NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	110		Excitement	15.5 [1]		MVP	Jordan Goodwin (PHX): +29.1%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	11.1 [115]		LVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): -73.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.01	0.14	-0.01	4	64%	0.22	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Jevon Carter	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,0.13	-0.01	0.13	-0.01	14	54%	0.27	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	4	64%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	1	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.11
Goga Bitadze	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.26	-0.21	0.03	18	83%	0.29	2	-0.26	5	100%	0.03
Anthony Black	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.06	-0.01	12	38%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Noah Penda	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jett Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	-0.00	10	25%	-0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	-0.73	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.3,-0.45,-0.49,-0.42,-0.43,-0.58,-0.52,-0.61,-0.61,-0.67,-0.73	-0.12	-0.63	-0.02	28	43%	-0.33	6	-0.41	4	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.13	-0.02	10	77%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.14,-0.2,-0.25,-0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.04	0.25	0.02	22	53%	0.40	2	-0.13	7	100%	0.04
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	7	73%	0.17	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	30%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jamaree Bouyea	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.26,-0.39,-0.46,-0.46,-0.52,-0.52,-0.64,-0.64,-0.64,-0.63,-0.63,-0.03	-0.03	-0.20	0.15	-0.01	26	28%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.18
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Gillespie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.03	-0.15	-0.01	17	49%	-0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.13	-0.00	10	43%	-0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.19	-0.00	10	30%	-0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.9	0.0	28.0	0.0	28.7	0.0	31.8	0.0	16.6	0.0	18.8	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	29.0	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	2.2	16.6	2.2	16.6	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -11.9%

PHX +2.2%

ORL -1.9%

PHX +66.5%

ORL -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	16.4	14.2	97.3	102.7	113.4
season	14.1	14.2		112.5	112.6
opponent	14.5	14.1		111.6	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	14.7	13.7	15.9	15.2	15.8	14.9
PHX	14.6	15.2	14.7	21.1	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	87	87	0.38	-0.88	1.25	-0.04	14	-17	31	14.8	14.7	0.16	16.9	14.7	2.13
Wendell Carter Jr.	80	79	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.21	13	-16	29	14.8	14.8	-0.06	17.0	15.1	1.90
Desmond Bane	95	94	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-3	3	14.7	14.9	-0.20	16.1	18.5	-2.43
Tristan da Silva	94	92	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-7	11	14.8	14.9	-0.14	16.8	14.3	2.50
Paolo Banchero	101	98	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-7	11	14.9	13.7	1.15	16.9	12.4	4.50
Goga Bitadze	20	20	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	8	-19	16.7	14.4	2.40	15.0	16.7	-1.74
Moritz Wagner	56	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	7	-17	15.6	14.0	1.54	14.7	18.1	-3.40
Noah Penda	28	28	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	13	-29	16.0	14.4	1.62	15.1	16.9	-1.72
Jett Howard	66	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.13	-16	13	-29	15.9	13.2	2.75	15.3	18.0	-2.78
Anthony Black	89	87	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	4	-11	15.6	11.7	3.95	16.7	15.5	1.14
Jevon Carter	101	99	-1.02	0.52	-1.54	-0.67	-12	9	-21	14.9	13.4	1.52	15.4	25.8	-10.43

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oso Ighodaro	109	112	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.57	3	0	3	16.6	2.0	14.56	14.9	0.0	14.91
Grayson Allen	110	113	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	16.4	0.0	16.43	14.8	0.0	14.78
Jalen Green	82	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	2	-1	16.8	15.4	1.44	15.0	14.2	0.82
Collin Gillespie	110	112	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.44	1	2	-1	16.4	0.0	16.43	14.9	0.0	14.91
Royce O'Neale	107	108	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	3	-3	16.5	13.0	3.52	15.0	9.2	5.84
Isaiah Livers	48	49	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	-5	13	15.2	17.3	-2.09	15.2	14.5	0.75
Mark Williams	87	89	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.53	-6	9	-15	17.1	13.7	3.40	14.9	14.2	0.67
Jordan Goodwin	86	88	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	-2	7	15.6	19.2	-3.61	14.9	14.2	0.74
Ryan Dunn	71	72	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	1	1	15.6	17.9	-2.36	15.3	13.9	1.34
Dillon Brooks	17	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	11	-19	14.4	16.8	-2.38	12.9	15.1	-2.22
Jamaree Bouyea	24	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	9	-15	15.2	16.8	-1.61	14.2	14.9	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.5,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.58,0.5,0.38,0.7,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 116, NJN 127	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.72,0.46,0.2,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	87.2%
POR 113, CHA 125	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,1,1,1	84.7%
CHA 111, WAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1	84.6%