WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	77		Excitement	4.1 [156]		MVP	Nneka Ogwumike (LAS): +13.3%
Chicago Sky	67		Comeback	1.7 [178]		LVP	Erika de Souza (CHI): -5.6%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nneka Ogwumike	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	-0.00	0.04	11	91%	0.20	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Essence Carson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.03	7	59%	0.11	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Alana Beard	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	3	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jantel Lavender	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Candace Parker	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	11	46%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ann Wauters	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristi Toliver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	10	54%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Evgeniia Belyakova	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chelsea Gray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allie Quigley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.03	10	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	19	39%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamierra Faulkner	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Imani Boyette	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	41%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Cheyenne Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	0.07	7	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Breland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cappie Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Tamera Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erika de Souza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	CHI	WNBA	LAS	CHI	WNBA
this game	15.8	16.2	15.2	101.3	90.5	102.3
season	15.6	14.8		105.7	105.3
opponent	14.9	15.2		106.0	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	14.3	18.9	12.1	19.1	15.8
CHI	16.6	17.5	17.3	13.2	16.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	18%	82%	0%	0.0%	59.1%	58.2%	0.0%	0.0%
CHI	16%	84%	0%	0.0%	54.2%	40.3%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nneka Ogwumike	3	67%	8	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Essence Carson	1	0%	6	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Alana Beard	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	1	100%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	11	41%	0	0%	0	0%
Ann Wauters	2	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	2	125%	8	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Evgeniia Belyakova	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	2	50%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	11	59%	49	58%	0	0%	0	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allie Quigley	3	50%	7	71%	0	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	3	33%	16	41%	0	0%	0	0%
Jamierra Faulkner	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Imani Boyette	0	0%	10	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	2	100%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	3	33%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	1	100%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	7	29%	0	0%	0	0%
Erika de Souza	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sky	12	54%	62	40%	0	0%	0	0%