NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	119		Excitement	11.2 [24]		MVP	Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ATL): +51.0%
Atlanta Hawks	121		Comeback	5.8 [220]		LVP	Zaccharie Risacher (ATL): -25.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.00	10	70%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ace Bailey	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.18	-0.05	0.20	-0.03	26	38%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	11	64%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.08
Lauri Markkanen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.00	-0.01	12	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Oscar Tshiebwe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.11,-0.1	0.02	-0.13	-0.01	22	52%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12	0.03	-0.15	0.00	9	65%	-0.01	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.03
Cody Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	9	25%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.51	0.51	0.14	0.38	0.01	15	66%	0.51	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
Jock Landale	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.51	0.51	0.19	0.31	0.00	14	87%	0.55	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.19	0.09	0.00	9	91%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.08	-0.02	19	51%	0.30	4	-0.19	5	80%	-0.01
Asa Newell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	53%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	12	31%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dyson Daniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	12	42%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.17	-0.10	-0.01	8	0%	-0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.4	27.2	14.3	27.7	2.3	34.9	135.3
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +53.2%

ATL +26.0%

UTA -60.4%

ATL +27.2%

ATL +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	12.8	14.2	120.2	121.0	113.5
season	14.1	13.2		112.8	113.4
opponent	14.4	13.7		113.2	120.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.2	17.2	15.2	18.1	16.1
ATL	12.9	12.8	11.4	14.6	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Svi Mykhailiuk	84	85	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.13	10	-12	22	15.3	20.6	-5.34	13.5	9.2	4.28
Brice Sensabaugh	89	91	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-2	2	15.4	22.3	-6.93	12.8	13.1	-0.30
Lauri Markkanen	61	61	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.01	1	-3	4	15.5	16.9	-1.42	12.7	13.1	-0.39
Ace Bailey	91	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-1	0	16.2	14.4	1.84	13.1	10.4	2.63
Oscar Tshiebwe	49	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-1	0	16.5	15.6	0.91	12.9	12.8	0.03
Isaiah Collier	99	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	16.1	0.0	16.07	12.8	0.0	12.84
Kyle Filipowski	69	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.58	-1	-1	0	16.0	16.2	-0.23	13.9	10.3	3.58
Cody Williams	87	88	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.51	-6	4	-10	16.3	14.4	1.88	13.1	10.9	2.19

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	75	74	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.51	6	-4	10	13.3	11.4	1.92	17.0	13.2	3.84
Jalen Johnson	91	91	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	0	2	13.1	10.4	2.63	16.2	14.4	1.84
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	100	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	12.8	0.0	12.84	16.1	0.0	16.07
CJ McCollum	99	97	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	-2	6	12.9	7.0	5.90	16.3	3.0	13.34
Dyson Daniels	90	89	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	-1	4	13.1	10.1	3.04	16.5	12.1	4.42
Mouhamed Gueye	83	82	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.44	-5	7	-12	13.2	11.1	2.08	15.5	19.1	-3.61
Corey Kispert	89	89	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.38	-4	6	-10	13.2	9.9	3.29	15.8	18.1	-2.26
Asa Newell	73	73	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.01	-9	11	-20	13.3	11.6	1.76	14.7	20.0	-5.28
Zaccharie Risacher	54	55	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.07	-13	15	-28	14.0	11.5	2.52	15.8	16.4	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.48,0.33,0.48,0.33,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.15,0.23,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.27,1	91.9%
SAC 108, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.27,1	90.9%
VAN 85, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.22,0.31,0.16,0.11,0.42,1	90.8%