WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	86		Excitement	9.1 [12]		MVP	Arike Ogunbowale (DAL): +58.8%
Dallas Wings	89		Comeback	8.3 [14]		LVP	Allisha Gray (DAL): -11.8%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sylvia Fowles	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.36	0.08	0.28	-0.01	10	54%	0.36	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Napheesa Collier	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23	0.01	0.20	-0.01	10	46%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Lexie Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danielle Robinson	0.04	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.07,0.04	0.13	-0.08	0.01	11	67%	0.16	1	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Shao Ting	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	44%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Alaina Coates	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	12	50%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Odyssey Sims	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.15,-0.04	0.04	-0.10	-0.03	20	46%	0.15	2	-0.19	10	70%	-0.00

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arike Ogunbowale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.4,0.31,0.59	0.59	0.21	0.39	0.01	12	73%	0.59	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Kayla Thornton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.42	0.42	0.11	0.31	0.00	10	74%	0.49	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.04
Kaela Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.02	9	61%	0.18	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isabelle Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	5	75%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Megan Gustafson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theresa Plaisance	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	62%	0.18	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Imani McGee-Stafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Brooke McCarty-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allisha Gray	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	10	52%	0.12	4	-0.24	1	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	WNBA	MIN	DAL	WNBA
this game	13.8	14.7	14.9	103.6	104.7	98.5
season	15.1	16.6		97.8	93.3
opponent	14.6	14.9		100.8	95.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.5	11.6	18.5	13.3	13.8
DAL	14.4	15.7	14.9	14.0	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	77%	14%	8.6%	0.0%	50.0%	30.0%	50.0%
DAL	0%	77%	18%	4.9%	0.0%	53.2%	68.2%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	7	43%	2	50%	1	100%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	5	40%	4	25%	1	100%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	9	78%	1	0%	1	0%
Shao Ting	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Alaina Coates	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	11	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	15	40%	2	50%	3	33%
Lynx	0	0%	54	50%	10	30%	6	50%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	9	61%	1	150%	2	75%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	8	75%	1	0%	1	150%
Kaela Davis	0	0%	6	50%	3	83%	0	0%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	4	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	7	50%	2	75%	0	0%
Imani McGee-Stafford	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brooke McCarty-Williams	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	8	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	47	53%	11	68%	3	100%