NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	4.6 [539]		MVP	Sandro Mamukelashvili (TOR): +16.3%
Toronto Raptors	122		Comeback	1.8 [551]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -26.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	-0.01	-0.05	4	64%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	15	53%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jay Huff	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.01	0.06	10	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jarace Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	-0.00	-0.09	14	42%	0.01	4	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Micah Potter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.07	4	100%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kam Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	5	70%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	11	55%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	100%	0.06	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	-0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.18	-0.07	0.00	18	27%	-0.15	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	9	85%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	20	61%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	9	72%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	15	54%	0.12	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.02
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.01
Jonathan Mogbo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alijah Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Lawson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Murray-Boyles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jamison Battle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	6	57%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.0	30.1	0.0	30.9	0.0	30.2	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +36.7%

IND -4.8%

TOR +3.2%

TOR +10.7%

TOR +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	14.5	13.0	14.2	99.0	117.3	113.5
season	13.9	13.9		107.3	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.2		110.9	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	15.7	15.7	12.2	14.5
TOR	13.7	12.0	11.0	15.5	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Furphy	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-9	0	15.6	13.2	2.37	12.5	13.6	-1.09
Jarace Walker	81	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	-2	-14	14.7	14.0	0.61	13.5	11.4	2.05
T.J. McConnell	76	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-3	-12	15.3	12.4	2.85	12.3	14.9	-2.58
Micah Potter	93	92	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-2	-14	14.3	15.8	-1.49	13.5	9.2	4.24
Pascal Siakam	79	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	-2	-14	15.3	12.2	3.04	12.2	15.5	-3.28
Ben Sheppard	97	96	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.08	-19	1	-20	14.4	16.1	-1.74	13.1	12.1	0.95
Aaron Nesmith	60	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.02	-18	0	-18	15.8	12.8	3.00	12.8	13.2	-0.43
Andrew Nembhard	62	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.17	-25	7	-32	16.3	12.0	4.34	12.2	14.1	-1.94
Jay Huff	90	90	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.08	-22	4	-26	14.5	14.6	-0.10	13.2	11.9	1.24
Kam Jones	91	90	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.14	-25	7	-32	14.5	14.6	-0.07	12.9	13.4	-0.50

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	79	80	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.18	27	-9	36	12.2	15.5	-3.32	15.4	11.6	3.83
RJ Barrett	73	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.24	28	-10	38	12.4	14.4	-1.93	15.6	12.0	3.61
Ja'Kobe Walter	71	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.22	26	-8	34	12.8	13.3	-0.49	15.5	12.3	3.12
Gradey Dick	77	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.14	23	-5	28	13.5	11.6	1.90	14.1	15.7	-1.57
Jamison Battle	53	53	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-2	22	13.2	12.8	0.35	14.0	15.0	-1.04
Scottie Barnes	89	91	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.11	21	-3	24	12.6	15.7	-3.12	15.3	9.4	5.87
Sandro Mamukelashvili	96	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	-4	26	12.5	18.9	-6.36	15.1	7.2	7.86
Brandon Ingram	64	66	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.03	18	0	18	12.6	13.6	-1.06	15.6	12.6	2.98
Jonathan Mogbo	26	27	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.10	20	-2	22	11.3	13.6	-2.21	15.7	14.1	1.60
Jamal Shead	96	96	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	0	18	12.9	14.5	-1.62	15.0	9.2	5.79
Collin Murray-Boyles	17	18	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	13	-8	14.0	12.8	1.20	14.2	14.6	-0.42
Trayce Jackson-Davis	39	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	16	-14	13.7	12.6	1.19	13.6	15.1	-1.47
Alijah Martin	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	16	-14	15.5	12.2	3.28	12.2	15.3	-3.04
A.J. Lawson	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	16	-14	15.5	12.2	3.28	12.2	15.3	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CHA 76, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
GSW 85, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%