WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	97		Excitement	11.8 [3]		MVP	Elena Delle Donne (CHI): +58.4%
Atlanta Dream	101		Comeback	4.4 [28]		LVP	Cappie Pondexter (CHI): -14.0%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0.58	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58	0.17	0.41	0.00	22	55%	0.58	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Tamera Young	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.14	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Allie Quigley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.00	13	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erika de Souza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07
Courtney Vandersloot	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.12	-0.15	0.01	10	73%	0.10	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Jessica Breland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamierra Faulkner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Imani Boyette	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.11	-0.01	7	47%	0.06	2	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Cappie Pondexter	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	9	30%	-0.00	3	-0.14	5	80%	0.02

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.18	-0.01	9	54%	0.28	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Matee Ajavon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	7	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Meighan Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	4	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Angel McCoughtry	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	14	55%	0.26	3	-0.19	12	83%	0.14
Carla Cortijo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Rachel Hollivay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reshanda Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.06	0.02	16	53%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.10	-0.00	17	49%	0.03	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.06
Bria Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.05

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	WNBA	CHI	ATL	WNBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.2	107.8	107.4	102.3
season	14.8	15.0		105.3	100.8
opponent	14.9	14.9		103.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.6	16.2	14.6	15.1	14.8
ATL	15.6	13.9	14.0	14.9	14.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	1%	61%	30%	7.3%	0.0%	53.0%	48.0%	16.7%
ATL	0%	71%	23%	6.7%	0.0%	54.7%	32.4%	20.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	14	43%	6	75%	2	50%
Tamera Young	0	0%	5	60%	2	100%	1	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	6	50%	6	33%	1	0%
Erika de Souza	0	0%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	7	86%	2	50%	1	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jamierra Faulkner	0	0%	3	83%	3	0%	0	0%
Imani Boyette	0	0%	5	40%	2	50%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	1	0%	3	0%	4	37%	1	0%
Sky	1	0%	50	53%	25	48%	6	17%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	7	36%	2	50%	0	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	5	50%	1	100%	1	0%
Meighan Simmons	0	0%	3	33%	1	150%	0	0%
Angel McCoughtry	0	0%	9	67%	3	0%	2	0%
Carla Cortijo	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Hollivay	0	0%	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Reshanda Gray	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	11	55%	4	0%	1	100%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	11	64%	5	20%	1	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	53	55%	17	32%	5	20%