NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	125		Excitement	9.2 [139]		MVP	Nikola Joki? (DEN): +29.4%
Phoenix Suns	123		Comeback	2.4 [633]		LVP	Rasheer Fleming (PHX): -10.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Joki?	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.29	0.07	0.24	0.01	16	59%	0.36	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Jamal Murray	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.27	0.03	0.26	0.02	18	52%	0.34	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Cameron Johnson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	9	64%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Christian Braun	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	10	65%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Strawther	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	57%	0.10	2	-0.08	10	50%	-0.04
Spencer Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	0.00	13	62%	0.25	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.04	0.02	8	94%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.01	7	71%	0.17	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.12
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.00	19	55%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	14	54%	0.08	0	0.00	13	85%	0.05
Khaman Maluach	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jamaree Bouyea	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.02	11	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheer Fleming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	6	19%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.4	32.1	15.4	33.1	2.4	37.2	147.9
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +62.3%

DEN +0.2%

DEN +8.4%

PHX -24.9%

DEN +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	14.2	125.0	124.2	113.5
season	14.6	14.4		119.3	112.9
opponent	14.6	14.1		111.6	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.3	14.2	13.7	17.2	14.8
PHX	15.8	15.2	13.0	12.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Braun	88	86	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-8	18	14.9	14.2	0.73	14.5	10.8	3.62
Aaron Gordon	81	78	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.50	1	1	0	15.4	12.3	3.08	14.1	13.7	0.41
Nikola Joki?	100	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.8	0.0	14.81	14.0	0.0	13.99
Julian Strawther	25	24	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-15	32	14.2	15.0	-0.81	15.2	13.6	1.61
Jamal Murray	94	92	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	-1	4	14.9	13.8	1.04	14.0	13.3	0.76
Bruce Brown	95	94	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	5	-8	14.9	13.6	1.27	14.2	9.8	4.41
Cameron Johnson	82	81	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.29	-10	12	-22	15.3	12.7	2.55	14.0	14.2	-0.22
Spencer Jones	76	75	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.14	-8	10	-18	14.4	16.2	-1.79	14.7	11.8	2.90
Tim Hardaway Jr.	82	80	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.13	-12	14	-26	15.3	12.7	2.55	14.0	14.0	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khaman Maluach	45	47	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.07	13	-15	28	14.2	13.8	0.39	13.8	15.7	-1.97
Jamaree Bouyea	14	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	3	-8	15.9	13.7	2.17	14.7	14.8	-0.15
Oso Ighodaro	71	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-7	12	14.6	12.5	2.08	15.4	13.3	2.02
Jordan Goodwin	96	97	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-4	6	14.1	10.3	3.77	14.8	16.7	-1.91
Jalen Green	71	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.49	7	-9	16	14.0	14.0	-0.06	15.5	12.7	2.81
Rasheer Fleming	66	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	4	-10	15.1	11.8	3.30	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Grayson Allen	99	100	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	0	-2	14.0	0.0	13.99	14.8	0.0	14.81
Collin Gillespie	80	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	1	-4	14.7	11.2	3.50	15.0	13.8	1.19
Devin Booker	94	96	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.42	-4	2	-6	13.9	15.0	-1.06	14.7	16.2	-1.50
Royce O'Neale	78	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.48	-4	2	-6	14.2	13.1	1.14	15.3	12.7	2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.3,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.2,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	91.4%
BOS 118, MIN 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.25,0.2,0.11,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.07,0.11,0.02,0.01,0	90.9%
HOU 112, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.1,0.09,0	90.9%