NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	111		Excitement	8.4 [206]		MVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): +39.2%
Charlotte Hornets	104		Comeback	2.6 [537]		LVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): -20.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Black	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.14	0.00	18	53%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Houstan	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.00	7	86%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.13	-0.00	0.14	0.01	22	48%	0.17	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.06
Paolo Banchero	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	24	59%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Gary Harris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.08	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.28,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39	0.39	0.15	0.23	-0.01	13	83%	0.53	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14,0.14,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.01	11	59%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tidjane Salaun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	4	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
KJ Simpson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DaQuan Jeffries	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	11	32%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	19	28%	-0.18	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	28.4	14.4	29.6	2.5	33.2	136.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +24.2%

CHA -5.1%

ORL +33.9%

CHA -0.4%

CHA -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	14.4	116.8	110.6	113.0
season	15.4	15.0		108.0	107.1
opponent	14.2	14.4		115.0	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.7	12.4	16.9	17.5	15.2
CHA	15.9	13.8	15.1	16.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Black	59	58	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.33	17	-10	27	15.0	15.5	-0.47	15.4	15.1	0.35
Gary Harris	55	55	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-1	9	15.2	15.2	-0.04	16.1	14.2	1.82
Caleb Houstan	46	45	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.20	10	-3	13	14.2	16.1	-1.91	15.1	15.5	-0.44
Goga Bitadze	43	42	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-1	9	14.6	15.7	-1.05	16.0	14.7	1.23
Paolo Banchero	70	69	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	6	-5	15.8	13.3	2.52	15.1	15.8	-0.63
Franz Wagner	70	69	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	5	-3	15.1	15.4	-0.35	15.3	15.2	0.19
Wendell Carter Jr.	52	52	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	8	-9	15.7	14.6	1.05	14.7	16.0	-1.23
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	44	44	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	7	-7	15.3	15.1	0.26	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Cory Joseph	36	36	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.04	-10	17	-27	15.5	15.0	0.47	15.1	15.4	-0.35

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Green	42	44	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-10	13	14.9	15.6	-0.75	16.0	14.5	1.53
DaQuan Jeffries	39	40	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-8	9	14.7	15.7	-0.95	16.9	13.9	3.02
Seth Curry	15	15	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-10	13	14.1	15.5	-1.39	12.7	15.6	-2.98
Miles Bridges	61	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-10	13	14.7	16.5	-1.78	16.4	12.7	3.66
Mark Williams	55	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.16	1	-8	9	14.4	16.5	-2.08	16.2	13.6	2.58
KJ Simpson	30	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	0	-7	15.8	15.1	0.69	14.1	15.7	-1.53
Jusuf Nurkic	39	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	0	-7	16.5	14.4	2.08	13.6	16.2	-2.58
LaMelo Ball	57	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	0	-7	15.0	15.8	-0.76	15.7	14.3	1.40
Josh Okogie	33	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	0	-7	16.3	14.7	1.60	12.8	16.4	-3.52
Tidjane Salaun	52	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	-1	-5	15.9	14.6	1.31	14.0	16.5	-2.50
Nick Smith Jr.	47	47	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.33	-11	4	-15	16.0	14.6	1.40	14.9	15.4	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.28,0.42,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.47,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.53,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.62,0.55,0.32,0.16,0	91.0%
GSW 118, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.41,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.65,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.47,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.46,0.24,0.1,0	90.6%
IND 92, NOK 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.46,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.46,0.67,0.16,0	90.0%