WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	99		Excitement	9.5 [14]		MVP	Brittney Griner (PHO): +58.3%
Las Vegas Aces	90		Comeback	5.4 [33]		LVP	Liz Cambage (LVA): -6.1%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Griner	0.58	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58	0.22	0.36	-0.00	24	60%	0.63	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.03
Sophie Cunningham	0.44	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.18	0.26	-0.00	6	93%	0.44	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.07	0.20	-0.02	20	53%	0.42	5	-0.14	11	100%	0.11
Shey Peddy	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.09	-0.04	8	44%	0.14	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brianna Turner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Kia Vaughn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Megan Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kia Nurse	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A'ja Wilson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.4,0.65,0.65,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57	0.57	0.17	0.40	0.00	18	58%	0.60	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.17
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.14	0.07	15	59%	0.25	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.07
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.05	-0.03	12	38%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	8	33%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jackie Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.06	-0.01	9	57%	0.10	1	-0.07	3	0%	-0.06
Riquna Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Liz Cambage	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	16	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	25%	-0.14

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	LVA	WNBA	PHO	LVA	WNBA
this game	16.3	13.8	14.9	112.5	98.9	99.6
season	15.2	13.6		103.2	105.8
opponent	15.2	15.2		97.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	15.4	17.2	16.8	15.7	16.3
LVA	15.1	17.1	10.0	15.3	13.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	3%	69%	27%	1.4%	0.0%	51.0%	55.0%	0.0%
LVA	9%	67%	23%	1.2%	42.9%	46.4%	42.1%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	16	56%	7	71%	1	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	5	90%	1	150%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	15	43%	5	30%	0	0%
Shey Peddy	2	0%	2	0%	4	75%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	4	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Megan Walker	0	0%	2	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	5	30%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercury	2	0%	51	51%	20	55%	1	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	13	46%	4	50%	1	100%
Chelsea Gray	3	100%	9	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	1	0%	7	43%	4	25%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	2	0%	3	0%	3	67%	0	0%
Jackie Young	1	0%	6	83%	2	50%	0	0%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	13	46%	3	33%	0	0%
Aces	7	43%	55	46%	19	42%	1	100%