NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	115		Excitement	8.9 [42]		MVP	Cameron Johnson (BKN): +30.5%
Brooklyn Nets	116		Comeback	6.3 [66]		LVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): -25.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Miller	0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28	0.18	0.10	-0.01	17	81%	0.40	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Miles Bridges	0.26	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.13	0.02	14	75%	0.30	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tidjane Salaun	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.01	2	100%	0.18	1	0.00	7	86%	0.04
Grant Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	73%	0.09	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.05
Seth Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,0,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	17	53%	0.18	4	-0.19	2	50%	0.01
Moussa Diabate	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Josh Green	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	4	37%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.09	-0.17	-0.01	13	41%	-0.16	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.22,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.16	0.13	-0.02	20	74%	0.38	5	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	6	59%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	13	65%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.03	0.02	6	107%	0.18	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	5	64%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.07	0.02	7	71%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	12	48%	0.10	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	28.8	14.7	38.7	2.6	38.2	151.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +47.0%

CHA -20.1%

CHA -17.4%

BKN +25.9%

BKN +14.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BKN	NBA	CHA	BKN	NBA
this game	13.9	15.4	14.4	117.3	118.4	112.1
season	14.8	15.4		109.5	113.9
opponent	14.3	14.3		116.6	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.7	14.1	14.2	13.7	13.9
BKN	15.6	12.1	15.8	19.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tidjane Salaun	30	30	0.56	-1.06	1.61	0.06	17	-18	35	12.5	14.6	-2.12	16.6	14.9	1.71
Moussa Diabate	33	33	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.09	8	-9	17	12.5	14.7	-2.15	16.8	14.7	2.11
Seth Curry	10	10	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-5	9	12.4	14.1	-1.71	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Cody Martin	53	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-12	23	13.2	14.8	-1.67	15.3	15.6	-0.32
Tre Mann	50	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-8	15	14.3	13.5	0.78	16.5	14.4	2.14
Josh Green	51	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	10	-21	14.4	13.5	0.86	15.5	15.3	0.21
LaMelo Ball	50	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	8	-17	14.3	13.5	0.78	14.4	16.7	-2.27
Brandon Miller	78	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	4	-9	14.0	13.7	0.24	15.8	14.2	1.57
Miles Bridges	67	68	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.45	-15	14	-29	14.7	12.3	2.41	14.6	17.3	-2.62
Grant Williams	68	67	-0.99	0.49	-1.47	-0.64	-12	11	-23	14.4	12.8	1.59	14.8	16.8	-1.94

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	53	55	1.08	-0.58	1.66	0.58	17	-16	33	15.0	16.0	-1.02	15.2	12.4	2.79
Cameron Johnson	78	78	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.52	18	-17	35	14.9	17.5	-2.64	14.6	11.3	3.25
Trendon Watford	39	37	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.39	8	-7	15	15.5	15.4	0.02	13.4	14.3	-0.94
Ben Simmons	54	52	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-13	27	14.3	16.8	-2.53	14.5	13.3	1.28
Jalen Wilson	72	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-5	11	15.6	15.0	0.61	14.1	13.5	0.60
Dennis Schroder	72	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.54	-3	4	-7	15.7	14.8	0.82	14.0	13.9	0.08
Shake Milton	36	37	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.12	-9	10	-19	17.2	14.4	2.76	13.4	14.3	-0.86
Keon Johnson	21	21	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.08	-16	17	-33	16.7	15.1	1.55	12.9	14.2	-1.38
Noah Clowney	28	28	-0.51	1.01	-1.51	-0.10	-14	15	-29	17.0	14.8	2.12	12.6	14.5	-1.81
Ziaire Williams	37	39	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	-0.04	-16	17	-33	14.6	16.0	-1.33	12.3	15.0	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.76,0.77,0.65,0.78,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.65,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.85,1	89.4%
NYK 81, POR 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.61,0.55,0.85,0.85,0.85,1	88.9%
LAC 100, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.91,1	88.5%