WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	85		Excitement	6.3 [97]		MVP	Diana Taurasi (PHO): +27.6%
Los Angeles Sparks	79		Comeback	174.4 [3]		LVP	Kelly Miller (PHO): -11.8%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diana Taurasi	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.28	0.17	0.08	-0.02	22	53%	0.28	1	0.00	11	82%	0.01
Barbara Farris	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.10	-0.04	4	78%	0.19	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Cappie Pondexter	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	21	55%	0.23	4	-0.13	9	89%	0.03
Jennifer Derevjanik	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lecoe Willingham	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.07	8	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
LaToya Pringle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Mazzante	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tangela Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	7	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raffaella Masciadri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Candace Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.01	-0.02	14	54%	0.16	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Sidney Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Murriel Page	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marie Ferdinand-Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeLisha Milton-Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.07	-0.03	8	80%	0.23	7	-0.25	4	100%	0.03
Christi Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lisa Leslie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	0.02	18	44%	-0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Temeka Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kiesha Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	5	20%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	LAS	WNBA	PHO	LAS	WNBA
this game	14.0	14.6	15.2	101.2	94.0	95.2
season	12.5	14.9		103.4	94.0
opponent	15.7	15.6		91.3	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	15.9	14.7	12.1	13.2	14.0
LAS	12.1	13.9	15.2	17.7	14.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	14%	79%	7%	0.0%	45.8%	34.1%	66.7%	0.0%
LAS	17%	78%	4%	1.4%	33.3%	52.7%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diana Taurasi	2	0%	17	47%	3	67%	0	0%
Barbara Farris	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	4	62%	15	43%	2	50%	0	0%
Jennifer Derevjanik	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lecoe Willingham	2	100%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
LaToya Pringle	1	100%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelly Mazzante	1	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tangela Smith	0	0%	10	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelly Miller	2	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercury	12	46%	66	34%	6	67%	0	0%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Raffaella Masciadri	3	67%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Candace Parker	3	33%	10	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Sidney Spencer	1	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Murriel Page	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Marie Ferdinand-Harris	0	0%	7	50%	1	0%	0	0%
DeLisha Milton-Jones	1	0%	7	86%	0	0%	0	0%
Christi Thomas	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Moore	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lisa Leslie	2	0%	15	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Temeka Johnson	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiesha Brown	1	100%	3	0%	0	0%	1	0%
Sparks	12	33%	56	53%	3	0%	1	0%