inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 100 Excitement8.4 [204] MVPLeBron James (LAL): +11.6%
Houston Rockets 92 Comeback3.8 [212] LVPKevin Durant (HOU): -31.7%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.120,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.120.060.070.011360%0.141-0.03475%0.01
Marcus Smart0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.030.00961%0.0900.0000%0.00
Luka Don?i?0.090,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.090.11-0.000.022761%0.204-0.12580%0.00
Deandre Ayton0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0.02,0.02-0.010.040.01650%0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Jake LaRavia-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.01-0.00270%0.083-0.09683%0.06
Jaxson Hayes-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Luke Kennard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Rui Hachimura-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.050.00650%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Austin Reaves-0.260,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.09-0.17-0.001837%-0.231-0.035100%0.04

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amen Thompson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.04-0.011363%0.174-0.11475%0.02
Jabari Smith Jr.0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.09-0.020.011761%0.101-0.042100%0.02
Josh Okogie00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00469%0.093-0.09560%-0.01
Reed Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.001150%0.062-0.0700%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.130.00757%-0.043-0.1100%0.00
Tari Eason0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.22-0.22-0.14-0.10-0.021121%-0.182-0.04250%-0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32-0.32-0.10-0.220.011653%-0.057-0.262100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.90.634.014.332.82.331.9138.0
league avg26.41.929.014.329.72.232.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +2.6%
LAL +6.3%
HOU -19.9%
LAL +57.2%
LAL +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALHOUNBALALHOUNBA
this game14.816.314.2107.5100.0113.4
season14.515.5115.5115.0
opponent14.014.1111.0114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL14.115.512.817.114.8
HOU17.216.515.316.416.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Austin Reaves90890.58-0.080.670.2910-21214.912.32.5316.025.7-9.67
Luka Don?i?93920.500.000.500.2780814.80.014.7816.30.016.32
Marcus Smart87860.480.020.450.2480814.715.3-0.5916.711.55.15
LeBron James77760.450.050.410.2280814.814.60.2716.714.62.12
Deandre Ayton75730.390.110.280.2262415.014.10.9016.515.80.66
Jake LaRavia46470.310.190.130.0880814.215.3-1.0815.816.9-1.08
Rui Hachimura88860.150.35-0.200.1217-614.715.8-1.0716.513.23.37
Luke Kennard82800.080.42-0.35-0.0135-214.318.5-4.1616.714.02.66
Jaxson Hayes3937-0.090.59-0.67-0.06-19-1015.114.60.5016.116.5-0.39

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorian Finney-Smith8183-0.03-0.470.440.00-1-7616.217.0-0.7814.715.2-0.47
Josh Okogie4444-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.03-124-1615.916.7-0.8713.416.0-2.57
Clint Capela6566-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.16-80-816.615.60.9715.114.01.05
Kevin Durant8283-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.22-80-816.514.81.7014.913.51.44
Amen Thompson9091-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.26-80-816.57.59.0114.813.51.31
Jabari Smith Jr.9293-0.500.00-0.50-0.27-80-816.30.016.3214.80.014.78
Reed Sheppard9191-0.520.02-0.54-0.29-80-816.52.014.4714.815.5-0.73
Tari Eason8283-0.710.21-0.92-0.24-168-2416.117.8-1.6714.715.7-1.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.52,0.48,0.26,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.39,0.14,0.03,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 112, LAL 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.36,0.34,0.02,091.5%
PHI 100, IND 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.06,0.09,091.3%
OKC 102, NOP 910.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.32,0.1,0.03,0,090.8%