WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	86		Excitement	5.1 [128]		MVP	Emma Meesseman (WAS): +12.3%
Washington Mystics	78		Comeback	1.4 [173]		LVP	Tierra Ruffin-Pratt (WAS): -10.4%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	14	50%	0.14	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Tamera Young	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	4	78%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Courtney Vandersloot	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.05	0.01	7	62%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Cappie Pondexter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.01	0.05	10	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Clarissa Dos Santos	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheyenne Parker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamierra Faulkner	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Erika de Souza	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allie Quigley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Breland	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Imani Boyette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emma Meesseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.02	6	83%	0.12	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.00	-0.03	8	70%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	-0.00	2	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kia Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivory Latta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bria Hartley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayler Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	14	34%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	6	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	10	36%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	WNBA	CHI	WAS	WNBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.2	110.3	100.0	102.3
season	14.8	15.6		105.3	102.0
opponent	15.4	14.9		104.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.8	15.3	17.3	14.9	15.8
WAS	15.0	19.1	16.0	11.2	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	5%	95%	0%	0.0%	66.7%	53.2%	0.0%	0.0%
WAS	11%	86%	3%	0.0%	64.3%	48.2%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	14	39%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	1	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	1	100%	9	56%	0	0%	0	0%
Clarissa Dos Santos	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Jamierra Faulkner	0	0%	7	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Erika de Souza	1	100%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Imani Boyette	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sky	3	67%	62	53%	0	0%	0	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	6	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	1	0%	7	71%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	1	100%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Ivory Latta	2	75%	6	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	4	62%	1	0%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tayler Hill	0	0%	14	29%	0	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	1	100%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	2	50%	8	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	7	64%	57	48%	2	0%	0	0%