WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	79		Excitement	10.6 [5]		MVP	A'ja Wilson (LVA): +35.4%
Las Vegas Aces	84		Comeback	10.6 [17]		LVP	Jackie Young (LVA): -18.4%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeWanna Bonner	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.38,0.26	0.06	0.17	-0.03	23	47%	0.36	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Brianna Turner	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.01	7	47%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Camille Little	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sophie Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Leilani Mitchell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.00	13	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Briann January	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.00	5	17%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Brittney Griner	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.11,0.14,0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	0.08	-0.23	-0.05	24	48%	-0.01	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Yvonne Turner	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A'ja Wilson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.17,-0.07,-0.14,0.01,0.35	0.35	0.00	0.33	-0.02	19	40%	0.35	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Liz Cambage	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	17	53%	0.31	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.14
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	9	52%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sugar Rodgers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Colson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.15	-0.02	11	33%	-0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	LVA	WNBA	PHO	LVA	WNBA
this game	16.4	13.5	14.9	86.8	94.4	98.5
season	15.3	13.3		97.2	99.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		96.3	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	14.0	16.1	17.2	19.3	16.4
LVA	13.8	13.2	13.6	14.0	13.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	1%	64%	29%	6.0%	0.0%	42.5%	45.8%	20.0%
LVA	0%	74%	19%	7.1%	0.0%	43.5%	31.2%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
DeWanna Bonner	1	0%	10	30%	10	55%	2	50%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	6	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	3	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	9	50%	2	125%	2	0%
Briann January	0	0%	4	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	15	60%	8	25%	1	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	5	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercury	1	0%	53	42%	24	46%	5	20%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	11	18%	6	50%	2	50%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	13	54%	2	50%	2	50%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	7	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	2	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	10	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	6	50%	3	0%	2	0%
Aces	0	0%	62	44%	16	31%	6	33%