NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	115		Excitement	9.8 [67]		MVP	Brice Sensabaugh (UTA): +27.0%
Miami Heat	111		Comeback	6.0 [110]		LVP	Nikola Jovi? (MIA): -8.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brice Sensabaugh	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,0.27	0.02	0.26	0.01	10	58%	0.34	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Ace Bailey	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.00	14	53%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.01	9	62%	0.16	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.07
Lauri Markkanen	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	14	53%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Cody Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurki?	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	9	45%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Isaiah Collier	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	65%	0.21	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	19	49%	0.02	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
John Konchar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	18	59%	0.14	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.11
Bam Adebayo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	18	50%	0.19	4	-0.10	10	60%	-0.08
Dru Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	1	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kasparas Jaku?ionis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.05	0.05	0.14	-0.08	0.01	12	83%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kel'el Ware	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.01	6	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.08	0.01	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Myron Gardner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	7	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Nikola Jovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	30.9	14.6	33.3	1.6	37.5	147.7
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +49.3%

UTA +2.8%

MIA -1.5%

MIA -0.2%

MIA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIA	NBA	UTA	MIA	NBA
this game	14.2	13.0	14.2	108.5	105.7	113.5
season	14.0	12.7		112.4	113.2
opponent	14.5	13.6		110.5	120.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.1	12.1	16.1	15.0	14.2
MIA	11.8	13.2	13.9	13.2	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ace Bailey	88	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	3	-2	14.9	11.0	3.90	13.3	11.7	1.56
Isaiah Collier	93	91	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.49	-2	6	-8	14.9	9.2	5.70	13.1	12.6	0.42
Brice Sensabaugh	70	70	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	6	-8	14.6	13.6	1.03	13.6	11.9	1.69
Jaren Jackson Jr.	66	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	-4	12	13.8	14.9	-1.11	13.0	12.9	0.10
Lauri Markkanen	68	69	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	-4	12	14.0	14.7	-0.74	13.2	12.6	0.56
Kyle Filipowski	98	97	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.42	-8	12	-20	14.5	11.5	2.96	13.1	12.1	0.96
Jusuf Nurki?	62	63	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	4	-4	14.9	13.3	1.53	13.3	12.6	0.65
Cody Williams	68	67	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.42	-14	18	-32	15.7	11.7	4.02	12.9	13.2	-0.23
Vince Williams Jr.	72	71	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.02	-14	18	-32	14.9	12.8	2.08	12.8	13.4	-0.55
John Konchar	63	62	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	0.08	-18	22	-40	15.8	11.9	3.92	13.1	12.9	0.13

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jovi?	62	61	0.53	-1.03	1.57	0.01	18	-22	40	12.5	13.7	-1.13	15.3	12.8	2.53
Kel'el Ware	61	63	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.12	12	-16	28	12.5	13.7	-1.24	14.7	13.6	1.02
Simone Fontecchio	47	47	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.12	8	-12	20	13.6	12.6	0.98	15.7	13.1	2.63
Myron Gardner	51	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	1	-6	12.8	13.2	-0.44	13.4	15.1	-1.67
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	97	98	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.38	6	-10	16	13.1	12.1	0.96	14.5	11.5	2.96
Andrew Wiggins	92	92	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.44	6	-10	16	13.2	11.5	1.77	15.1	8.9	6.20
Bam Adebayo	95	95	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-7	10	13.1	12.6	0.45	14.9	8.7	6.15
Dru Smith	103	104	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-5	6	13.2	1.5	11.73	14.5	1.5	12.98
Davion Mitchell	85	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-3	2	13.6	10.6	2.91	15.2	10.3	4.85
Kasparas Jaku?ionis	93	93	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	3	-10	13.3	10.6	2.74	14.4	13.1	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.44,0.4,0.62,0.57,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.55,0.42,0	90.4%
HOU 90, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.41,0	89.9%
IND 76, NOH 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	89.9%