NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	126		Excitement	8.2 [267]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +42.4%
LA Clippers	121		Comeback	16.6 [45]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): -7.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.42	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.42	0.18	0.22	-0.02	23	69%	0.52	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Al Horford	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.07,0.18,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.09	0.31	0.00	8	87%	0.47	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzi??is	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.00	12	74%	0.21	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Gui Santos	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	13	77%	0.22	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	55%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Draymond Green	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brandin Podziemski	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	57%	0.05	4	-0.12	8	62%	-0.04

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.14	-0.00	16	50%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.00	11	88%	0.28	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.06
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.07	0.01	15	64%	0.18	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	69%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	17	55%	0.09	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.0	33.2	0.0	29.6	0.0	38.6	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.1	32.7	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +75.3%

LAC -26.1%

GSW +10.5%

LAC -7.5%

LAC -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	13.6	14.8	14.2	123.5	119.8	113.7
season	14.7	14.9		112.9	115.2
opponent	14.3	13.8		114.1	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.0	12.4	14.0	13.1	13.6
LAC	14.3	14.8	14.3	15.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	95	94	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-10	25	13.1	19.7	-6.59	15.0	12.0	2.97
Draymond Green	93	92	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.28	11	-6	17	13.5	14.9	-1.44	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Gary Payton II	81	82	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.20	13	-8	21	13.4	14.2	-0.83	15.0	13.7	1.33
Al Horford	95	94	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	1	3	13.5	14.4	-0.91	14.8	14.7	0.05
Gui Santos	91	91	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	-3	11	13.8	11.7	2.07	15.1	11.8	3.29
Brandin Podziemski	98	98	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	2	1	13.6	12.7	0.86	14.7	17.7	-2.99
De'Anthony Melton	75	74	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.15	-3	8	-11	13.7	13.1	0.64	14.3	16.0	-1.64
Kristaps Porzi??is	90	89	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.14	-9	14	-23	13.6	13.5	0.09	14.3	18.4	-4.15

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Sanders	81	81	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.12	9	-14	23	14.4	16.1	-1.73	13.6	13.4	0.19
Jordan Miller	68	68	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-1	-3	14.4	15.5	-1.12	13.8	13.2	0.56
John Collins	64	64	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-1	-3	14.5	15.1	-0.59	13.8	13.2	0.67
Kawhi Leonard	101	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.8	0.0	14.76	13.6	0.0	13.58
Bennedict Mathurin	101	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.8	0.0	14.76	13.6	0.0	13.58
Darius Garland	88	88	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	9	-23	15.1	12.5	2.55	13.4	14.9	-1.56
Brook Lopez	86	87	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.31	-15	10	-25	14.7	15.1	-0.44	13.0	16.8	-3.78
Kris Dunn	76	77	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.33	-16	11	-27	15.1	13.9	1.17	13.2	14.8	-1.62
Derrick Jones Jr.	90	93	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.31	-17	12	-29	14.9	13.5	1.47	13.3	16.1	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 87, SAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.85,0.57,0.42,0	91.7%
MIL 110, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.55,0.42,0	91.7%
POR 95, LAL 91	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.71,0.22,0.26,0	91.5%