inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 89 Excitement9.4 [124] MVPSam Merrill (CLE): +31.9%
Toronto Raptors 93 Comeback15.2 [69] LVPDonovan Mitchell (CLE): -18.0%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Merrill0.320,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.31,0.320.120.210.00974%0.3200.001100%0.01
Dean Wade0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00570%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jaylon Tyson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.02-0.00650%0.052-0.06650%-0.04
Keon Ellis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dennis Schröder-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00757%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Jarrett Allen-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.01-0.00521%-0.0500.00425%-0.05
James Harden-0.050,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.01-0.001456%0.137-0.18683%0.04
Evan Mobley-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.050.020.031136%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Max Strus-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.04-0.0158%-0.101-0.03250%-0.01
Donovan Mitchell-0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.19,-0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.18-0.12-0.08-0.022438%-0.064-0.124100%0.04

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scottie Barnes0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.270.27-0.020.28-0.011552%0.384-0.111479%0.14
Jakob Poeltl0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.08-0.01762%0.1600.002100%0.01
Collin Murray-Boyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.001152%0.062-0.05771%-0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.010.00333%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.J. Lawson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamison Battle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandon Ingram0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.022342%0.001-0.06989%0.02
Jamal Shead0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00617%-0.0900.0000%0.00
RJ Barrett0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11-0.11-0.150.03-0.012237%-0.004-0.10425%-0.04
Ja'Kobe Walter0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.14-0.03-0.0190%-0.1600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.60.131.213.636.90.049.30.0
league avg26.41.929.114.229.82.132.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE -36.8%
TOR +38.9%
TOR +19.8%
TOR +28.4%
CLE -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLETORNBACLETORNBA
this game15.513.714.290.893.9113.5
season13.813.9116.7113.7
opponent14.814.5110.9112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE14.915.215.616.515.5
TOR13.213.014.414.213.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dennis Schröder66660.13-0.630.75-0.087-111815.316.0-0.6514.512.12.44
Keon Ellis15140.04-0.540.580.011-5614.715.7-0.9415.813.32.44
Dean Wade7170-0.06-0.440.39-0.4112-162815.715.00.7815.010.44.63
Evan Mobley8889-0.13-0.370.24-0.244-81215.813.22.6014.47.66.77
Jaylon Tyson8081-0.21-0.290.08-0.09-40-415.216.9-1.7313.514.6-1.13
Jarrett Allen7980-0.24-0.260.01-0.395-91415.913.92.0314.98.56.45
Sam Merrill3838-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.35-1-3215.815.40.4214.813.01.79
Max Strus9899-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-40-415.50.015.5313.70.013.69
Donovan Mitchell9899-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-40-415.50.015.5313.70.013.69
James Harden8990-0.530.03-0.56-0.38-51-615.515.8-0.2713.911.32.59

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
RJ Barrett91910.52-0.020.530.4040413.812.61.1615.417.1-1.74
Scottie Barnes99980.500.000.500.3840413.70.013.6915.50.015.53
Collin Murray-Boyles99980.500.000.500.3840413.70.013.6915.50.015.53
Brandon Ingram90890.370.130.250.3413-214.110.04.0615.317.3-1.99
Jamal Shead91900.300.200.100.45-59-1414.37.07.2715.614.90.71
Jamison Battle39380.010.49-0.480.10-37-1013.214.0-0.7515.215.7-0.57
Jakob Poeltl4545-0.060.56-0.620.14-711-1814.513.01.5515.315.7-0.41
Sandro Mamukelashvili6059-0.110.61-0.720.10-711-1814.712.12.5715.216.0-0.82
A.J. Lawson1717-0.200.70-0.900.04-812-2016.113.22.8615.215.6-0.36
Ja'Kobe Walter7778-0.240.74-0.97-0.12-48-1213.913.10.7715.316.3-0.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.35,0.18,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.15,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 118, WAS 1190.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.27,190.9%
SAC 108, CHA 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.27,189.1%
MIN 118, NOP 1190.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.23,0.21,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.34,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.38,0.25,0.1,0.32,0.27,189.1%