inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 130 Excitement10.4 [52] MVPMatas Buzelis (CHI): +36.3%
Golden State Warriors 124 Comeback111.4 [7] LVPAl Horford (GSW): -23.2%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matas Buzelis0.360,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.360.250.130.022867%0.421-0.06580%0.00
Jalen Smith0.220,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.22-0.040.260.001340%0.241-0.024100%0.22
Leonard Miller0.200,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.050.13-0.011653%0.2000.0000%0.00
Nick Richards0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.030.00759%0.081-0.02367%-0.00
Tre Jones0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.030.001861%0.162-0.1300%0.00
Josh Giddey-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.011658%0.155-0.15475%0.01
Rob Dillingham-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.100.01-0.001123%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Guerschon Yabusele-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.06-0.01325%-0.011-0.082100%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LJ Cryer0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.350.350.150.19-0.00781%0.3500.00786%0.03
Draymond Green0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.120.120.015120%0.251-0.0200%0.00
Gary Payton II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.070.00775%0.181-0.042100%0.01
Kristaps Porzi??is0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.04-0.001355%0.121-0.035100%0.04
Pat Spencer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.060.060.040.020.011652%0.081-0.0310%-0.01
Gui Santos0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.030.03-0.050.06-0.021945%0.113-0.0800%0.00
Malevy Leons00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Richard0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.01942%0.021-0.031100%0.01
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00850%0.042-0.062100%0.01
Nate Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.06-0.17-0.001836%-0.181-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.01.426.215.231.11.336.00.010.40.0
league avg26.41.929.014.329.72.232.82.216.7136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +4.4%
CHI +18.1%
CHI +39.1%
GSW -17.9%
CHI +6.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIGSWNBACHIGSWNBA
this game13.415.114.2116.1111.7113.4
season13.614.7111.4112.9
opponent13.714.2112.4116.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI13.915.013.112.113.113.4
GSW15.016.314.614.116.715.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matas Buzelis1121110.500.000.500.3260613.40.013.4315.10.015.10
Josh Giddey1121110.500.000.500.3260613.40.013.4315.10.015.10
Jalen Smith94920.350.150.200.2924-213.711.91.8315.214.80.37
Leonard Miller1111100.140.36-0.220.0242213.56.07.5015.23.012.21
Tre Jones98980.100.40-0.31-0.0860613.810.92.8615.710.84.82
Rob Dillingham7272-0.070.57-0.650.16-814-2214.012.41.6414.915.4-0.52
Guerschon Yabusele6765-0.310.81-1.120.01-1117-2813.912.71.2014.815.5-0.61
Nick Richards103100-0.420.92-1.34-0.22-713-2013.611.91.6715.213.71.52

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LJ Cryer76790.52-1.021.540.0217-234015.015.3-0.2313.912.21.72
Pat Spencer971000.45-0.951.410.0115-213615.214.40.8513.611.62.07
Draymond Green88900.24-0.740.98-0.0510-162615.613.22.4314.110.73.42
Gary Payton II91940.05-0.550.60-0.105-111615.613.02.5613.512.90.58
Malevy Leons2626-0.08-0.420.35-0.080-6614.615.2-0.6313.113.5-0.46
Kristaps Porzi??is9193-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-2-215.413.91.4613.612.60.96
Nate Williams3637-0.19-0.310.120.07-93-1216.614.42.2415.112.62.51
Brandin Podziemski102104-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-2-215.313.22.0413.413.6-0.21
Will Richard104105-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.01-93-1215.67.18.4913.79.44.27
Gui Santos110112-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.33-4-2-215.20.015.2413.40.013.43
Al Horford110112-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.33-4-2-215.20.015.2413.40.013.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.45,0.53,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.5,0.25,0.36,0.09,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 103, PHI 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.77,0.96,0.46,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.04,086.7%
SAS 101, NOP 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.46,0.55,0.66,0.32,0.1,086.1%
WAS 100, MIL 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.54,0.39,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.23,0.05,085.4%