WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	93		Excitement	11.2 [6]		MVP	Deanna Nolan (DET): +125.1%
Detroit Shock	98		Comeback	226.3 [2]		LVP	Katie Smith (DET): -21.1%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charde Houston	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.13	0.17	-0.02	8	76%	0.36	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Candice Wiggins	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25	0.03	0.20	-0.02	9	46%	0.27	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.13
Nicky Anosike	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	8	62%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Seimone Augustus	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	19	52%	0.26	2	-0.17	12	67%	-0.06
Vanessa Hayden	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kristen Rasmussen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Noelle Quinn	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Navonda Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Harding	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	28%	0.05	3	-0.17	6	50%	-0.09
Nicole Ohlde	-0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	13	23%	-0.09	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Anna DeForge	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	1	0%	-0.08	3	-0.10	3	0%	-0.24

Detroit Shock
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deanna Nolan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.37,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.96,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.98,1.25	1.25	0.47	0.84	0.06	22	81%	1.39	3	-0.14	10	100%	0.31
Cheryl Ford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.14	0.00	7	46%	0.18	1	-0.03	14	64%	-0.05
Kara Braxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sheri Sam	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Plenette Pierson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	43%	0.09	3	-0.10	9	78%	-0.09
Tasha Humphrey	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Olayinka Sanni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Hornbuckle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Katie Smith	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.09	0.02	12	40%	-0.03	5	-0.18	6	100%	0.04

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DET	WNBA	MIN	DET	WNBA
this game	14.5	14.5	15.2	98.9	106.5	95.2
season	14.7	14.8		98.6	97.9
opponent	15.9	14.8		91.8	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	16.0	12.9	14.6	14.5
DET	13.6	16.4	13.8	14.0	14.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	1%	74%	22%	2.6%	0.0%	38.6%	58.8%	0.0%
DET	3%	72%	25%	0.0%	125.0%	43.1%	41.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Charde Houston	0	0%	5	60%	3	100%	0	0%
Candice Wiggins	0	0%	6	17%	3	33%	0	0%
Nicky Anosike	0	0%	7	57%	1	100%	0	0%
Seimone Augustus	1	0%	13	46%	4	75%	1	0%
Vanessa Hayden	0	0%	7	71%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristen Rasmussen	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	4	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Navonda Moore	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsey Harding	0	0%	2	0%	4	25%	0	0%
Nicole Ohlde	0	0%	11	9%	1	100%	1	0%
Anna DeForge	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	1	0%	57	39%	17	59%	2	0%

Detroit Shock
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Deanna Nolan	2	125%	9	78%	11	68%	0	0%
Cheryl Ford	0	0%	7	29%	0	0%	0	0%
Kara Braxton	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sheri Sam	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Plenette Pierson	0	0%	10	40%	3	0%	0	0%
Tasha Humphrey	0	0%	8	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Olayinka Sanni	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alexis Hornbuckle	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Katie Smith	0	0%	10	30%	2	0%	0	0%
Shock	2	125%	51	43%	18	42%	0	0%