WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	79		Excitement	7.9 [37]		MVP	Kayla McBride (MIN): +35.9%
Minnesota Lynx	85		Comeback	5.2 [35]		LVP	Arike Ogunbowale (DAL): -14.3%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isabelle Harrison	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24	0.08	0.16	-0.00	10	55%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Allisha Gray	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.02	8	65%	0.21	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Tyasha Harris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Moriah Jefferson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marina Mabrey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charli Collier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bella Alarie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Satou Sabally	-0.04	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.08	-0.11	0.01	10	60%	0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Thornton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	10	40%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Arike Ogunbowale	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.07	-0.11	-0.03	15	37%	-0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36	0.36	0.28	0.09	0.01	13	78%	0.36	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.11,0.23	0.23	0.05	0.16	-0.02	10	62%	0.30	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.21	0.21	0.00	0.19	-0.02	10	43%	0.26	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.03
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	7	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Dangerfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Napheesa Collier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	11	45%	0.06	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	WNBA	DAL	MIN	WNBA
this game	16.6	14.0	14.9	101.3	107.6	99.6
season	15.5	14.5		100.6	101.2
opponent	15.1	14.7		97.2	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.4	14.2	16.6	18.4	16.6
MIN	14.0	14.4	14.9	12.5	14.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	1%	72%	26%	1.4%	0.0%	53.8%	36.8%	0.0%
MIN	0%	63%	34%	3.1%	0.0%	65.9%	38.6%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	5	40%	5	60%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	1	0%	5	70%	2	50%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	4	37%	2	50%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	6	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Charli Collier	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Bella Alarie	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	0	0%	9	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	6	50%	3	33%	1	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	11	41%	4	25%	0	0%
Wings	1	0%	53	54%	19	37%	1	0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	9	89%	4	50%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	7	57%	2	50%	1	100%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	3	67%	6	33%	1	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	2	75%	5	50%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	3	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	9	56%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	7	57%	4	25%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	41	66%	22	39%	2	50%