inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 91 Excitement5.0 [837] MVPChet Holmgren (OKC): +10.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 103 Comeback1.4 [753] LVPObi Toppin (IND): -13.4%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pascal Siakam0.050,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.021348%0.081-0.03757%-0.01
Tyrese Haliburton0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.000.03590%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Myles Turner0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.01-0.02450%0.031-0.00425%-0.05
Johnny Furphy0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Nembhard-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.030.001058%0.032-0.04683%0.02
Aaron Nesmith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.04530%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Tony Bradley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.020.000100%0.021-0.042100%0.01
Thomas Bryant-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ben Sheppard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
T.J. McConnell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.02-0.051362%0.127-0.1600%0.00
Bennedict Mathurin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.07-0.020.101463%0.013-0.0610100%0.00
Obi Toppin-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.01-0.0140%-0.063-0.0700%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chet Holmgren0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.030.06875%0.1000.00862%-0.02
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.030.01683%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.020.00-0.092744%0.071-0.001292%0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01464%0.072-0.05333%-0.03
Jalen Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.032043%0.011-0.00667%-0.01
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.010.011050%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dillon Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ajay Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ousmane Dieng00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.011041%-0.011-0.03250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.432.417.430.22.446.5159.6
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +6.7%
OKC +2.1%
OKC +1.8%
OKC +39.1%
OKC +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDOKCNBAINDOKCNBA
this game14.516.114.497.8108.4113.0
season13.913.8114.9117.4
opponent14.714.7105.6112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND16.614.316.411.214.5
OKC16.113.415.719.616.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Johnny Furphy220.00-0.500.50-0.124-16203.514.8-11.2812.516.2-3.66
Tyrese Haliburton1313-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-10818.313.94.3816.216.10.17
Aaron Nesmith5959-0.05-0.450.41-0.226-182414.215.2-1.0517.114.52.60
Thomas Bryant33-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-14167.714.8-7.1014.316.1-1.81
Tony Bradley1110-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-10814.714.50.2215.716.1-0.43
Pascal Siakam7173-0.21-0.290.08-0.09-4-8414.315.4-1.1416.514.71.77
Andrew Nembhard7273-0.26-0.24-0.020.00-9-3-614.614.40.1416.315.40.88
Obi Toppin4142-0.31-0.19-0.110.08-131-1414.814.30.5214.817.1-2.37
T.J. McConnell5455-0.31-0.19-0.120.04-120-1213.915.4-1.4616.016.2-0.16
Ben Sheppard3133-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.19-4-8414.514.6-0.1315.416.4-1.01
Myles Turner4447-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-120-1216.013.22.7315.616.5-0.92
Bennedict Mathurin6465-0.560.06-0.61-0.15-142-1614.414.8-0.4216.315.60.71

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alex Caruso65620.440.060.390.2184416.116.1-0.0214.814.00.76
Jalen Williams74720.410.090.320.0313-11416.614.32.3114.415.1-0.72
Aaron Wiggins24250.330.170.160.011111013.716.9-3.1816.513.82.66
Cason Wallace51510.300.200.100.1075215.516.8-1.3715.014.00.94
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander79770.260.240.03-0.061111016.513.92.6614.713.70.95
Chet Holmgren60600.250.250.01-0.04102816.814.81.9913.915.6-1.70
Luguentz Dort70690.220.28-0.06-0.131201216.215.80.3914.514.7-0.23
Isaiah Hartenstein36330.220.28-0.060.19111-1015.916.2-0.2315.913.82.08
Kenrich Williams10100.060.44-0.380.09-113-1415.316.2-0.8812.114.8-2.73
Dillon Jones220.000.50-0.500.12-416-2012.516.2-3.663.514.8-11.28
Ajay Mitchell220.000.50-0.500.12-416-2012.516.2-3.663.514.8-11.28
Ousmane Dieng220.000.50-0.500.12-416-2012.516.2-3.663.514.8-11.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 77, HOU 1020.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
CLE 93, DAL 1140.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
ATL 98, DAL 1000.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.96,195.1%