NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	118		Excitement	9.5 [107]		MVP	Anthony Davis (DAL): +42.2%
Dallas Mavericks	120		Comeback	9.2 [181]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -22.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vit Krejci	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	0.00	5	110%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.10	-0.02	15	54%	0.19	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Dyson Daniels	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.3,0.3,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	12	71%	0.32	2	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.06	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mouhamed Gueye	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	13	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.00	10	54%	0.03	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Dominick Barlow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.23	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.23	-0.01	-0.22	-0.00	20	53%	-0.10	5	-0.13	7	100%	0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.42	0.42	0.13	0.31	0.01	23	68%	0.53	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.4	0.40	0.12	0.28	0.00	11	77%	0.42	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.09	-0.03	9	72%	0.23	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	7	69%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kai Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Naji Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	4	67%	0.07	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	10	48%	0.01	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	0.00	-0.17	-0.00	11	58%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.0	27.6	14.6	27.7	2.3	33.6	132.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +85.0%

ATL -12.6%

ATL -35.0%

DAL +4.1%

DAL +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	12.9	15.0	14.4	113.5	116.5	113.1
season	13.2	14.3		112.3	114.5
opponent	14.4	14.4		113.8	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.9	12.3	13.2	14.5	12.9
DAL	12.9	14.4	15.0	18.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mouhamed Gueye	32	32	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.03	8	-10	18	12.6	13.0	-0.45	14.4	15.2	-0.76
Terance Mann	44	42	0.17	-0.68	0.85	-0.15	11	-13	24	13.1	12.7	0.33	16.1	14.2	1.87
Trae Young	86	86	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-1	0	12.9	12.8	0.05	14.8	15.9	-1.17
Onyeka Okongwu	86	85	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.38	6	-8	14	12.7	13.7	-0.96	15.4	12.9	2.51
Dyson Daniels	70	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-2	2	13.3	11.9	1.39	15.2	14.6	0.60
Dominick Barlow	18	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	6	-14	13.7	12.7	0.96	12.9	15.4	-2.51
Zaccharie Risacher	54	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	3	-8	13.0	12.7	0.26	14.9	15.1	-0.19
Georges Niang	42	43	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.42	-3	1	-4	12.3	13.3	-1.03	15.7	14.4	1.30
Caris LeVert	53	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.55	0	-2	2	12.4	13.4	-1.01	14.5	15.5	-1.05
Vit Krejci	35	34	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.07	-18	16	-34	13.3	12.7	0.62	14.1	15.4	-1.22

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Hardy	47	49	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.87	5	-3	8	14.8	15.1	-0.36	12.6	13.1	-0.54
Caleb Martin	56	57	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.54	5	-3	8	15.3	14.5	0.79	13.2	12.5	0.70
Max Christie	52	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-7	16	15.2	14.7	0.51	12.8	13.0	-0.24
Anthony Davis	65	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	-1	4	14.4	15.9	-1.44	13.1	12.4	0.72
Spencer Dinwiddie	69	69	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	3	-4	15.4	14.1	1.26	13.1	12.4	0.76
Daniel Gafford	42	42	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	1	0	15.9	14.3	1.51	12.8	12.9	-0.15
Klay Thompson	65	65	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	4	-6	14.7	15.4	-0.73	12.8	13.1	-0.32
Kai Jones	7	6	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	0	2	10.0	15.3	-5.32	12.5	12.9	-0.40
Dereck Lively II	36	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.02	-2	4	-6	14.6	15.1	-0.50	12.6	13.0	-0.44
Naji Marshall	76	75	-0.57	1.07	-1.64	-0.28	-10	12	-22	15.1	14.7	0.40	12.8	13.2	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.31,0.1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 79, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.43,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.22,0.27,1	90.8%
PHI 101, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.83,0.64,0.64,0.45,0.08,1	89.0%
LAC 100, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.75,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.27,1	88.7%