WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	80		Excitement	6.1 [81]		MVP	Maya Moore (MIN): +30.2%
Phoenix Mercury	75		Comeback	1.8 [69]		LVP	Briann January (PHO): -20.5%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maya Moore	0.30	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.28,0.3	0.15	0.10	-0.05	28	55%	0.43	4	-0.13	13	92%	0.11
Danielle Robinson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13	0.06	0.10	0.03	15	50%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Seimone Augustus	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	15	50%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tanisha Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Temi Fagbenle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Whalen	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rebekkah Brunson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erlana Larkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.23	0.23	0.22	-0.04	-0.05	21	57%	0.18	1	0.04	9	100%	0.04
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.06	0.03	5	94%	0.19	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	9	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Yvonne Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Angel Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Camille Little	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Griner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	0.03	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Briann January	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	0.01	8	12%	-0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHO	WNBA	MIN	PHO	WNBA
this game	16.6	15.1	14.9	106.7	98.7	102.8
season	15.8	14.9		100.3	107.5
opponent	15.0	14.7		103.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.0	19.9	14.8	18.3	16.6
PHO	13.9	13.4	18.6	15.0	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	7%	89%	3%	1.4%	50.0%	42.7%	100.0%	100.0%
PHO	10%	75%	14%	1.6%	66.7%	42.6%	38.9%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Maya Moore	0	0%	27	44%	1	100%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	1	100%	13	38%	0	0%	1	100%
Seimone Augustus	2	0%	12	54%	1	100%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	1	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	5	50%	62	43%	2	100%	1	100%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
DeWanna Bonner	1	0%	15	50%	4	62%	1	0%
Stephanie Talbot	1	100%	2	125%	2	50%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	9	61%	0	0%	0	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	5	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Angel Robinson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Griner	2	100%	6	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Briann January	2	50%	5	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercury	6	67%	47	43%	9	39%	1	0%