inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 134 Excitement10.6 [48] MVPCameron Johnson (DEN): +35.0%
Denver Nuggets 136 Comeback24.2 [49] LVPDe'Aaron Fox (SAS): -17.7%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Vassell0.240,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.240.100.170.021458%0.2400.003100%0.07
Victor Wembanyama0.210,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.210.170.050.011767%0.241-0.031794%0.12
Julian Champagnie0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.190.150.04-0.011275%0.1900.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.010.004100%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Dylan Harper0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.07-0.020.04780%0.082-0.0710%-0.01
Carter Bryant0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keldon Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.001042%-0.0000.004100%0.03
Luke Kornet-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Stephon Castle-0.140,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.140.01-0.130.011756%0.054-0.192100%0.01
De'Aaron Fox-0.180,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.18-0.09-0.10-0.011937%-0.152-0.0300%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cameron Johnson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.35,0.35,0.350.350.120.240.011174%0.371-0.021100%0.02
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.310.310.040.280.011262%0.352-0.0500%0.00
Nikola Joki?0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.160.160.21-0.030.012562%0.1600.001587%0.06
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.030.00671%0.1000.002100%0.02
Christian Braun0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.12-0.04-0.001662%0.0900.002100%0.01
Julian Strawther0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jonas Valan?i?nas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.00650%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.030.030.030.010.011358%0.132-0.1000%0.00
Tyus Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00736%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game28.20.039.90.026.60.036.40.014.20.0
league avg26.41.929.114.229.72.232.82.216.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +78.6%
SAS -24.7%
SAS -23.7%
DEN +23.8%
SAS -4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game14.014.614.2121.8121.4113.6
season13.814.6117.9119.6
opponent14.114.5115.0109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS12.912.914.915.513.814.0
DEN12.215.315.716.513.514.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harrison Barnes68700.48-0.981.470.1312-142613.714.4-0.7115.413.22.19
Keldon Johnson90920.18-0.680.850.122-4614.014.1-0.1314.614.40.19
Carter Bryant10100.13-0.630.75-0.025-71211.514.2-2.7420.014.15.92
Luke Kornet58580.07-0.570.640.041-3414.213.70.5315.913.22.67
Dylan Harper8382-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.33-31-414.512.42.1515.811.54.29
Devin Vassell9696-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.37-31-414.113.40.7315.410.15.23
Julian Champagnie9395-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.532-4614.013.90.0614.913.11.83
De'Aaron Fox110112-0.500.00-0.50-0.44-20-214.00.013.9914.60.014.61
Victor Wembanyama110112-0.500.00-0.50-0.44-20-214.00.013.9914.60.014.61
Stephon Castle9594-0.590.09-0.69-0.39-75-1214.510.54.0015.88.67.21

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray97980.55-0.050.600.2311-92015.77.58.1714.410.34.11
Aaron Gordon1121090.52-0.020.530.4620214.60.014.6114.11.013.11
Christian Braun1011020.51-0.010.510.336-41015.47.48.0314.210.93.36
Nikola Joki?1121100.500.000.500.4420214.60.014.6114.00.013.99
Cameron Johnson98990.390.110.280.3902-215.49.46.0014.013.90.09
Tim Hardaway Jr.1091070.180.32-0.140.064-2615.00.314.6714.19.34.79
Tyus Jones23230.060.44-0.39-0.033-1415.714.31.4215.513.61.94
Bruce Brown7470-0.260.76-1.01-0.08-68-1414.514.8-0.2413.215.3-2.14
Jonas Valan?i?nas1515-0.280.78-1.06-0.05-810-1819.913.86.0711.714.4-2.69
Julian Strawther6461-0.460.96-1.410.01-1618-3414.914.20.6313.314.9-1.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.63,0.16,0.23,0.46,0.47,0.64,0.83,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 100, CHA 1080.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.17,0.29,0.1,0.31,0.55,0.33,0.04,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.85,0.92,190.2%
SAC 78, ORL 830.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.37,0.15,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.78,0.83,190.0%
LAC 113, CLE 1180.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.28,0.31,0.17,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.9,0.96,189.5%