inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 111 Excitement10.6 [4] MVPDomantas Sabonis (SAC): +89.5%
Miami Heat 110 Comeback18.7 [8] LVPJosh Richardson (MIA): -16.3%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis0.900,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.90.020.890.011262%0.973-0.072100%0.02
DeMar DeRozan0.240,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.37,0.240.150.090.011863%0.271-0.035100%0.04
Keegan Murray0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.030.011156%0.081-0.013100%0.01
Keon Ellis0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.00654%0.0500.0010%-0.02
Malik Monk0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.050.020.03-0.001155%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Trey Lyles0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00462%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.020.00275%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alex Len-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
De'Aaron Fox-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,-0.150.06-0.21-0.002161%0.034-0.19475%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.18,0.37,0.310.310.080.23-0.011955%0.331-0.021173%-0.04
Terry Rozier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.220.220.030.18-0.01671%0.272-0.06250%-0.01
Pelle Larsson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.010.00687%0.1300.00367%-0.04
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.090.090.100.010.021866%0.194-0.10580%0.06
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.09-0.010.00590%0.0800.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.001546%0.0300.00540%-0.09
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nikola Jovic0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01440%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00325%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.13-0.05-0.0140%-0.063-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.02.426.115.526.42.436.5138.3
league avg25.82.328.014.928.42.332.2134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +72.4%
MIA -8.6%
MIA -5.6%
MIA -18.6%
SAC +10.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACMIANBASACMIANBA
this game14.016.614.3119.4115.8111.8
season13.315.0114.0110.5
opponent14.414.9109.9110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC16.414.313.112.414.0
MIA17.115.718.215.816.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keon Ellis54540.69-0.240.930.0422-214314.712.91.7517.915.02.93
Domantas Sabonis70720.65-0.200.850.418-71514.412.81.5716.915.81.13
Keegan Murray74750.59-0.140.740.484-3714.212.91.2816.616.8-0.20
Malik Monk47490.440.010.430.55-45-913.714.3-0.6216.217.2-0.99
DeMar DeRozan72720.250.200.050.31-23-513.914.3-0.4116.218.0-1.79
De'Aaron Fox74750.120.33-0.210.38-910-1913.615.4-1.8316.318.0-1.78
Trey Lyles3033-0.020.47-0.480.01-12-313.714.1-0.3517.716.11.66
Alex Len2323-0.200.65-0.860.00-78-1512.814.4-1.5715.816.9-1.13
Jordan McLaughlin2122-0.270.72-0.99-0.09-67-1313.814.0-0.2015.816.9-1.07

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jimmy Butler56570.24-0.390.63-0.0510-122216.917.3-0.4214.514.20.31
Alec Burks24230.20-0.340.54-0.017-91618.616.32.3213.714.7-0.94
Duncan Robinson26250.17-0.310.480.025-71218.016.51.4214.014.6-0.65
Terry Rozier47460.16-0.310.470.025-71216.018.5-2.4814.514.30.23
Thomas Bryant23220.00-0.150.15-0.062-4618.316.51.7713.414.8-1.38
Bam Adebayo5757-0.14-0.00-0.14-0.02-42-616.518.3-1.7714.813.41.38
Nikola Jovic2424-0.210.06-0.270.06-97-1617.516.80.7713.814.7-0.82
Tyler Herro5353-0.270.12-0.39-0.06-75-1216.817.4-0.5614.614.00.55
Haywood Highsmith1513-0.350.20-0.550.00-1210-2216.117.2-1.0716.014.11.91
Josh Richardson4040-0.350.21-0.56-0.12-86-1417.816.21.6513.815.0-1.12
Pelle Larsson5049-0.530.03-0.56-0.592-3515.717.7-2.0314.013.90.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.32,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.73,0
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 101, POR 970.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.48,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.28,090.1%
SAC 96, LAC 930.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.9,0.58,089.2%
PHI 82, BOS 810.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.33,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.72,089.2%