WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	73		Excitement	5.6 [103]		MVP	Imani Boyette (CHI): +23.0%
Indiana Fever	64		Comeback	1.5 [124]		LVP	Marissa Coleman (IND): -16.3%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Imani Boyette	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.09	-0.04	12	67%	0.25	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elena Delle Donne	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	10	64%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Allie Quigley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cappie Pondexter	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erika de Souza	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clarissa Dos Santos	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Breland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tamera Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jamierra Faulkner	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Briann January	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.05	-0.03	13	53%	0.07	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Devereaux Peters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erlana Larkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lynetta Kizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tamika Catchings	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shenise Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	13	32%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	50%	0.00
Marissa Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	15	24%	-0.12	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	WNBA	CHI	IND	WNBA
this game	15.8	15.6	15.2	94.8	84.2	102.3
season	14.8	15.3		105.3	101.7
opponent	15.2	14.9		102.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.4	12.3	17.5	17.3	15.8
IND	13.6	18.6	14.9	15.2	15.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	8%	81%	11%	0.0%	41.7%	44.8%	75.0%	0.0%
IND	6%	81%	13%	0.0%	25.0%	38.6%	22.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Imani Boyette	1	0%	9	67%	2	100%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	2	50%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	3	0%	2	100%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	1	0%	9	44%	1	100%	0	0%
Erika de Souza	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Clarissa Dos Santos	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	9	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	4	25%	2	50%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jamierra Faulkner	2	75%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sky	6	42%	58	45%	8	75%	0	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Briann January	0	0%	12	54%	1	0%	0	0%
Devereaux Peters	1	100%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	2	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamika Catchings	1	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Shenise Johnson	1	0%	9	33%	3	33%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	1	0%	12	8%	2	50%	0	0%
Fever	4	25%	57	39%	9	22%	0	0%