inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 118 Excitement5.5 [528] MVPZion Williamson (NOP): +16.2%
New Orleans Pelicans 138 Comeback2.0 [736] LVPBilal Coulibaly (WAS): -12.8%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tre Johnson0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.000.001371%0.151-0.032100%0.01
Anthony Gill0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.01-0.00779%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Bub Carrington0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.01-0.02669%0.092-0.031100%0.01
Will Riley0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.011270%0.104-0.053100%0.00
Trae Young0.020,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.010.04685%0.134-0.11875%-0.01
Alex Sarr0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.030.00750%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Sharife Cooper0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02350%0.0110.00475%0.00
Jaden Hardy-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.021043%0.011-0.02367%0.00
Leaky Black-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.021145%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Julian Reese-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.000.02442%-0.032-0.04475%-0.00
Bilal Coulibaly-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.02-0.011219%-0.1300.002100%0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zion Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.150.030.01874%0.1600.001173%-0.00
Trey Murphy III0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.17-0.010.031471%0.1300.006100%0.03
Jeremiah Fears0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.020.05-0.061651%0.182-0.063100%0.02
Derik Queen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.04-0.02965%0.1110.002100%0.01
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.020.01970%0.152-0.05978%0.01
Yves Missi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
DeAndre Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Bryce McGowens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00267%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Karlo Matkovi?0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04283%0.0000.002100%0.00
Micah Peavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Saddiq Bey0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.05-0.000.071752%-0.0200.001050%-0.06
Herbert Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.05633%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.30.037.00.030.00.029.70.0
league avg26.31.929.014.329.72.232.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +22.1%
NOP +14.1%
NOP +0.7%
NOP +13.3%
WAS -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASNOPNBAWASNOPNBA
this game14.113.214.2112.4130.2113.3
season13.914.1108.6112.0
opponent14.114.1116.6119.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.713.014.714.214.1
NOP13.412.213.014.013.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sharife Cooper5250-0.09-0.410.330.15-8-12414.413.80.5913.712.61.11
Trae Young5657-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-8-12413.415.0-1.5712.913.5-0.63
Alex Sarr5657-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.00-10-10013.415.0-1.5712.913.5-0.63
Tre Johnson6163-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.02-10-10013.714.7-0.9613.013.3-0.25
Bilal Coulibaly6062-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-6-814.913.01.8913.213.10.10
Julian Reese8687-0.46-0.04-0.410.01-16-4-1214.512.52.0113.511.42.17
Leaky Black8284-0.49-0.01-0.480.10-200-2013.815.3-1.5713.512.01.45
Bub Carrington9496-0.500.00-0.500.06-19-1-1814.69.94.7113.014.8-1.82
Anthony Gill8788-0.550.05-0.610.12-233-2614.810.93.9012.914.3-1.42
Will Riley9292-0.600.10-0.700.07-233-2614.610.83.8313.212.50.75
Jaden Hardy6264-0.660.16-0.830.10-266-3214.413.70.6813.412.80.60

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremiah Fears1061050.500.000.50-0.092002013.20.013.1514.10.014.12
Saddiq Bey96950.500.000.50-0.1221-12213.014.8-1.8214.69.35.33
Derik Queen87860.460.040.41-0.011641213.511.42.1714.512.52.01
Bryce McGowens77760.460.040.41-0.041731413.412.60.8215.211.43.79
Trey Murphy III74710.450.050.40-0.021641213.213.10.1314.613.21.40
Yves Missi40370.390.110.270.06119213.213.10.0813.814.3-0.44
Dejounte Murray56530.360.140.220.071010013.113.2-0.1713.914.3-0.36
DeAndre Jordan70690.330.170.160.01119213.512.41.0715.012.42.68
Zion Williamson64610.210.29-0.080.09416-1213.213.10.0913.515.0-1.43
Karlo Matkovi?25260.150.35-0.19-0.17119214.012.91.1614.214.10.09
Micah Peavy25260.150.35-0.19-0.17119214.012.91.1614.214.10.09
Jordan Hawkins25260.150.35-0.19-0.17119214.012.91.1614.214.10.09
Herbert Jones48480.070.43-0.36-0.02317-1412.813.4-0.6613.614.5-0.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 99, POR 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.68,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,194.9%
GSW 99, DAL 1120.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%
WAS 99, CLE 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%