WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	76		Excitement	8.5 [28]		MVP	Stefanie Dolson (CHI): +64.3%
Chicago Sky	77		Comeback	7.3 [28]		LVP	Brittney Sykes (ATL): -17.1%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Renee Montgomery	0.41	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.41,0.41	0.22	0.18	-0.02	14	70%	0.47	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.07
Tiffany Hayes	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.04,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	13	53%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Elizabeth Williams	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05	0.06	-0.03	-0.02	11	52%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Maite Cazorla	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jessica Breland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.06,0.06,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	14	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marie G�lich	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Bentley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.11	-0.10	-0.07	-0.06	9	11%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.17	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	11	27%	-0.13	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0.64	0.64	-0.02	0.65	-0.02	8	37%	0.66	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gabby Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.03	-0.04	3	83%	0.10	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Diamond DeShields	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.01	0.02	10	67%	0.19	3	-0.09	13	77%	-0.08
Allie Quigley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	10	50%	0.14	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	62%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jamierra Faulkner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Astou Ndour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jantel Lavender	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.11	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Cheyenne Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	10	45%	0.06	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	WNBA	ATL	CHI	WNBA
this game	15.1	13.3	14.9	89.4	91.7	98.5
season	15.4	14.1		89.0	101.6
opponent	14.5	14.7		99.1	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	13.0	15.6	17.6	15.1
CHI	12.7	13.1	14.4	13.1	13.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	77%	21%	1.2%	0.0%	41.9%	23.5%	0.0%
CHI	0%	72%	25%	2.9%	0.0%	45.0%	44.1%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	12	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	12	42%	1	100%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	10	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Maite Cazorla	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	10	30%	4	50%	0	0%
Marie G�lich	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	4	0%	5	20%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	7	29%	3	0%	1	0%
Dream	0	0%	62	42%	17	24%	1	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	5	20%	2	50%	1	100%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	2	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	9	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	9	44%	1	100%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	5	60%	3	67%	0	0%
Jamierra Faulkner	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Astou Ndour	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	4	50%	3	33%	1	100%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	4	25%	2	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	7	43%	3	50%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	50	45%	17	44%	2	100%