inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 113 Excitement7.0 [441] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +19.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder 122 Comeback1.6 [717] LVPIsaiah Hartenstein (OKC): -7.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Vassell0.180,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.180.150.060.031473%0.211-0.032100%0.01
Jordan McLaughlin0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.003100%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Luke Kornet0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.020.00283%0.092-0.072100%0.01
Victor Wembanyama0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.021662%0.124-0.112100%0.01
Dylan Harper-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.021055%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Keldon Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.001240%-0.021-0.0210%-0.02
Carter Bryant-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Stephon Castle-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.001766%0.189-0.234100%0.02
Julian Champagnie-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.030.01840%-0.0500.00475%-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.20.200.110.08-0.012456%0.221-0.026100%0.03
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.170.040.02794%0.1900.004100%0.02
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.130.060.006100%0.1900.0000%0.00
Chet Holmgren0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.020.001054%0.081-0.03475%0.01
Jared McCain0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.060.001440%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Luguentz Dort0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00480%0.071-0.03250%-0.01
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.020.00650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jalen Williams0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ajay Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00856%0.053-0.082100%0.01
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.01850%-0.013-0.06450%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.60.135.615.628.50.137.8147.3
league avg26.41.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +6.2%
OKC +7.8%
OKC +3.0%
OKC +33.8%
SAS -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game14.115.214.2116.5123.2113.5
season13.813.8117.5117.2
opponent14.714.6105.7108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.614.713.913.314.1
OKC14.113.616.117.315.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dylan Harper6364-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-5114.912.82.0914.915.7-0.78
Luke Kornet5958-0.21-0.290.09-0.00-7-2-514.813.01.8515.015.5-0.43
Keldon Johnson7475-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.14-7-2-514.612.71.9315.713.62.15
Jordan McLaughlin6264-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.05-101-1114.513.41.1315.115.4-0.25
Harrison Barnes5759-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.17-8-1-714.313.80.4715.315.10.19
Devin Vassell9495-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.20-7-2-514.116.0-1.9415.410.25.17
Carter Bryant7678-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.09-145-1914.811.82.9515.115.6-0.52
Julian Champagnie9799-0.500.00-0.50-0.24-90-914.10.014.1215.20.015.21
Victor Wembanyama9799-0.520.02-0.53-0.25-90-914.10.014.1215.20.015.21
Stephon Castle9092-0.540.04-0.57-0.21-112-1314.59.35.2115.313.61.77

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared McCain98970.53-0.030.550.2690915.213.02.2314.10.014.12
Chet Holmgren98970.53-0.030.550.2690915.213.02.2314.10.014.12
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander99970.51-0.010.520.2590915.20.015.2114.10.014.12
Ajay Mitchell97950.480.020.470.3454115.311.04.3014.210.04.21
Alex Caruso95930.460.040.430.2672515.312.23.0914.55.58.99
Cason Wallace91900.370.130.250.2354115.313.91.4513.917.1-3.25
Isaiah Hartenstein60610.360.140.220.1863315.814.21.6214.513.60.90
Aaron Wiggins26250.320.180.13-0.0111-21313.615.8-2.2214.713.90.75
Luguentz Dort81810.170.33-0.170.1709-915.713.12.6414.313.30.97
Isaiah Joe55550.070.43-0.35-0.0136-314.516.1-1.5414.314.00.30
Jalen Williams2122-0.030.53-0.57-0.01-110-1114.715.4-0.6914.813.90.84
Jaylin Williams5454-0.070.57-0.63-0.04-110-1115.115.4-0.3414.613.51.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.85,0.94,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 115, POR 1180.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.8,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.99,194.1%
CHI 102, DET 1180.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,193.2%
HOU 83, ATL 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,193.1%