WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	74		Excitement	7.4 [57]		MVP	Liz Cambage (LVA): +23.8%
Las Vegas Aces	79		Comeback	1.8 [150]		LVP	Temi Fagbenle (MIN): -10.0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephanie Talbot	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	9	70%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Odyssey Sims	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	16	56%	0.27	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Lexie Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	55%	0.10	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.03
Danielle Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Asia Taylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Napheesa Collier	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.00	11	54%	0.05	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.06
Temi Fagbenle	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Liz Cambage	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.12	-0.02	16	59%	0.33	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	12	67%	0.28	4	-0.13	6	83%	-0.00
Sugar Rodgers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	8	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.03	11	56%	0.21	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JiSu Park	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Colson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	42%	0.04	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LVA	WNBA	MIN	LVA	WNBA
this game	14.7	13.6	14.9	88.1	92.9	98.5
season	15.1	13.3		97.8	99.9
opponent	15.5	14.9		96.3	95.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	16.8	14.4	13.3	14.7
LVA	12.3	14.1	13.5	14.6	13.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	71%	28%	1.5%	0.0%	52.1%	42.1%	0.0%
LVA	0%	73%	27%	0.0%	0.0%	45.6%	61.8%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	5	70%	3	83%	1	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	12	50%	4	62%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	2	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	6	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Asia Taylor	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	7	57%	1	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	6	83%	5	20%	0	0%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	48	52%	19	42%	1	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	11	45%	5	80%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	7	79%	5	40%	0	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	6	42%	2	75%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	9	44%	2	100%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
JiSu Park	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	8	31%	2	50%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	45	46%	17	62%	0	0%