NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	7.7 [308]		MVP	Baylor Scheierman (BOS): +67.1%
New York Knicks	112		Comeback	4.2 [396]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -35.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baylor Scheierman	0.67	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.48,0.67,0.67,0.67	0.25	0.43	0.00	8	125%	0.67	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.06	0.06	-0.05	20	57%	0.23	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vu?evi?	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	10	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jayson Tatum	-0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.36,-0.36	-0.10	-0.25	0.00	22	44%	-0.03	6	-0.32	10	80%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.44	0.44	0.16	0.27	-0.01	15	81%	0.49	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.18	-0.00	12	59%	0.27	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.10	-0.01	19	60%	0.23	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.05
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.02	4	125%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	0.0	29.4	0.0	27.9	0.0	28.8	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.7%

BOS -3.4%

BOS -11.2%

NYK +30.7%

NYK +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	17.0	14.9	14.2	117.8	124.4	113.7
season	15.5	14.9		118.9	118.1
opponent	14.2	14.3		111.5	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.0	17.1	17.6	17.5	17.0
NYK	13.1	12.6	18.4	16.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Hauser	63	65	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.12	4	-10	14	17.2	16.6	0.56	15.6	13.1	2.57
Jordan Walsh	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	3	-12	16.8	17.3	-0.42	13.5	17.1	-3.68
Derrick White	83	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	17.0	17.0	0.02	15.1	12.8	2.25
Nikola Vu?evi?	76	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-3	0	16.9	17.5	-0.57	15.6	11.6	3.98
Payton Pritchard	90	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	17.0	0.0	17.02	14.9	0.0	14.93
Baylor Scheierman	73	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	1	-8	17.0	17.2	-0.19	15.6	12.5	3.05
Neemias Queta	67	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	7	-20	17.4	16.0	1.31	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Jayson Tatum	84	85	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.39	-12	6	-18	17.1	15.3	1.81	14.7	18.8	-4.09

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	73	73	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.44	9	-3	12	15.4	12.8	2.60	17.0	16.9	0.10
Karl-Anthony Towns	77	76	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-3	12	15.0	14.7	0.28	17.2	16.1	1.04
Landry Shamet	66	67	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.45	7	-1	8	15.8	12.5	3.26	17.5	15.6	1.96
Jalen Brunson	90	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.9	0.0	14.93	17.0	0.0	17.02
Josh Hart	85	84	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.38	2	4	-2	15.1	12.6	2.47	17.2	14.7	2.52
Jordan Clarkson	26	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	2	2	15.7	14.6	1.12	17.2	16.9	0.29
OG Anunoby	78	79	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.02	4	2	2	14.6	17.2	-2.58	17.1	16.5	0.54
Miles McBride	64	63	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	6	-6	15.2	14.3	0.88	17.0	17.1	-0.07
Mitchell Robinson	63	65	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	8	-10	15.5	13.6	1.92	16.8	17.5	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.67,1,1	91.1%
CLE 93, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.58,1	90.9%
SAS 92, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.33,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.55,0.74,1	90.6%