NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	10.5 [45]		MVP	Jerami Grant (POR): +44.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	2.7 [328]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (MIN): -30.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.44	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.09,0.14,0.44	0.12	0.34	0.02	16	76%	0.64	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.03
Donovan Clingan	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	13	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sidy Cissoko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Deni Avdija	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	18	53%	0.08	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.08
Kris Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	10	46%	0.02	3	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
Toumani Camara	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.04
Robert Williams III	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.06	-0.14	-0.01	17	34%	-0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.06,0.03,0.18	0.18	-0.06	0.23	-0.01	16	46%	0.32	4	-0.14	9	78%	0.03
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	65%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.01	11	57%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.05
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.12	0.00	15	53%	0.08	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.12	-0.12	0.05	-0.14	0.02	14	53%	-0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31	-0.31	-0.10	-0.20	0.00	16	41%	-0.17	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.3	29.0	13.4	29.9	1.4	39.0	140.3
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +28.3%

POR +9.6%

POR +24.7%

MIN -12.9%

POR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	13.7	14.2	105.9	102.0	113.4
season	13.8	13.9		111.2	114.9
opponent	14.1	14.1		111.8	113.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.7	13.6	15.7	14.0	14.5
MIN	12.9	12.6	14.2	15.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	94	94	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-7	18	14.5	14.6	-0.16	13.8	12.7	1.05
Toumani Camara	88	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-2	8	14.1	17.0	-2.92	13.4	15.6	-2.18
Jerami Grant	74	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	-3	10	14.2	15.1	-0.86	13.4	14.5	-1.04
Jrue Holiday	101	101	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	2	0	14.5	13.0	1.50	13.8	5.0	8.80
Deni Avdija	98	99	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	2	0	14.5	14.2	0.24	13.9	7.3	6.58
Donovan Clingan	91	92	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	2	0	14.3	15.8	-1.50	13.7	14.2	-0.54
Robert Williams III	80	80	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	-6	16	14.5	14.3	0.21	13.8	13.3	0.51
Sidy Cissoko	26	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-1	6	14.7	14.4	0.23	13.2	13.9	-0.68
Kris Murray	68	66	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	8	-12	15.5	12.4	3.15	13.5	14.0	-0.48
Scoot Henderson	77	75	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.16	-3	7	-10	15.2	12.3	2.86	13.6	14.1	-0.54

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Shannon Jr.	64	64	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.15	-3	-1	-2	13.1	14.8	-1.75	14.6	14.2	0.43
Kyle Anderson	83	84	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.00	1	-5	6	13.3	15.5	-2.16	15.0	12.3	2.67
Bones Hyland	85	86	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	0	-4	13.6	14.5	-0.91	14.9	12.2	2.72
Jaden McDaniels	96	96	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-6	8	13.7	13.2	0.58	14.4	15.0	-0.55
Rudy Gobert	92	91	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-2	0	13.7	14.2	-0.54	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Ayo Dosunmu	102	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.7	0.0	13.72	14.5	0.0	14.48
Julius Randle	102	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.7	0.0	13.72	14.5	0.0	14.48
Donte DiVincenzo	85	84	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.22	-15	11	-26	13.6	14.3	-0.69	13.9	17.3	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.3,0.41,0.6,0.55,0.28,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 108, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.27,0	91.2%
MEM 86, ORL 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.42,0	90.1%
SEA 91, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.44,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.65,0.28,0	90.0%