NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	127		Excitement	14.0 [5]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK): +39.9%
New York Knicks	134		Comeback	3.4 [289]		LVP	Nikola Joki? (DEN): -21.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.35	0.19	0.16	0.00	8	100%	0.37	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Christian Braun	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27	-0.02	0.28	-0.01	6	43%	0.28	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.21
Julian Strawther	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	5	100%	0.28	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Jonas Valan?i?nas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peyton Watson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	36%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Murray	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.25,0.13,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	0.05	-0.18	0.00	33	53%	0.03	4	-0.16	7	86%	0.02
Bruce Brown	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.00	-0.16	0.01	9	56%	-0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Joki?	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,-0.06,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.22	0.03	-0.24	0.00	27	45%	-0.22	0	0.00	12	75%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.17	0.23	0.01	13	80%	0.43	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.34	0.34	0.15	0.20	0.02	27	65%	0.50	5	-0.16	11	82%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	17	56%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	15	53%	0.14	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mohamed Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin McCullar Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Hukporti	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Kolek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	8	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	34.0	2.6	27.2	0.0	28.0	0.0	27.7	0.0	18.4	0.0	14.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.2	32.7	2.2	16.6	2.2	16.6	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +115.3%

DEN -51.6%

DEN -35.5%

NYK +24.4%

DEN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NYK	NBA	DEN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	14.2	114.4	118.6	113.5
season	14.8	14.9		119.3	118.6
opponent	14.0	14.1		111.8	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DEN	15.2	16.7	15.3	16.6	20.0	16.3
NYK	13.8	15.3	14.7	17.1	15.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Strawther	49	49	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-8	9	15.8	16.4	-0.58	16.0	14.0	1.97
Spencer Jones	24	25	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-9	11	15.2	16.4	-1.11	13.8	15.2	-1.39
Peyton Watson	64	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-3	-1	16.1	16.2	-0.13	15.4	14.2	1.24
Jonas Valan?i?nas	89	90	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	16.4	15.0	1.45	15.9	10.9	5.04
Nikola Joki?	101	103	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	16.0	17.1	-1.08	15.4	10.0	5.36
Jamal Murray	111	112	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	0	-7	16.1	0.0	16.12	15.0	4.0	10.98
Tim Hardaway Jr.	110	112	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	0	-7	16.2	12.0	4.15	15.0	1.0	14.01
Bruce Brown	110	111	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	0	-7	16.2	12.0	4.15	15.1	2.5	12.61
Christian Braun	99	101	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	2	-11	16.4	13.4	3.03	15.2	12.2	3.04

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Robinson	94	94	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.52	10	-3	13	15.5	11.9	3.59	16.1	16.0	0.14
OG Anunoby	113	111	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	14.9	0.0	14.88	16.1	0.0	16.12
Jalen Brunson	111	111	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	15.1	2.5	12.61	16.1	0.0	16.12
Mikal Bridges	106	105	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	0	7	15.4	6.4	9.01	16.3	13.0	3.30
Karl-Anthony Towns	98	98	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	2	3	15.7	9.6	6.09	16.5	13.5	3.01
Landry Shamet	106	105	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	9	-11	15.4	6.9	8.56	15.8	22.0	-6.22
Mohamed Diawara	75	74	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	4	-1	15.1	14.4	0.74	15.9	16.6	-0.76
Ariel Hukporti	25	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	12	-17	17.8	14.1	3.69	16.5	16.0	0.49
Jordan Clarkson	46	45	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	11	-15	16.4	13.8	2.58	15.3	16.7	-1.36
Kevin McCullar Jr.	67	69	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.14	-1	8	-9	16.3	12.8	3.47	16.9	14.8	2.18
Tyler Kolek	25	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.02	-9	16	-25	17.0	14.3	2.66	14.6	16.5	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.65,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.67,0.82,0.5,0.55,0.29,0.68,0.74,0.5,0.45,0.78,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.54,0.69,0.91,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.77,0.84,1	86.8%
DET 101, HOU 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.69,0.63,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.84,0.54,0.68,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	86.2%
MIN 97, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.37,0.75,0.73,1	86.2%