WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	87		Excitement	6.6 [62]		MVP	Chiney Ogwumike (CON): +35.4%
Connecticut Sun	91		Comeback	1.4 [132]		LVP	Briann January (PHO): -6.4%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diana Taurasi	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.5,0.5,0.33,0.22	0.26	-0.07	-0.03	17	67%	0.25	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Angel Robinson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	7	71%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeWanna Bonner	0.06	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.03	0.02	10	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Yvonne Turner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Griner	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04	0.07	-0.04	-0.01	9	70%	0.18	5	-0.14	9	78%	-0.01
Camille Little	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Leilani Mitchell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Briann January	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.27	0.09	0.01	11	88%	0.35	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Courtney Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.10	-0.01	20	58%	0.37	1	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Shekinna Stricklen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.02	6	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.06	-0.01	12	54%	0.12	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	12	39%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.09
Morgan Tuck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	CON	WNBA	PHO	CON	WNBA
this game	13.8	16.5	14.9	111.5	113.8	102.8
season	14.9	14.6		107.5	107.9
opponent	14.9	15.0		101.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	14.3	11.6	16.1	13.5	13.8
CON	15.4	16.5	15.5	19.0	16.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	0%	84%	10%	5.2%	0.0%	60.2%	75.0%	0.0%
CON	1%	89%	8%	1.4%	0.0%	53.8%	75.0%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	13	69%	1	150%	3	0%
Angel Robinson	0	0%	4	75%	3	67%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	10	55%	0	0%	0	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	4	87%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	8	62%	1	100%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	6	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	49	60%	6	75%	3	0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	9	89%	2	100%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	17	56%	2	50%	1	100%
Shekinna Stricklen	1	0%	5	80%	0	0%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	11	41%	1	150%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	11	45%	1	0%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	1	0%	66	54%	6	75%	1	100%