WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	78		Excitement	9.1 [13]		MVP	Chelsea Gray (LAS): +58.3%
New York Liberty	73		Comeback	7.2 [42]		LVP	Bria Hartley (NYL): -14.5%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chelsea Gray	0.58	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.42,0.56,0.58	0.22	0.37	0.00	20	64%	0.66	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Alexis Jones	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	6	77%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kalani Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	4	40%	0.08	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.07
Nneka Ogwumike	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.07	-0.01	14	26%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.06
Chiney Ogwumike	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	13	47%	0.08	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marina Mabrey	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Riquna Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Wiese	-0.11	0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.00	-0.11	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reshanda Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.06	-0.03	6	63%	0.17	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.06
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	3	83%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Asia Durr	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	-0.06	8	50%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.09	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Tina Charles	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.13	-0.08	24	40%	-0.08	3	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Brittany Boyd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Bria Hartley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	NYL	WNBA	LAS	NYL	WNBA
this game	14.8	13.2	14.9	90.7	85.9	98.5
season	14.8	14.5		97.6	94.6
opponent	14.7	14.8		103.1	95.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	15.3	15.2	15.1	13.6	14.8
NYL	12.2	12.7	14.2	13.7	13.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	71%	28%	1.3%	0.0%	38.2%	40.9%	100.0%
NYL	1%	71%	24%	4.4%	0.0%	42.7%	56.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	13	50%	6	75%	1	100%
Alexis Jones	0	0%	4	75%	2	75%	0	0%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	13	8%	1	100%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	11	45%	2	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	3	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	3	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	6	67%	2	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	55	38%	22	41%	1	100%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Reshanda Gray	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	1	0%	2	125%	0	0%
Asia Durr	0	0%	7	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	6	67%	2	0%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	5	20%	1	150%	0	0%
Tina Charles	1	0%	18	33%	3	67%	2	0%
Brittany Boyd	0	0%	3	33%	4	50%	1	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	2	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Liberty	1	0%	48	43%	16	56%	3	0%