WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	94		Excitement	10.0 [8]		MVP	Angel McCoughtry (ATL): +55.1%
Atlanta Dream	92		Comeback	121.0 [4]		LVP	Sancho Lyttle (ATL): -35.4%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Epiphanny Prince	0.51	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.62,0.51	0.13	0.39	0.01	25	59%	0.87	6	-0.36	6	83%	0.02
Sonja Petrovic	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.08	0.21	0.01	4	125%	0.37	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.15	0.02	11	69%	0.34	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Lecoe Willingham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shay Murphy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	-0.07	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ruth Riley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tamera Young	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	9	41%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Swin Cash	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	9	48%	-0.02	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Angel McCoughtry	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55	0.55	0.21	0.36	0.02	16	67%	0.62	4	-0.07	17	100%	0.13
Laurie Koehn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33	0.33	0.09	0.24	0.00	7	64%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armintie Herrington	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.00	-0.01	9	64%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cathrine Kraayeveld	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Harding	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	0.11	-0.07	0.08	11	57%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Yelena Leuchanka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ketia Swanier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Aneika Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	1	50%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.14
Sancho Lyttle	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.35	-0.35	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	11	35%	-0.20	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	WNBA	CHI	ATL	WNBA
this game	15.9	13.0	15.3	102.2	96.8	97.9
season	15.7	14.7		95.2	95.4
opponent	15.0	15.4		93.0	95.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.5	12.6	16.7	16.9	15.9
ATL	9.6	15.2	17.5	10.3	13.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	4%	66%	26%	4.1%	83.3%	48.0%	47.4%	133.3%
ATL	9%	54%	27%	10.4%	50.0%	50.0%	36.1%	42.9%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Epiphanny Prince	2	50%	13	50%	9	56%	1	150%
Sonja Petrovic	0	0%	2	125%	1	100%	1	150%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	6	50%	4	75%	1	100%
Lecoe Willingham	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Shay Murphy	1	150%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	6	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Ruth Riley	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	7	43%	2	0%	0	0%
Swin Cash	0	0%	7	57%	2	0%	0	0%
Sky	3	83%	49	48%	19	47%	3	133%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Angel McCoughtry	1	100%	7	36%	6	50%	2	75%
Laurie Koehn	0	0%	1	150%	4	37%	2	75%
Armintie Herrington	1	0%	8	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Cathrine Kraayeveld	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Lindsey Harding	2	100%	7	43%	1	0%	1	0%
Yelena Leuchanka	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Ketia Swanier	1	0%	1	100%	4	25%	0	0%
Aneika Henry	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sancho Lyttle	1	0%	6	33%	2	50%	2	0%
Dream	6	50%	36	50%	18	36%	7	43%