NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	101		Excitement	8.2 [212]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +15.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	110		Comeback	6.1 [312]		LVP	Herbert Jones (NOP): -18.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.05	-0.05	18	59%	0.24	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.07
Bryce McGowens	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	15	60%	0.06	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.02	0.06	13	52%	0.04	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Derik Queen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Saddiq Bey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	18	47%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	-0.00
Jeremiah Fears	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	6	42%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	7	14%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	8	76%	0.20	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	82%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.07	-0.02	15	43%	0.05	5	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.07	0.05	12	66%	0.09	5	-0.16	8	50%	-0.10
Luka Don?i?	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.19,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	22	55%	0.15	7	-0.23	5	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	30.3	13.4	29.1	1.2	35.8	138.6
league avg	26.3	2.0	29.0	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.4%

LAL +2.8%

LAL +8.9%

NOP -3.3%

LAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	LAL	NBA	NOP	LAL	NBA
this game	13.2	14.0	14.2	95.3	103.8	113.3
season	14.1	14.5		111.4	115.0
opponent	14.1	14.1		114.6	116.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.2	14.5	12.5	13.6	13.2
LAL	14.4	13.7	13.7	14.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	85	83	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.08	3	-12	15	13.3	12.6	0.75	14.1	13.4	0.74
Derik Queen	78	78	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.09	0	-9	9	13.3	12.7	0.57	13.8	14.4	-0.62
Jeremiah Fears	87	87	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.07	-1	-8	7	13.5	11.8	1.62	13.7	15.4	-1.77
Yves Missi	19	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	0	-9	15.2	12.7	2.42	13.0	14.2	-1.16
Bryce McGowens	81	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-1	-7	13.7	11.5	2.16	13.4	16.0	-2.60
Zion Williamson	90	90	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-5	1	12.9	14.6	-1.71	14.1	13.4	0.63
Herbert Jones	101	101	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	1	-11	13.2	12.0	1.23	14.1	11.2	2.91
Saddiq Bey	101	100	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	1	-11	13.2	12.8	0.39	13.9	14.3	-0.38
Trey Murphy III	97	97	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	0	-9	13.0	14.6	-1.51	13.8	15.4	-1.61
Dejounte Murray	79	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	-1	-7	13.3	12.7	0.58	14.2	13.4	0.78

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	68	67	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-4	17	13.8	14.2	-0.41	13.2	13.1	0.19
Jaxson Hayes	96	96	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	0	9	13.8	15.3	-1.47	13.0	14.5	-1.47
Luka Don?i?	101	101	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-1	11	14.1	11.2	2.91	13.2	12.0	1.23
LeBron James	106	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	14.0	0.0	13.97	13.2	0.0	13.17
Austin Reaves	93	93	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	2	5	14.1	13.1	1.02	13.1	13.9	-0.86
Luke Kennard	98	97	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	5	-1	13.8	15.5	-1.65	13.6	8.8	4.80
Rui Hachimura	75	77	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	9	-9	13.9	14.3	-0.40	13.2	13.2	-0.00
Jake LaRavia	73	73	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	8	-7	13.4	15.3	-1.93	13.2	13.1	0.07
Deandre Ayton	64	63	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.06	-11	20	-31	14.4	13.3	1.14	13.2	13.2	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.33,0.6,0.81,0.85,0.85,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 81, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.47,0.65,0.81,0.92,0.97,1,1	91.8%
DEN 101, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.95,1	91.3%
UTA 98, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	90.9%