WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	96		Excitement	7.6 [44]		MVP	Myisha Hines-Allen (WAS): +32.7%
Washington Mystics	93		Comeback	4.2 [49]		LVP	Natasha Cloud (WAS): -13.1%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jackie Young	0.31	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.20	0.09	-0.01	15	65%	0.31	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Liz Cambage	0.27	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.09	-0.00	17	67%	0.36	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
A'ja Wilson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,0.08	-0.01	0.12	0.03	14	41%	0.15	2	-0.07	9	100%	0.07
Riquna Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.05	0.16	-0.09	0.02	10	71%	0.11	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Kelsey Plum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	4	20%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dearica Hamby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chelsea Gray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	13	39%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.24	0.14	0.05	19	67%	0.37	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.11
Ariel Atkins	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.16	0.16	0.19	-0.01	0.01	19	66%	0.27	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00
Leilani Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tina Charles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.06	-0.01	18	43%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Shavonte Zellous	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erica McCall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theresa Plaisance	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	WAS	WNBA	LVA	WAS	WNBA
this game	12.9	13.7	14.9	105.5	104.5	99.6
season	13.6	15.0		105.8	98.3
opponent	14.6	15.2		103.0	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	13.1	10.3	14.3	14.4	12.9
WAS	11.5	14.3	15.0	14.2	13.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	5%	78%	14%	2.6%	25.0%	50.0%	40.9%	50.0%
WAS	3%	87%	8%	2.6%	150.0%	54.5%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jackie Young	2	50%	10	50%	3	117%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	16	62%	1	100%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	11	18%	2	0%	1	100%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	8	87%	1	0%	1	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	2	0%	8	56%	3	0%	0	0%
Aces	4	25%	59	50%	11	41%	2	50%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Myisha Hines-Allen	1	150%	15	67%	3	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	1	150%	16	69%	0	0%	2	0%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	17	47%	1	0%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	6	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Erica McCall	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	6	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	2	150%	67	54%	6	0%	2	0%