WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	91		Excitement	8.4 [26]		MVP	Marina Mabrey (DAL): +74.9%
Dallas Wings	100		Comeback	2.9 [70]		LVP	Courtney Vandersloot (CHI): -15.0%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Astou Ndour-Fall	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.43,0.43	0.13	0.30	0.00	4	100%	0.43	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Candace Parker	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.25,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.29	0.18	0.11	0.00	14	73%	0.34	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kahleah Copper	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	7	69%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Azur� Stevens	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allie Quigley	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	7	59%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Diamond DeShields	0.08	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	13	57%	0.19	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Lexie Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruthy Hebard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	6	58%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marina Mabrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.78,0.75	0.75	0.29	0.48	0.01	15	78%	0.87	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.07
Allisha Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41	0.41	0.24	0.19	0.02	6	106%	0.41	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Arike Ogunbowale	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	10	62%	0.28	1	-0.09	9	100%	0.07
Isabelle Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	86%	0.20	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.06	12	42%	0.13	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Satou Sabally	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	48%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.03
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bella Alarie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DAL	WNBA	CHI	DAL	WNBA
this game	15.1	16.0	14.9	116.7	131.6	99.6
season	14.5	15.5		100.4	100.6
opponent	14.7	15.0		102.2	97.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.6	16.2	15.5	15.2	15.1
DAL	14.0	20.3	17.9	13.4	16.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	0%	67%	29%	4.5%	0.0%	65.9%	50.0%	66.7%
DAL	0%	75%	25%	0.0%	0.0%	62.5%	59.4%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Astou Ndour-Fall	0	0%	0	0%	3	100%	1	100%
Candace Parker	0	0%	9	83%	5	50%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	6	58%	1	100%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	7	71%	2	50%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	4	62%	3	33%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	10	55%	2	50%	1	100%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	1	150%	1	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ruthy Hebard	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	3	117%	2	0%	1	0%
Sky	0	0%	44	66%	19	50%	3	67%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	12	75%	3	83%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	3	83%	3	133%	0	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	9	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	6	83%	1	100%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	8	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	0	0%	7	57%	3	33%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Bella Alarie	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	48	62%	16	59%	0	0%