WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	94		Excitement	7.3 [60]		MVP	Jonquel Jones (CON): +36.7%
Chicago Sky	89		Comeback	3.3 [33]		LVP	Camille Little (CON): -21.3%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonquel Jones	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37	0.15	0.22	0.00	13	57%	0.37	0	0.00	9	89%	0.05
Chiney Ogwumike	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	5	83%	0.18	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Alyssa Thomas	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	14	50%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Alex Bentley	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.14	0.18	0.02	0.07	12	70%	0.19	1	-0.06	6	83%	-0.02
Morgan Tuck	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	6	69%	0.18	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jasmine Thomas	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.02	10	62%	0.17	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Kelly Faris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shekinna Stricklen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Camille Little	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.05

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.02	-0.03	15	59%	0.26	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Tamera Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	10	64%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jessica Breland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	8	65%	0.20	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Cappie Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.04	10	73%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Allie Quigley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.03	0.04	8	69%	0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Imani Boyette	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	0.03	6	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Jamierra Faulkner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	CHI	WNBA	CON	CHI	WNBA
this game	14.2	15.1	15.2	114.6	108.5	102.3
season	14.3	14.8		101.1	105.3
opponent	14.9	15.5		106.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	14.8	13.7	13.8	14.5	14.2
CHI	15.2	14.9	17.1	13.5	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	1%	66%	33%	0.0%	100.0%	47.8%	47.8%	0.0%
CHI	5%	66%	29%	0.0%	100.0%	57.0%	47.4%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	6	33%	7	57%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	4	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	10	40%	4	50%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	1	100%	9	67%	2	50%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	1	100%	5	60%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	8	62%	2	0%	0	0%
Kelly Faris	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	1	100%	46	48%	23	48%	0	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	1	0%	8	75%	6	33%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	7	57%	3	67%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	4	75%	4	50%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	1	150%	7	79%	2	0%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	1	150%	5	40%	2	100%	0	0%
Imani Boyette	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	5	20%	1	0%	0	0%
Jamierra Faulkner	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Sky	3	100%	43	57%	19	47%	0	0%