WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	86		Excitement	15.4 [1]		MVP	Tully Bevilaqua (IND): +43.7%
Atlanta Dream	87		Comeback	5.8 [31]		LVP	Tamika Catchings (IND): -43.4%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tully Bevilaqua	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.22	0.21	0.00	5	100%	0.46	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Katie Douglas	0.25	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.13	-0.02	16	59%	0.39	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.07
Tammy Sutton-Brown	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.05	0.20	0.00	13	54%	0.33	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Yolanda Griffith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Briann January	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.00	11	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Tamecka Dixon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ebony Hoffman	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	8	25%	-0.12	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tamika Catchings	-0.43	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.21,-0.05,-0.05,-0.43	-0.13	-0.32	-0.02	18	37%	-0.07	6	-0.36	4	50%	-0.18

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Angel McCoughtry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.17	-0.01	8	54%	0.38	2	-0.15	12	75%	-0.11
Nikki Teasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	6	56%	0.22	1	-0.09	6	67%	-0.03
Coco Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	60%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Erika de Souza	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	62%	0.28	5	-0.27	0	0%	0.00
Sancho Lyttle	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	11	42%	0.08	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jennifer Lacy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michelle Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Iziane Castro Marques	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Chamique Holdsclaw	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.27,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23,-0.32,-0.04,-0.1,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	22	46%	0.25	7	-0.37	6	83%	0.09

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	WNBA	IND	ATL	WNBA
this game	15.6	13.5	15.1	83.5	84.5	97.9
season	15.6	13.7		96.8	97.6
opponent	14.7	14.7		96.0	94.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	16.9	14.2	15.8	15.3
ATL	10.9	13.8	15.1	12.1	13.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	57%	31%	11.7%	0.0%	44.3%	50.0%	22.2%
ATL	0%	58%	32%	11.0%	0.0%	36.9%	58.7%	12.5%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tully Bevilaqua	0	0%	2	150%	3	83%	0	0%
Katie Douglas	0	0%	9	56%	5	70%	2	0%
Tammy Sutton-Brown	0	0%	7	57%	3	33%	3	67%
Yolanda Griffith	0	0%	2	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	7	43%	3	0%	1	0%
Tamecka Dixon	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Ebony Hoffman	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	1	0%
Tamika Catchings	0	0%	10	25%	6	67%	2	0%
Fever	0	0%	44	44%	24	50%	9	22%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Angel McCoughtry	0	0%	4	25%	3	67%	1	0%
Nikki Teasley	0	0%	3	50%	2	75%	1	0%
Coco Miller	0	0%	1	0%	1	100%	1	0%
Erika de Souza	0	0%	9	56%	2	100%	2	50%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	9	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jennifer Lacy	0	0%	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Michelle Snow	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Iziane Castro Marques	0	0%	2	0%	4	25%	0	0%
Chamique Holdsclaw	0	0%	13	38%	6	67%	3	0%
Dream	0	0%	42	37%	23	59%	8	12%