WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	89		Excitement	9.4 [15]		MVP	Sylvia Fowles (MIN): +43.1%
Minnesota Lynx	90		Comeback	3.3 [58]		LVP	Chelsea Gray (LVA): -43.6%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A'ja Wilson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.01	24	47%	0.21	2	-0.07	12	83%	0.17
Dearica Hamby	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	9	54%	0.11	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Kelsey Plum	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	11	52%	0.16	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.05
Jackie Young	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Liz Cambage	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	13	56%	0.22	3	-0.19	6	100%	0.03
Riquna Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JiSu Park	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chelsea Gray	-0.44	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.44	-0.17	-0.26	-0.00	10	30%	-0.08	6	-0.36	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.4,0.51,0.43	0.43	0.20	0.19	-0.05	20	64%	0.47	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.03	-0.11	15	67%	0.41	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Napheesa Collier	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	14	56%	0.20	3	-0.06	13	85%	0.02
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.05	3	33%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Dangerfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.12	-0.01	14	31%	-0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	MIN	WNBA	LVA	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.9	97.8	95.7	99.6
season	13.6	14.5		105.8	101.2
opponent	15.1	15.2		97.2	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	15.2	15.3	14.9	11.7	14.4
MIN	12.6	13.3	13.7	17.5	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	1%	79%	15%	3.8%	100.0%	41.1%	45.8%	0.0%
MIN	1%	79%	13%	6.6%	0.0%	50.0%	40.0%	40.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	20	40%	2	50%	2	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	8	69%	1	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	1	100%	7	29%	3	33%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	8	44%	4	62%	1	0%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
JiSu Park	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	8	25%	2	50%	0	0%
Aces	1	100%	62	41%	12	46%	3	0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sylvia Fowles	1	0%	14	64%	1	100%	4	50%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	11	73%	3	67%	1	0%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	11	45%	3	33%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	11	36%	3	0%	0	0%
Lynx	1	0%	60	50%	10	40%	5	40%