WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	68		Excitement	7.2 [59]		MVP	Arike Ogunbowale (DAL): +73.2%
Seattle Storm	67		Comeback	43.6 [6]		LVP	Satou Sabally (DAL): -23.0%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arike Ogunbowale	0.73	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.73	0.15	0.60	0.01	19	53%	0.78	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Isabelle Harrison	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.14	-0.00	10	58%	0.26	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Bella Alarie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charli Collier	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marina Mabrey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	12	62%	0.16	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Chelsea Dungee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Thornton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moriah Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allisha Gray	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	8	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Satou Sabally	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.17	-0.09	-0.03	8	11%	-0.15	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jewell Loyd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23	0.23	0.20	0.02	-0.01	16	60%	0.23	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	15	42%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kennedy Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sue Bird	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.04	-0.00	9	72%	0.15	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	5	30%	0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	WNBA	DAL	SEA	WNBA
this game	16.3	13.9	14.9	87.2	82.7	99.6
season	15.5	14.2		100.6	102.5
opponent	15.5	14.7		96.7	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	18.6	16.5	16.3	16.3
SEA	12.9	14.0	12.9	16.1	13.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	0%	80%	19%	1.4%	0.0%	41.1%	23.1%	150.0%
SEA	2%	82%	16%	0.0%	0.0%	41.0%	45.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	17	41%	1	0%	1	150%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	8	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Bella Alarie	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Charli Collier	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	7	79%	5	40%	0	0%
Chelsea Dungee	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	6	42%	2	0%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	0	0%	5	0%	3	0%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	56	41%	13	23%	1	150%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	12	54%	4	37%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	12	37%	3	50%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	1	0%	8	81%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	4	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	1	0%	50	41%	10	45%	0	0%