WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	91		Excitement	6.0 [101]		MVP	Swin Cash (SEA): +28.2%
Phoenix Mercury	88		Comeback	343.8 [1]		LVP	Svetlana Abrosimova (SEA): -4.3%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Swin Cash	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.28	0.16	0.18	0.06	16	66%	0.31	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Sue Bird	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.2	0.07	0.18	0.05	14	50%	0.24	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Lauren Jackson	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.06	0.04	15	56%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Tanisha Wright	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.09	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Camille Little	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	59%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Jana Vesela	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lecoe Willingham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Svetlana Abrosimova	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	4	30%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.05	0.05	10	74%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.23	-0.06	0.08	15	82%	0.18	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	1	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Kara Braxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Temeka Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.02	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Penny Taylor	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	47%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Tangela Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	10	45%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHO	WNBA	SEA	PHO	WNBA
this game	17.5	12.2	15.0	113.8	107.3	99.6
season	16.0	12.8		104.6	107.4
opponent	15.4	14.9		107.1	94.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	19.7	15.3	18.0	16.9	17.5
PHO	10.3	12.6	12.9	13.1	12.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	10%	86%	0%	4.2%	85.7%	46.7%	0.0%	83.3%
PHO	11%	84%	2%	3.2%	42.9%	62.5%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Swin Cash	2	100%	13	54%	0	0%	1	100%
Sue Bird	2	50%	10	40%	0	0%	2	75%
Lauren Jackson	2	100%	13	42%	0	0%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	12	46%	0	0%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Jana Vesela	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lecoe Willingham	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Svetlana Abrosimova	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	7	86%	61	47%	0	0%	3	83%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	10	70%	0	0%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	3	100%	10	95%	1	0%	1	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kara Braxton	1	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Temeka Johnson	1	0%	13	58%	0	0%	1	0%
Penny Taylor	0	0%	6	42%	0	0%	0	0%
Tangela Smith	2	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercury	7	43%	52	62%	1	0%	2	0%