.0	0.27
Evan Mobley	87	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	2	-20	14.9	17.0	-2.14	17.2	22.0	-4.83
Max Strus	87	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	2	-20	14.9	17.0	-2.14	17.2	22.0	-4.83
Donovan Mitchell	87	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	2	-20	14.9	17.0	-2.14	17.2	22.0	-4.83

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	73	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.01	20	-4	24	17.6	15.6	1.94	14.8	15.2	-0.40
OG Anunoby	82	81	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-4	24	17.5	14.9	2.58	14.6	17.7	-3.12
Josh Hart	75	74	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.02	17	-1	18	17.4	16.5	0.91	15.3	13.2	2.06
Mikal Bridges	89	87	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-2	20	17.2	22.0	-4.83	14.9	17.0	-2.14
Jalen Brunson	89	87	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-2	20	17.2	22.0	-4.83	14.9	17.0	-2.14
Mitchell Robinson	70	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	7	2	17.2	17.4	-0.23	15.4	13.4	2.00
Jordan Clarkson	39	40	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.14	10	6	4	17.7	16.9	0.78	15.3	14.6	0.75
Miles McBride	71	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.01	14	2	12	17.7	15.5	2.22	14.6	16.1	-1.52
Landry Shamet	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	3	10	17.7	15.9	1.76	15.1	14.3	0.79
Jose Alvarado	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	9	-2	18.5	16.6	1.87	14.3	15.2	-0.97
Tyler Kolek	21	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	13	-10	19.6	16.5	3.13	12.6	15.6	-2.98
Pacôme Dadiet	22	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	15	-14	19.7	16.4	3.32	13.0	15.5	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAC 85, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
BOS 102, LAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%