NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	114		Excitement	5.5 [668]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +34.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	125		Comeback	1.6 [782]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (NYK): -5.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.06	0.04	16	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.00	0.02	27	59%	0.19	4	-0.09	12	83%	0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.02	0.05	11	77%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	38%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Mitchell Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.38	0.06	0.09	19	85%	0.44	3	-0.09	21	90%	0.04
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.05	-0.05	21	54%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	8	83%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	79%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.1	2.6	31.4	15.8	26.1	3.6	40.2	154.8
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +35.3%

PHI +9.8%

PHI +5.0%

PHI +0.1%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	15.2	14.5	123.9	137.4	113.9
season	15.6	14.8		116.9	115.8
opponent	14.4	14.4		112.6	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	20.2	18.1	12.7	16.2
PHI	14.7	14.8	15.3	16.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Robinson	23	23	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.04	7	-18	25	16.4	16.2	0.20	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Precious Achiuwa	19	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	15.1	16.5	-1.43	17.1	14.7	2.30
Bojan Bogdanovic	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	17.1	15.9	1.29	13.1	16.1	-3.01
Donte DiVincenzo	54	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-11	11	15.7	17.0	-1.30	15.6	14.7	0.84
Miles McBride	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	17.1	15.5	1.53	14.9	15.5	-0.55
OG Anunoby	74	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	16.4	15.4	0.99	15.7	13.4	2.29
Josh Hart	83	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	2	-15	15.8	20.6	-4.78	15.5	12.4	3.13
Jalen Brunson	88	87	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	3	-17	16.2	17.7	-1.58	15.2	16.7	-1.59
Isaiah Hartenstein	50	49	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	0.04	-24	13	-37	16.6	15.8	0.79	14.9	15.6	-0.68

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	74	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-5	21	15.4	14.5	0.86	16.9	13.0	3.92
Nicolas Batum	56	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	2	7	14.8	15.9	-1.11	15.9	16.9	-1.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	71	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	4	3	15.8	13.1	2.73	15.6	18.6	-3.02
Kyle Lowry	59	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	0	11	15.5	14.8	0.65	16.4	16.0	0.37
Tyrese Maxey	79	80	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	7	-3	15.5	13.2	2.28	15.4	22.0	-6.62
Cameron Payne	28	29	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	2	7	14.0	15.8	-1.73	18.9	15.0	3.93
Tobias Harris	63	62	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	9	-7	15.1	15.5	-0.44	17.3	14.0	3.32
Buddy Hield	9	9	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	9	-7	12.3	15.5	-3.22	13.4	16.5	-3.10
Paul Reed	16	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	16	-21	15.2	15.2	0.02	13.5	16.8	-3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 79, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1	94.9%
PHX 79, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
HOU 77, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%