inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 107 Excitement5.9 [639] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +23.3%
Denver Nuggets 119 Comeback3.8 [197] LVPJalen Williams (OKC): -22.4%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.230,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.200.110.071674%0.282-0.051173%0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.070.004100%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Chet Holmgren0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.010.021461%0.0900.00333%-0.03
Jaylin Williams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.00567%0.051-0.04250%-0.01
Dillon Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ajay Mitchell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.000.03956%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Isaiah Joe-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.020.01956%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Alex Caruso-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.020.06956%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Aaron Wiggins-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00617%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Williams-0.220,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.21-0.08-0.071619%-0.143-0.0800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Julian Strawther0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.120.080.02875%0.1800.004100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.180.020.051472%0.141-0.001283%-0.01
Christian Braun0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.020.031472%0.142-0.024100%0.02
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.01-0.031957%0.155-0.09683%0.01
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00956%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.02736%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01725%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.100.01-0.01840%0.014-0.09450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.836.015.827.73.337.4148.4
league avg25.92.328.114.928.52.332.2135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +14.4%
DEN +10.3%
DEN +21.0%
DEN +2.8%
DEN +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDENNBAOKCDENNBA
this game12.715.014.4103.9113.3113.0
season13.714.2117.9117.4
opponent14.514.7114.5105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC12.511.915.011.512.7
DEN14.714.815.015.615.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dillon Jones210.00-0.500.500.000-121210.512.7-2.2019.015.04.03
Ajay Mitchell210.00-0.500.500.000-121210.512.7-2.2019.015.04.03
Ousmane Dieng210.00-0.500.500.000-121210.512.7-2.2019.015.04.03
Isaiah Joe2019-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-162010.713.1-2.4314.915.0-0.14
Chet Holmgren6766-0.11-0.390.27-0.203-151812.113.7-1.6314.915.2-0.31
Jaylin Williams3030-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-111013.012.50.4315.614.80.78
Aaron Wiggins2427-0.14-0.360.22-0.171-131413.812.31.5316.414.51.83
Jalen Williams8184-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-8-4-412.513.2-0.6615.313.91.44
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7578-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.09-8-4-412.413.5-1.1014.616.1-1.48
Alex Caruso5863-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.21-4-8412.413.0-0.5214.615.7-1.10
Luguentz Dort4645-0.38-0.12-0.270.14-186-2413.312.11.2014.215.6-1.46
Isaiah Hartenstein5453-0.40-0.10-0.290.10-175-2213.611.62.0415.114.90.25
Cason Wallace5457-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-120-1213.012.30.6815.214.80.32

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray93910.80-0.301.10-0.0228-164414.915.5-0.5512.811.61.22
Christian Braun87850.480.020.450.0714-21614.815.8-0.9912.712.7-0.01
Aaron Gordon87810.440.060.39-0.0617-52214.716.3-1.6012.712.50.20
Nikola Jokic88890.420.080.340.101111014.915.7-0.8312.712.60.02
Julian Strawther40400.240.26-0.030.1248-416.913.83.0912.013.0-1.00
Michael Porter Jr.63620.170.33-0.170.0257-214.715.5-0.7413.112.01.10
Russell Westbrook37370.050.45-0.410.31-921-3014.615.2-0.5612.212.9-0.74
Peyton Watson3030-0.090.59-0.670.21-1022-3215.414.90.5512.612.7-0.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 96, LAL 1080.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,193.7%
ORL 117, PHI 1280.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.93,1,1,1,1,193.5%
NOH 84, MIA 960.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.2%