inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 82 Excitement3.4 [1084] MVPVictor Wembanyama (SAS): +9.8%
San Antonio Spurs 103 Comeback1.1 [827] LVPJared McCain (OKC): -12.7%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Joe0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.010.05958%0.021-0.001100%0.00
Chet Holmgren0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.060.01-0.06845%0.053-0.04667%-0.02
Nikola Topić0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.04762%-0.0110.002100%-0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein-0.010,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.000.021155%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Alex Caruso-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.01-0.01831%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jaylin Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.05721%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Aaron Wiggins-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.140.00-0.101118%-0.052-0.0000%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.010.021551%-0.014-0.077100%0.01
Jared McCain-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.14-0.01-0.031018%-0.102-0.022100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.000.012262%0.134-0.03989%0.03
Devin Vassell0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.02-0.02765%0.0910.00683%0.00
Stephon Castle0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.011154%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Luke Kornet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.01475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Lindy Waters III00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.031344%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Carter Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01436%-0.011-0.02683%-0.00
Julian Champagnie0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.02714%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Dylan Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.000.03450%-0.052-0.02650%-0.04
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.14-0.02-0.081223%-0.042-0.0420%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.40.035.10.040.00.034.80.0
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +19.9%
SAS +6.7%
SAS +10.7%
SAS +11.0%
SAS +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game15.212.714.280.499.0113.5
season13.913.8116.9117.2
opponent14.614.7108.6105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC18.114.514.314.215.2
SAS11.213.212.314.112.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Topić2526-0.02-0.480.460.07-3-181514.215.6-1.4214.112.31.82
Isaiah Joe6161-0.14-0.360.220.06-7-14714.216.7-2.5013.311.91.33
Luguentz Dort4143-0.19-0.310.130.22-14-7-716.714.22.4613.712.01.72
Aaron Wiggins7273-0.34-0.16-0.180.22-19-2-1716.013.42.6013.111.91.15
Chet Holmgren7881-0.35-0.15-0.190.15-17-4-1316.112.33.7912.712.9-0.20
Jaylin Williams99101-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-16-5-1115.312.03.3312.97.35.54
Isaiah Hartenstein4547-0.41-0.09-0.330.29-243-2717.013.93.0813.112.40.68
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7778-0.48-0.02-0.460.05-18-3-1515.614.21.4212.314.1-1.82
Alex Caruso4747-0.48-0.02-0.470.34-287-3517.213.63.5912.612.8-0.29
Cason Wallace6871-0.530.03-0.560.18-243-2716.213.32.9112.612.9-0.33
Jared McCain7374-0.550.05-0.590.16-243-2715.714.01.7312.612.9-0.26
Kenrich Williams101103-0.550.05-0.600.13-232-2515.220.0-4.8112.82.010.82

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Julian Champagnie96930.500.000.50-0.1522-12312.515.0-2.4815.611.73.91
De'Aaron Fox97940.500.000.50-0.092011912.713.4-0.7715.511.63.92
Devin Vassell89860.500.000.50-0.2024-32712.414.3-1.8215.811.93.91
Victor Wembanyama86830.500.000.50-0.092011912.414.1-1.6315.613.61.97
Keldon Johnson90890.450.050.39-0.2022-12313.110.52.5615.314.50.89
Dylan Harper76750.410.090.32-0.4128-73512.712.7-0.0016.312.14.20
Luke Kornet71690.370.130.24-0.191921712.712.8-0.1116.013.62.36
Stephon Castle72710.340.160.18-0.161741312.513.2-0.7817.011.25.76
Harrison Barnes50480.210.29-0.090.00714-713.412.11.2515.115.3-0.21
Carter Bryant47470.090.41-0.31-0.11714-713.312.30.9914.715.7-1.03
Lindy Waters III26250.020.48-0.46-0.07318-1514.112.31.8214.215.6-1.42
Kelly Olynyk26250.020.48-0.46-0.07318-1514.112.31.8214.215.6-1.42
Jordan McLaughlin26250.020.48-0.46-0.07318-1514.112.31.8214.215.6-1.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 72, NJN 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
DAL 95, LAL 1240.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.65,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
TOR 85, ORL 1140.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%