NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	7.3 [306]		MVP	Sam Merrill (CLE): +23.4%
Brooklyn Nets	102		Comeback	2.3 [666]		LVP	Day'Ron Sharpe (BKN): -17.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Merrill	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.23	0.13	0.09	-0.01	8	88%	0.28	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Dennis Schr�der	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2	0.07	0.13	0.01	7	67%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
James Harden	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.10	0.02	9	73%	0.25	5	-0.10	12	67%	-0.02
Jaylon Tyson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	7	64%	0.14	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	12	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Keon Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	10	50%	-0.07
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	-0.00	13	68%	0.23	1	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.03	17	72%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Minott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	3	83%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	61%	0.07	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Traore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	15	53%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Ben Saraf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	5	58%	0.01	6	-0.18	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.5	0.3	28.9	14.3	31.1	0.0	42.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	29.0	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +17.1%

CLE +11.5%

CLE +10.5%

CLE +9.1%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BKN	NBA	CLE	BKN	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	14.2	109.3	103.0	113.3
season	13.6	14.9		116.0	108.5
opponent	14.4	14.6		117.2	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.0	16.0	15.5	14.8	15.1
BKN	15.2	12.8	14.6	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Mobley	60	63	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.27	23	-19	42	13.8	17.1	-3.20	15.4	12.3	3.05
Jarrett Allen	81	83	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.41	9	-5	14	14.6	17.5	-2.91	14.7	12.3	2.34
Sam Merrill	77	81	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-9	22	14.9	15.8	-0.92	14.9	11.4	3.52
James Harden	90	92	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-2	8	15.1	14.1	1.00	14.2	15.3	-1.09
Dennis Schr�der	97	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.1	0.0	15.07	14.3	0.0	14.27
Keon Ellis	97	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.1	0.0	15.07	14.3	0.0	14.27
Craig Porter Jr.	63	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-9	22	14.7	15.8	-1.07	15.2	12.6	2.61
Thomas Bryant	53	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-5	14	14.6	15.6	-0.99	14.7	13.7	0.99
Jaylon Tyson	75	75	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	4	-4	14.9	15.7	-0.79	14.6	13.1	1.52
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	14	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	9	-14	16.4	14.8	1.59	12.8	14.5	-1.73

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Saraf	69	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	8	-20	14.8	13.1	1.73	14.8	15.7	-0.94
Noah Clowney	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	1	-6	14.9	12.0	2.90	14.7	16.4	-1.73
Ziaire Williams	98	96	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-2	0	14.4	3.0	11.39	15.2	2.0	13.21
Nolan Traore	80	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	0	-4	14.5	13.4	1.05	14.8	16.3	-1.48
Day'Ron Sharpe	76	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	5	-14	14.8	12.5	2.34	14.3	17.5	-3.20
Terance Mann	30	29	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.09	-21	17	-38	16.7	13.2	3.43	12.4	16.2	-3.74
Josh Minott	60	57	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.02	-22	18	-40	15.3	12.6	2.69	14.0	16.6	-2.69
Grant Nelson	81	80	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.33	-12	8	-20	14.8	11.9	2.91	15.0	15.4	-0.34
Michael Porter Jr.	89	87	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.32	-13	9	-22	14.7	10.4	4.31	14.7	18.1	-3.38
Danny Wolf	86	83	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.34	-13	9	-22	14.6	12.2	2.35	14.9	16.3	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 110, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.28,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0	93.7%
DEN 95, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.27,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0	92.0%
UTA 106, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.07,0,0,0,0	92.0%