NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	118		Excitement	8.7 [201]		MVP	Maxime Raynaud (SAC): +39.7%
Sacramento Kings	124		Comeback	8.7 [51]		LVP	Precious Achiuwa (SAC): -10.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandin Podziemski	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.36	0.20	0.17	0.01	15	75%	0.46	2	-0.10	10	90%	0.08
Al Horford	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	8	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malevy Leons	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	87%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Gary Payton II	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.02	6	83%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	3	60%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
De'Anthony Melton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.03	0.01	9	77%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Curry	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	8	58%	0.11	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Draymond Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Will Richard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Spencer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzi??is	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	12	41%	0.01	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxime Raynaud	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.12	0.30	0.02	12	79%	0.46	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Daeqwon Plowden	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.12	0.02	16	57%	0.23	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.04
Devin Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	18	72%	0.34	4	-0.20	4	25%	-0.02
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.00	6	92%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nique Clifford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	0.00	14	54%	0.18	4	-0.15	9	89%	0.09
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Dylan Cardwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	23%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	9	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.3	28.1	14.3	37.0	0.3	36.8	144.4
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.7	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +27.0%

GSW -8.7%

SAC +39.3%

GSW -13.0%

SAC +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	13.6	13.7	14.2	111.3	118.1	113.7
season	14.7	14.4		112.4	109.2
opponent	14.0	13.8		119.2	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.8	15.9	11.0	13.6	13.6
SAC	12.7	12.3	15.1	14.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	72	74	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-6	6	13.7	13.2	0.47	13.6	13.9	-0.34
Kristaps Porzi??is	77	79	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-5	4	13.7	13.2	0.48	13.3	14.8	-1.53
Gary Payton II	68	68	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.05	3	-9	12	13.0	14.6	-1.59	13.3	14.4	-1.01
Draymond Green	55	57	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-4	2	13.9	13.2	0.77	12.7	14.9	-2.21
Stephen Curry	62	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-3	0	13.7	13.4	0.33	13.1	14.5	-1.42
Will Richard	26	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	1	-8	15.9	12.8	3.08	12.3	14.1	-1.86
Malevy Leons	79	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-5	4	13.5	13.8	-0.35	14.1	12.7	1.38
Brandin Podziemski	101	101	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	0	-6	13.5	15.6	-2.14	13.5	18.2	-4.74
Pat Spencer	101	101	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	0	-6	13.5	15.6	-2.14	13.5	18.2	-4.74
Gui Santos	101	101	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	0	-6	13.5	15.6	-2.14	13.5	18.2	-4.74
De'Anthony Melton	86	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	2	-10	13.9	11.9	1.98	13.9	12.6	1.30
Charles Bassey	106	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.6	0.0	13.56	13.7	0.0	13.70

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daeqwon Plowden	89	88	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.42	13	-7	20	13.6	14.3	-0.73	14.1	10.8	3.35
Maxime Raynaud	95	95	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-5	16	13.8	12.4	1.43	13.7	12.2	1.53
Devin Carter	86	86	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.46	7	-1	8	13.9	12.8	1.04	13.4	14.1	-0.73
Dylan Cardwell	74	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	3	0	13.6	14.0	-0.48	13.1	14.6	-1.53
Nique Clifford	104	105	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	2	2	13.7	17.0	-3.34	13.5	16.0	-2.47
Malik Monk	35	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	11.9	14.6	-2.63	13.5	13.6	-0.13
Precious Achiuwa	75	74	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.05	-11	17	-28	13.7	13.8	-0.10	13.7	13.1	0.62
Killian Hayes	81	82	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.06	-13	19	-32	13.5	14.2	-0.67	13.4	14.2	-0.90
Doug McDermott	70	70	-0.57	1.07	-1.63	-0.07	-17	23	-40	13.5	14.1	-0.63	12.6	15.4	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.68,0.56,0.48,0.59,0.45,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.33,0.23,0.47,0.6,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.92,1	89.8%
UTA 95, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.41,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.96,0.99,1	89.7%
DET 86, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.83,1	89.7%