NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	108		Excitement	9.2 [155]		MVP	OG Anunoby (NYK): +41.5%
Atlanta Hawks	109		Comeback	9.9 [142]		LVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): -24.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0.42	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.23	0.21	0.03	16	74%	0.42	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Miles McBride	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.11	0.00	14	54%	0.20	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.06	0.01	12	70%	0.12	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Landry Shamet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	35%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	9	11%	-0.20	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.22,-0.24	0.03	-0.26	0.01	23	51%	0.17	3	-0.41	5	80%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.01	14	70%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.11	0.00	19	50%	0.16	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.07
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.15,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.14	0.02	19	51%	0.22	4	-0.11	7	71%	-0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	52%	0.09	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dyson Daniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	0.0	30.0	0.0	35.8	0.0	40.1	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.0%

NYK -25.6%

NYK -22.3%

ATL +56.2%

ATL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	12.9	14.2	106.9	106.9	113.6
season	15.0	13.4		117.7	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.2		111.8	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.2	14.8	16.4	15.2	15.4
ATL	14.0	12.9	11.9	13.0	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Shamet	31	31	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.06	7	-8	15	15.7	15.3	0.38	13.5	12.7	0.75
Karl-Anthony Towns	91	91	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.18	7	-8	15	15.4	15.8	-0.43	12.8	14.2	-1.40
Jose Alvarado	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-3	5	16.2	15.3	0.94	14.0	12.8	1.22
Mikal Bridges	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	14	-29	16.0	14.1	1.82	12.8	13.2	-0.42
Jordan Clarkson	78	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	11	-23	15.6	14.8	0.82	13.2	12.3	0.89
Mitchell Robinson	49	48	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	19	-39	15.5	15.3	0.18	12.9	12.9	-0.03
Josh Hart	97	98	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-1	1	15.5	13.0	2.52	12.7	17.7	-5.02
Jalen Brunson	101	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	15.4	0.0	15.42	12.9	0.0	12.93
Miles McBride	101	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	15.4	0.0	15.42	12.9	0.0	12.93
OG Anunoby	92	94	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.33	-11	10	-21	15.8	11.0	4.85	12.7	15.9	-3.19

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	93	91	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-8	17	12.7	15.1	-2.39	15.8	11.5	4.35
Jalen Johnson	92	92	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.46	2	-1	3	13.0	12.7	0.26	15.8	11.7	4.12
Onyeka Okongwu	97	96	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.45	2	-1	3	12.8	15.2	-2.39	15.5	14.4	1.07
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	98	96	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.50	0	1	-1	12.9	13.0	-0.07	15.5	14.4	1.07
Gabe Vincent	66	64	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-11	23	13.0	12.8	0.24	15.8	14.7	1.13
Mouhamed Gueye	55	55	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	-13	27	13.1	12.8	0.31	15.9	14.8	1.12
CJ McCollum	101	101	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	0	1	13.0	1.0	12.05	15.4	0.0	15.42
Dyson Daniels	101	101	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	0	1	13.0	1.0	12.05	15.4	0.0	15.42
Corey Kispert	12	12	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	1	-1	12.9	12.9	-0.02	15.1	15.5	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.71,0.65,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.82,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.57,0.27,1	91.1%
GSW 121, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.42,1	90.3%
GSW 102, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.8,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.72,1	90.1%