WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	77		Excitement	8.0 [42]		MVP	Coco Miller (WAS): +25.6%
Los Angeles Sparks	74		Comeback	1110.1 [1]		LVP	Lisa Leslie (LAS): -15.7%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coco Miller	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26	-0.04	0.27	-0.02	8	31%	0.28	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monique Currie	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.02,-0.07,0.16,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	16	67%	0.38	4	-0.25	4	100%	0.01
Crystal Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alana Beard	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	15	49%	0.08	3	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
Bernice Mosby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Crystal Langhorne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.03	6	19%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Laurie Koehn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj McWilliams-Franklin	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Nakia Sanford	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	3	25%	-0.03	4	-0.10	6	17%	-0.08
Nikki Blue	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	5	36%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jessica Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Temeka Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	71%	0.14	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Sidney Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raffaella Masciadri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Candace Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.06	-0.00	11	57%	0.06	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
DeLisha Milton-Jones	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	12	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kiesha Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	7	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Murriel Page	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marie Ferdinand-Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lisa Leslie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.16	-0.02	14	50%	0.05	4	-0.21	4	50%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAS	WNBA	WAS	LAS	WNBA
this game	16.7	14.2	15.2	90.6	82.2	95.2
season	15.5	14.9		88.1	94.0
opponent	15.7	15.0		91.3	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.0	16.8	17.8	15.8	16.7
LAS	12.0	14.9	15.6	14.2	14.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	7%	76%	14%	2.8%	50.0%	44.5%	35.0%	75.0%
LAS	6%	72%	15%	6.2%	0.0%	50.0%	40.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Coco Miller	1	0%	5	20%	1	0%	1	150%
Monique Currie	0	0%	13	65%	3	50%	0	0%
Crystal Smith	1	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Alana Beard	1	100%	13	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Bernice Mosby	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Laurie Koehn	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Taj McWilliams-Franklin	2	75%	6	33%	3	67%	1	0%
Nakia Sanford	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Nikki Blue	0	0%	4	37%	1	0%	0	0%
Mystics	5	50%	55	45%	10	35%	2	75%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jessica Moore	0	0%	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Temeka Johnson	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sidney Spencer	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Raffaella Masciadri	1	0%	2	75%	3	33%	1	0%
Candace Parker	1	0%	9	56%	0	0%	1	0%
DeLisha Milton-Jones	2	0%	9	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Kiesha Brown	0	0%	5	50%	1	0%	1	0%
Murriel Page	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%
Marie Ferdinand-Harris	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Lisa Leslie	0	0%	10	50%	4	50%	0	0%
Sparks	4	0%	47	50%	10	40%	4	0%