inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 125 Excitement12.8 [14] MVPMarcus Smart (LAL): +65.8%
Los Angeles Lakers 127 Comeback23.6 [47] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -42.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.540,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.540.110.440.001367%0.561-0.024100%0.02
Aaron Gordon0.400,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.4,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.40.130.280.011669%0.633-0.23757%-0.04
Bruce Brown0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.110.170.00686%0.2700.002100%0.02
Spencer Jones0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.04-0.01462%0.0800.0000%0.00
Cameron Johnson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.011364%0.142-0.072100%0.04
Christian Braun0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.020.01960%0.071-0.032100%0.04
Jonas Valan?i?nas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.001100%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Nikola Joki?-0.050,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.050.07-0.070.051960%0.074-0.122100%0.01
Jamal Murray-0.430,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.37,-0.37,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43-0.20-0.23-0.001416%-0.252-0.17367%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.660.660.150.520.011570%0.6600.0000%0.00
Luka Don?i?0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0,0,0.350.35-0.040.36-0.022649%0.566-0.21967%0.04
Austin Reaves0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.220.220.140.090.012167%0.473-0.25683%0.01
Deandre Ayton0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.170.17-0.010.17-0.02656%0.212-0.04425%-0.03
Jake LaRavia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.060.002100%0.1000.0000%0.00
Luke Kennard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.00275%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jaxson Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01262%0.0200.00475%0.01
Rui Hachimura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.00650%-0.0100.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36-0.36-0.02-0.34-0.001359%-0.035-0.33367%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.30.330.016.332.21.241.00.015.10.0
league avg26.41.929.014.329.72.232.82.216.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +41.7%
LAL +0.9%
LAL +22.3%
DEN -16.4%
LAL +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game13.914.814.2112.6115.5113.4
season14.714.5119.2115.6
opponent14.114.1114.5115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN15.817.811.211.714.413.9
LAL11.815.816.514.716.814.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray74750.06-0.560.620.36-108-1814.612.52.1914.814.80.04
Spencer Jones110109-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-2214.06.07.9914.821.0-6.23
Bruce Brown105104-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-2213.816.2-2.3815.19.55.63
Tim Hardaway Jr.110108-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-3414.06.07.9914.913.01.86
Nikola Joki?109108-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-3414.14.59.5915.12.512.56
Jonas Valan?i?nas66-0.16-0.340.180.07-86-1420.213.66.6015.014.80.18
Christian Braun100100-0.22-0.280.07-0.07-53-814.111.92.2314.913.91.02
Cameron Johnson106104-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.43-20-213.718.2-4.4815.19.55.63
Aaron Gordon9089-0.800.30-1.09-0.47-119-2014.013.60.4315.113.61.55

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Austin Reaves96980.71-0.210.910.4110-81814.914.20.7013.913.80.17
LeBron James1081080.64-0.140.770.495-3814.724.0-9.3414.16.77.45
Luka Don?i?1101110.500.000.500.4420214.80.014.8313.90.013.92
Deandre Ayton78800.240.26-0.02-0.0510-81815.114.20.9514.013.80.16
Rui Hachimura1031020.160.34-0.170.083-1415.012.03.0214.013.01.00
Marcus Smart1081090.070.43-0.360.10-13-415.12.512.5614.14.59.59
Luke Kennard70700.030.47-0.44-0.063-1414.615.2-0.5914.612.81.73
Jake LaRavia3737-0.260.76-1.01-0.436-41014.814.9-0.1113.414.2-0.85
Jaxson Hayes8988-0.380.88-1.26-0.29-35-815.213.12.0814.212.71.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.1,0.19,0.06,0.23,0.28,0.5,0.61,0.69,0.57,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 117, SAC 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.28,0.11,0.28,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.45,0.83,190.4%
TOR 115, IND 1200.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.26,0.4,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.14,0.28,0.46,0.62,0.46,0.77,0.73,189.5%
DEN 107, TOR 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.21,0.14,0.42,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.84,0.96,189.2%