NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	117		Excitement	7.7 [164]		MVP	Vit Krejci (ATL): +23.4%
Atlanta Hawks	122		Comeback	4.0 [124]		LVP	Bradley Beal (PHX): -13.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.08	0.01	20	66%	0.33	3	-0.11	7	71%	-0.00
Devin Booker	0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.08	0.04	23	70%	0.31	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Grayson Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.03	4	112%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Dunn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	12	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Oso Ighodaro	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Royce O'Neale	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.01	-0.09	0.03	9	46%	-0.13	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.10	0.00	9	83%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.00	-0.01	10	83%	0.16	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	14	67%	0.18	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.05	0.06	31	57%	0.24	6	-0.17	14	79%	0.02
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	41%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	13	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.7	25.3	15.4	30.6	2.2	28.7	130.5
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +1.9%

ATL +1.5%

ATL +49.0%

PHX -3.0%

ATL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.8	14.4	113.6	119.6	112.1
season	14.9	13.2		113.2	111.4
opponent	14.3	14.3		113.8	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	14.5	14.2	14.1	14.3
ATL	13.3	12.1	14.6	15.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	56	54	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.02	7	-12	19	15.1	13.4	1.69	14.0	13.5	0.48
Ryan Dunn	44	45	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.06	5	-10	15	14.6	14.1	0.43	14.5	13.2	1.36
Mason Plumlee	52	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-6	7	15.1	13.5	1.53	14.5	13.1	1.46
Devin Booker	79	78	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-11	17	14.6	13.3	1.34	14.2	12.2	1.99
Kevin Durant	83	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.41	5	-10	15	14.2	14.9	-0.72	13.7	14.1	-0.34
Oso Ighodaro	44	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	3	-11	13.5	14.9	-1.35	13.1	14.3	-1.14
Bradley Beal	61	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	3	-11	14.1	14.7	-0.58	13.2	14.7	-1.53
Grayson Allen	57	54	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.40	-11	6	-17	13.7	15.0	-1.31	14.0	13.5	0.48
Royce O'Neale	39	39	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.10	-22	17	-39	13.7	14.7	-1.01	12.2	14.8	-2.58

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	56	58	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.36	18	-13	31	13.9	13.6	0.30	14.3	14.3	0.06
Onyeka Okongwu	60	62	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-7	19	13.1	14.7	-1.64	14.3	14.3	0.01
Trae Young	81	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-5	15	13.9	13.2	0.74	14.0	15.8	-1.90
Bogdan Bogdanovic	57	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-6	17	12.8	15.0	-2.27	14.9	13.6	1.37
Vit Krejci	76	73	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.36	-1	6	-7	13.6	14.4	-0.82	14.3	14.4	-0.07
David Roddy	31	35	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	2	1	14.6	13.4	1.25	14.4	14.3	0.16
Dyson Daniels	69	70	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.32	-10	15	-25	14.3	12.6	1.77	14.4	14.2	0.20
Clint Capela	42	41	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	12	-19	14.7	13.1	1.64	14.3	14.3	-0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	38	37	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.05	-11	16	-27	13.4	14.0	-0.56	14.0	14.5	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 100, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	91.0%
CHH 98, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,1	91.0%
GSW 96, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1	91.0%