NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	135		Excitement	6.6 [342]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (POR): +25.5%
Utah Jazz	119		Comeback	1.9 [533]		LVP	Cody Williams (UTA): -13.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.23	0.07	0.04	15	79%	0.28	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.02	12	70%	0.16	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Sidy Cissoko	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	4	89%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
V�t Krej?�	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Scoot Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	83%	0.17	6	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Yang Hansen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Javonte Cooke	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Love	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	12	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Wesley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	9	70%	0.08	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03
Rayan Rupert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	17	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	8	87%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Blake Hinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.03	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.02	0.04	19	60%	0.09	1	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	9	68%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Ace Bailey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.02	-0.08	15	50%	0.07	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Tshiebwe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	54%	0.05	4	-0.10	12	75%	0.01
Cody Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	9	47%	-0.03	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	1.3	30.1	0.0	33.1	0.0	25.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +27.0%

POR +3.2%

POR +23.4%

UTA -4.1%

POR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	12.9	14.2	126.2	110.2	113.5
season	13.8	14.0		111.9	112.5
opponent	13.6	14.0		119.7	114.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	13.5	12.3	13.9	13.8
UTA	12.0	13.2	14.3	12.2	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	96	98	0.74	-0.24	0.98	-0.17	31	-15	46	13.4	17.0	-3.57	12.9	13.1	-0.17
Rayan Rupert	85	86	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.17	28	-12	40	13.4	15.5	-2.09	12.7	13.7	-0.98
Toumani Camara	85	87	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.16	27	-11	38	13.3	15.6	-2.32	12.8	13.6	-0.78
Caleb Love	65	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.02	18	-2	20	13.0	15.0	-1.95	12.6	13.5	-0.84
Scoot Henderson	84	85	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	3	10	13.2	16.1	-2.92	12.6	14.1	-1.45
V�t Krej?�	106	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-3	22	13.7	24.0	-10.30	12.9	13.0	-0.06
Sidy Cissoko	88	90	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.00	17	-1	18	13.4	15.8	-2.49	12.9	13.3	-0.40
Jrue Holiday	99	100	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	1	14	13.8	13.9	-0.09	12.8	14.4	-1.54
Donovan Clingan	95	97	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	8	0	13.6	15.4	-1.83	12.7	14.7	-1.99
Yang Hansen	50	48	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	10	-4	14.2	13.5	0.72	12.0	13.7	-1.78
Javonte Cooke	27	25	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	12	-8	13.6	13.9	-0.32	12.2	13.2	-1.02
Blake Wesley	53	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	15	-14	14.5	13.1	1.38	12.1	13.7	-1.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oscar Tshiebwe	26	26	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-19	22	12.0	13.2	-1.24	15.5	13.3	2.20
Vince Williams Jr.	34	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-13	10	12.3	13.2	-0.95	14.9	13.3	1.57
Blake Hinson	94	93	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-2	-12	13.1	12.2	0.84	13.8	13.6	0.17
John Konchar	96	94	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-7	-2	12.8	14.1	-1.28	13.8	13.6	0.20
Cody Williams	72	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.17	-21	5	-26	12.9	13.1	-0.21	13.3	14.7	-1.40
Ace Bailey	108	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	0	-16	12.9	0.0	12.94	13.8	0.0	13.79
Svi Mykhailiuk	54	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	2	-20	13.3	12.6	0.67	13.1	14.5	-1.34
Kyle Filipowski	81	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.13	-14	-2	-12	12.8	13.4	-0.67	13.4	15.0	-1.66
Brice Sensabaugh	103	101	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	0.03	-25	9	-34	12.9	13.4	-0.48	13.5	19.5	-6.04
Isaiah Collier	98	98	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	0.18	-31	15	-46	13.0	12.5	0.49	13.3	19.2	-5.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.36,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.02,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 126, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%
MIA 117, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
SEA 113, VAN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.6%