WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	109		Excitement	11.1 [1]		MVP	Courtney Williams (CON): +45.2%
Connecticut Sun	104		Comeback	14.8 [5]		LVP	Jasmine Thomas (CON): -36.2%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diamond DeShields	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.19	0.16	0.03	23	58%	0.41	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Astou Ndour	0.31	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.31	0.15	0.16	0.00	12	64%	0.31	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Gabby Williams	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.23	0.02	0.19	-0.02	5	90%	0.38	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.02	7	57%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Allie Quigley	0.08	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	7	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	7	50%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jamierra Faulkner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02	0.10	-0.08	0.03	8	76%	0.21	5	-0.23	9	89%	0.03
Cheyenne Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	46%	0.06	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Katie Lou Samuelson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.45	0.45	0.14	0.31	0.01	21	56%	0.59	2	-0.14	3	100%	0.24
Natisha Hiedeman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.06	-0.01	5	73%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.10	-0.02	17	44%	0.21	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Bria Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	6	61%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.05
Shekinna Stricklen	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.15	-0.06	0.03	10	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	10	39%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Brionna Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Morgan Tuck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.08	-0.27	0.01	11	54%	-0.04	7	-0.32	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CON	WNBA	CHI	CON	WNBA
this game	13.5	13.3	14.9	106.9	105.1	98.5
season	14.1	14.3		101.6	100.8
opponent	15.3	14.5		96.9	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.1	13.2	13.8	14.8	13.5
CON	12.8	11.2	13.5	17.0	13.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	0%	73%	23%	3.9%	0.0%	55.4%	58.3%	83.3%
CON	0%	78%	18%	4.5%	0.0%	49.3%	62.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	16	62%	5	20%	2	75%
Astou Ndour	0	0%	7	57%	4	50%	1	100%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	2	50%	3	117%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	6	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	6	58%	1	100%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	6	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Jamierra Faulkner	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	6	75%	2	50%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	56	55%	18	58%	3	83%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	14	54%	7	50%	0	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	4	62%	1	150%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	11	32%	5	50%	1	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	5	40%	1	150%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	9	78%	0	0%	1	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	8	37%	2	50%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	9	61%	0	0%	2	0%
Sun	0	0%	69	49%	16	62%	4	0%