NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	117		Excitement	6.4 [441]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAC): +37.8%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	2.2 [748]		LVP	Sion James (CHA): -10.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kon Knueppel	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.19	0.12	-0.02	13	77%	0.34	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Miles Bridges	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.04	0.03	15	84%	0.25	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Moussa Diabat�	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	3	33%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	15	59%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
LaMelo Ball	0.05	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.03	0.03	22	62%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Xavier Tillman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	47%	0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sion James	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38	0.38	0.23	0.11	-0.03	22	80%	0.42	4	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Daeqwon Plowden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Nique Clifford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	16	51%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Killian Hayes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.04	9	61%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Maxime Raynaud	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	0.0	30.1	0.0	37.1	0.0	31.9	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +24.4%

CHA +4.2%

CHA +20.2%

SAC -3.0%

CHA +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SAC	NBA	CHA	SAC	NBA
this game	14.7	15.2	14.2	120.6	114.7	113.4
season	15.0	14.3		116.1	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.0		118.7	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.5	15.0	13.5	15.8	14.7
SAC	14.8	15.0	17.8	13.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Miller	87	86	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.19	18	-10	28	15.0	12.7	2.27	15.5	13.0	2.48
LaMelo Ball	84	83	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.19	17	-9	26	14.6	15.4	-0.75	15.3	14.5	0.85
Moussa Diabat�	85	83	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-6	20	14.8	14.5	0.26	15.3	14.5	0.85
Miles Bridges	81	80	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-7	22	14.6	15.2	-0.62	15.3	14.7	0.68
Kon Knueppel	85	84	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-5	18	14.4	17.2	-2.87	15.6	12.5	3.05
Sion James	94	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-3	14	14.8	13.7	1.10	15.6	4.0	11.61
Josh Green	73	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	1	6	14.6	15.0	-0.36	15.3	15.0	0.32
Coby White	77	75	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	-3	14	14.0	17.6	-3.61	15.5	14.4	1.00
Xavier Tillman	66	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	5	-2	13.9	16.5	-2.57	15.5	14.7	0.84
Pat Connaughton	19	18	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	7	-6	14.1	14.9	-0.78	13.2	15.7	-2.49

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Eubanks	71	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	15.8	13.5	2.28	14.4	15.8	-1.44
Maxime Raynaud	60	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.00	-15	7	-22	14.8	16.0	-1.20	14.0	15.9	-1.88
Doug McDermott	89	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.18	-10	2	-12	15.4	12.2	3.28	14.5	17.7	-3.21
Daeqwon Plowden	82	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	3	-14	15.7	12.5	3.13	14.1	18.5	-4.40
Nique Clifford	95	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	15.2	0.0	15.24	14.7	0.0	14.73
DeMar DeRozan	95	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	15.2	0.0	15.24	14.7	0.0	14.73
Killian Hayes	81	81	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.15	-22	14	-36	15.4	14.1	1.37	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Precious Achiuwa	74	75	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.12	-23	15	-38	15.7	13.7	2.02	14.2	16.6	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.29,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 109, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
CHH 95, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
NJN 114, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	94.2%