WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	97		Excitement	3.3 [250]		MVP	Chelsea Gray (LVA): +17.7%
Phoenix Mercury	86		Comeback	1.0 [206]		LVP	Kathryn Westbeld (PHX): -3.5%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chelsea Gray	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.02	-0.05	15	53%	0.18	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
A'ja Wilson	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.00	-0.06	21	51%	0.19	2	-0.01	19	89%	0.02
Jewell Loyd	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.00	-0.04	10	60%	0.12	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kierstan Bell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Young	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	14	50%	0.05	2	-0.01	8	87%	-0.00
NaLyssa Smith	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kahleah Copper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.19	-0.00	0.09	22	59%	0.14	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Lexi Held	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kalani Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	59%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	11	68%	0.11	9	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	10	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Monique Akoa Makani	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.04	7	59%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Kathryn Westbeld	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	PHX	WNBA	LVA	PHX	WNBA
this game	15.6	13.1	15.0	115.5	103.6	101.9
season	15.2	14.6		106.1	102.0
opponent	15.1	14.8		98.9	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	14.1	14.4	16.5	17.3	15.6
PHX	14.3	15.6	12.1	10.5	13.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	35%	65%	0%	0.0%	12.0%	66.0%	0.0%	0.0%
PHX	22%	77%	2%	0.0%	78.6%	47.0%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chelsea Gray	6	0%	9	89%	0	0%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	8	25%	13	38%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	4	0%	6	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	1	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Kierstan Bell	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	6	17%	8	56%	0	0%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Aces	25	12%	47	66%	0	0%	0	0%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kahleah Copper	4	75%	18	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexi Held	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Kalani Brown	2	50%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	2	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	2	100%	9	56%	0	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	1	100%	8	44%	1	0%	0	0%
Monique Akoa Makani	2	125%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Kathryn Westbeld	1	150%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercury	14	79%	50	47%	1	0%	0	0%