NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	7.3 [359]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (DET): +15.8%
Detroit Pistons	113		Comeback	2.2 [523]		LVP	Bones Hyland (MIN): -13.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	15	67%	0.21	3	-0.10	10	70%	-0.03
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Naz Reid	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	16	53%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Mike Conley	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.01	8	78%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	0.01	-0.05	0.07	15	58%	0.01	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.00
Bones Hyland	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	12	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	6	86%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniss Jenkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.04	0.02	19	58%	0.15	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.00	6	50%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	15	55%	0.10	5	-0.12	10	60%	-0.01
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.06	0.03	11	62%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	30.9	14.4	33.2	2.3	42.3	150.2
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.0%

DET +0.4%

DET +20.7%

DET +8.1%

DET +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DET	NBA	MIN	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	13.9	14.2	103.8	109.7	113.6
season	13.9	14.1		114.4	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.1		108.0	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	14.8	14.6	11.3	13.9
DET	13.8	14.6	14.8	12.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bones Hyland	77	77	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.01	2	-7	9	14.8	11.2	3.65	14.7	11.6	3.07
Terrence Shannon Jr.	75	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-2	-1	14.7	11.7	3.09	14.3	12.9	1.37
Mike Conley	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	6	-17	14.5	13.1	1.34	14.8	12.9	1.88
Kyle Anderson	102	102	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	0	-5	14.0	7.0	7.02	13.9	19.0	-5.14
Naz Reid	102	102	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	0	-5	14.0	7.0	7.02	13.9	19.0	-5.14
Julius Randle	104	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	13.9	0.0	13.88	13.9	0.0	13.91
Rudy Gobert	77	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.21	-11	6	-17	15.2	10.2	5.00	14.5	12.0	2.51
Ayo Dosunmu	92	90	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	5	-15	14.2	11.7	2.51	13.9	13.9	-0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	86	84	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.31	-14	9	-23	14.0	13.1	0.94	13.9	14.1	-0.24

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javonte Green	93	94	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-6	17	13.7	15.5	-1.76	14.0	12.8	1.20
Duncan Robinson	72	73	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.28	11	-6	17	14.0	13.8	0.15	14.2	13.1	1.08
Ausar Thompson	91	91	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-5	15	14.2	11.9	2.26	14.3	11.2	3.03
Daniss Jenkins	96	98	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-4	13	14.0	13.0	0.98	14.0	12.2	1.82
Jalen Duren	91	93	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-1	7	14.1	12.7	1.32	14.0	13.2	0.79
Kevin Huerter	87	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	1	3	13.8	14.7	-0.92	13.6	15.1	-1.47
Ronald Holland II	91	91	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	-1	7	14.5	9.4	5.09	14.7	8.2	6.46
Tobias Harris	13	12	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	2	1	14.2	13.9	0.36	15.5	13.7	1.83
Caris LeVert	73	73	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	6	-7	14.4	12.7	1.66	15.2	10.9	4.25
Marcus Sasser	27	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	6	-7	14.9	13.6	1.27	16.0	13.1	2.93
Paul Reed	82	82	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	6	-7	14.6	11.3	3.30	14.6	11.3	3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.7,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,1	93.5%
OKC 89, NOP 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1	92.7%
WAS 106, TOR 114	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.5%