NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	121		Excitement	4.9 [825]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (NYK): +13.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Comeback	1.1 [605]		LVP	James Harden (CLE): -7.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	15	73%	0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.16	0.01	0.03	10	81%	0.18	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Landry Shamet	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.03	5	108%	0.11	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mitchell Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.03	19	60%	0.14	4	-0.10	12	83%	0.02
Miles McBride	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	9	77%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schröder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylon Tyson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	12	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	18	60%	0.10	5	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	21	48%	0.03	5	-0.10	6	33%	-0.06
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	15	58%	0.05	6	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	1.3	33.5	0.1	43.4	0.0	38.7	148.3
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.3%

NYK +12.1%

CLE -2.6%

NYK +8.4%

NYK +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	14.0	14.2	123.5	109.1	113.5
season	15.0	13.9		118.4	115.9
opponent	14.6	14.2		112.7	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	15.1	14.0	17.0	15.2
CLE	15.7	12.1	14.8	13.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Shamet	97	97	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.10	16	-3	19	15.1	21.0	-5.87	14.1	8.5	5.61
Mikal Bridges	88	87	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-3	19	15.0	16.7	-1.68	13.6	17.1	-3.51
Josh Hart	98	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	15.2	0.0	15.19	14.0	0.0	14.00
Jalen Brunson	98	99	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	0	13	15.2	0.0	15.19	14.0	0.0	14.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.07	18	-5	23	15.5	14.0	1.46	14.4	12.1	2.38
OG Anunoby	82	83	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	3	7	14.9	16.6	-1.71	13.5	16.4	-2.91
Mitchell Robinson	71	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	3	7	15.9	13.4	2.47	15.3	10.8	4.49
Miles McBride	78	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	3	7	14.8	16.9	-2.14	14.4	12.1	2.38
Jose Alvarado	9	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	16	-19	16.3	15.1	1.25	13.6	14.0	-0.41
Jordan Clarkson	11	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	21	-29	17.6	14.9	2.75	12.8	14.1	-1.33

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylon Tyson	18	18	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-16	19	14.3	13.9	0.41	15.8	15.1	0.72
Dean Wade	51	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-8	3	14.8	13.1	1.70	15.0	15.4	-0.33
Dennis Schröder	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-1	-11	15.2	12.6	2.61	14.5	16.1	-1.61
Jarrett Allen	79	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	0	-13	14.0	13.9	0.13	15.6	13.8	1.75
James Harden	93	93	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	-1	-11	13.8	17.5	-3.73	15.2	16.0	-0.85
Evan Mobley	99	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	0	-13	14.0	0.0	14.00	15.2	0.0	15.19
Max Strus	99	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	0	-13	14.0	0.0	14.00	15.2	0.0	15.19
Sam Merrill	80	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	1	-15	14.6	11.5	3.13	15.3	14.5	0.88
Donovan Mitchell	91	91	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.10	-15	2	-17	13.9	14.6	-0.68	15.0	17.9	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
PHX 101, VAN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
IND 108, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%