WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Tulsa Shock	91		Excitement	9.0 [17]		MVP	Epiphanny Prince (CHI): +39.9%
Chicago Sky	98		Comeback	624.0 [6]		LVP	Sonja Petrovic (CHI): -17.3%

Tulsa Shock
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scholanda Dorrell	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.09	-0.01	12	57%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.05
Ivory Latta	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.18	0.06	0.07	18	57%	0.17	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Glory Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	10	57%	0.11	2	-0.07	10	50%	-0.03
Jene Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jennifer Lacy	-0.01	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0.02,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.17	4	-0.18	4	50%	-0.02
Karima Christmas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chante Black	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Temeka Johnson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	14	33%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.01
Kayla Pedersen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.21	0.28	0.09	20	65%	0.56	4	-0.16	9	89%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.00	9	58%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.04
Swin Cash	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.07	0.13	-0.04	8	50%	0.24	6	-0.14	12	67%	0.02
Ruth Riley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	4	50%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	0.12	3	-0.13	8	75%	0.00
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lecoe Willingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.08	0.02	8	61%	0.06	4	-0.13	7	57%	-0.08
Sonja Petrovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TUL	CHI	WNBA	TUL	CHI	WNBA
this game	13.9	13.1	15.3	91.0	98.0	97.9
season	15.1	15.7		95.4	95.2
opponent	15.4	14.8		95.7	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TUL	14.6	15.8	14.7	11.2	13.9
CHI	16.2	14.2	13.9	11.9	13.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
TUL	14%	61%	25%	0.0%	50.0%	41.3%	57.9%	0.0%
CHI	6%	78%	15%	1.5%	75.0%	44.2%	65.0%	150.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Tulsa Shock
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Scholanda Dorrell	1	0%	7	57%	4	62%	0	0%
Ivory Latta	4	62%	8	62%	6	25%	0	0%
Glory Johnson	1	100%	7	57%	2	50%	0	0%
Jene Morris	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Jennifer Lacy	1	0%	7	21%	3	133%	0	0%
Karima Christmas	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Chante Black	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Temeka Johnson	2	50%	10	30%	2	50%	0	0%
Kayla Pedersen	2	50%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shock	11	50%	46	41%	19	58%	0	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Epiphanny Prince	1	150%	13	54%	5	40%	1	150%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	7	43%	2	100%	0	0%
Swin Cash	1	0%	5	30%	2	75%	0	0%
Ruth Riley	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	1	0%	10	40%	1	100%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lecoe Willingham	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	1	150%	7	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sonja Petrovic	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Sky	4	75%	52	44%	10	65%	1	150%