NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	106		Excitement	8.9 [180]		MVP	Scoot Henderson (POR): +30.8%
San Antonio Spurs	103		Comeback	40.0 [9]		LVP	Stephon Castle (SAS): -25.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scoot Henderson	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.20	0.13	0.03	17	77%	0.37	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03
Robert Williams III	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.18	0.11	0.07	0.00	6	85%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Toumani Camara	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.01	7	62%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Shaedon Sharpe	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Donovan Clingan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	12	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	26%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Matisse Thybulle	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Deni Avdija	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	13	45%	0.01	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	17	44%	0.03	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	4	90%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Carter Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	5	77%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	62%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.12	-0.01	16	43%	-0.08	1	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.04	-0.19	0.01	16	46%	-0.18	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Stephon Castle	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.17	-0.01	20	40%	-0.19	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	0.0	31.5	0.0	32.9	0.0	40.3	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.7	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +60.4%

POR +0.8%

SAS -25.0%

POR +14.7%

SAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.4	14.2	108.2	104.0	113.6
season	13.9	13.8		111.5	117.7
opponent	14.6	14.1		109.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	14.4	15.1	13.7	14.8
SAS	14.0	13.3	14.2	16.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toumani Camara	90	91	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-10	23	14.6	17.0	-2.42	14.5	13.9	0.60
Kris Murray	68	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-4	11	15.0	14.3	0.73	14.6	14.1	0.50
Deni Avdija	93	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-3	9	15.0	10.0	5.03	14.5	13.7	0.70
Scoot Henderson	93	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-3	9	15.0	10.0	5.03	14.5	13.7	0.70
Jrue Holiday	98	98	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.40	3	0	3	14.8	0.0	14.78	14.5	11.0	3.46
Donovan Clingan	77	79	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	-3	9	15.1	13.7	1.35	14.5	14.0	0.53
Jerami Grant	78	81	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	2	-1	15.2	13.2	1.98	14.4	14.7	-0.36
Robert Williams III	96	97	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	4	-5	15.0	3.5	11.51	14.6	7.0	7.58
Matisse Thybulle	63	65	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.37	-3	6	-9	15.4	13.6	1.87	14.9	13.6	1.32
Shaedon Sharpe	39	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	4	-5	15.4	14.4	1.01	13.4	15.1	-1.71

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	50	49	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.17	5	-8	13	14.2	14.7	-0.45	16.7	12.9	3.80
Victor Wembanyama	30	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-1	-1	14.4	14.4	0.01	16.1	14.2	1.86
Keldon Johnson	93	93	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-3	3	14.5	12.8	1.69	15.1	8.4	6.72
Dylan Harper	97	96	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-2	1	14.6	7.0	7.58	15.1	1.5	13.55
Carter Bryant	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	0	-3	14.7	13.8	0.94	14.9	14.6	0.32
De'Aaron Fox	98	96	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.36	-3	0	-3	14.5	3.0	11.54	15.1	1.5	13.55
Luke Kornet	86	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.37	-4	1	-5	14.5	13.9	0.58	15.3	11.2	4.02
Devin Vassell	95	94	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	14.4	15.7	-1.38	15.0	10.0	4.98
Stephon Castle	95	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	1	-5	14.4	15.7	-1.38	14.9	12.0	2.89
Julian Champagnie	80	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	8	-19	14.6	13.6	0.98	14.7	15.2	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.91,0.94,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	91.4%
SAC 125, DAL 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.57,0.16,0	90.7%
NOK 91, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.78,0.55,0.28,0	90.4%