WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	77		Excitement	9.0 [13]		MVP	Nykesha Sales (CON): +71.0%
Connecticut Sun	79		Comeback	160.3 [2]		LVP	Asjha Jones (CON): -27.2%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephanie White	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.17	0.00	3	83%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Miller	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1	0.13	-0.03	0.01	10	77%	0.21	4	-0.11	6	83%	-0.01
Natalie Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	62%	0.22	4	-0.19	6	67%	-0.02
Tamika Catchings	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.11	-0.00	17	55%	0.15	3	-0.16	10	80%	0.03
Ebony Hoffman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kate Starbird	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Schumacher	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kristen Rasmussen	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Deanna Jackson	-0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.01

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nykesha Sales	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.71	0.71	0.17	0.58	0.04	16	62%	0.71	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lindsay Whalen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.09,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.56	0.56	0.13	0.44	0.02	9	62%	0.57	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.17
Taj McWilliams-Franklin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.03	0.03	14	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Jessica Brungo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Le'coe Willingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Katie Douglas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.03	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Debbie Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendy Palmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.12	0.02	7	44%	-0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Asjha Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	5	0%	-0.21	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CON	WNBA	IND	CON	WNBA
this game	19.8	17.0	17.0	105.5	106.8	93.8
season	17.9	16.8		93.9	94.8
opponent	17.1	17.2		93.6	95.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.5	33.3	16.3	17.8	19.8
CON	18.2	17.4	19.1	13.7	17.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	2%	84%	5%	8.6%	0.0%	50.0%	33.3%	30.0%
CON	2%	79%	8%	11.5%	150.0%	50.0%	20.0%	64.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Stephanie White	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	1	150%
Kelly Miller	0	0%	9	83%	0	0%	1	0%
Natalie Williams	0	0%	9	56%	1	100%	0	0%
Tamika Catchings	1	0%	13	62%	0	0%	3	0%
Ebony Hoffman	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kate Starbird	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelly Schumacher	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristen Rasmussen	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Deanna Jackson	0	0%	8	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Fever	1	0%	49	50%	3	33%	5	30%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nykesha Sales	0	0%	14	50%	0	0%	2	125%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	6	33%	1	100%	2	100%
Taj McWilliams-Franklin	0	0%	13	69%	1	0%	0	0%
Jessica Brungo	0	0%	1	150%	1	0%	0	0%
Le'coe Willingham	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Douglas	1	150%	4	37%	1	0%	0	0%
Debbie Black	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Wendy Palmer	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	1	0%
Asjha Jones	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	2	0%
Sun	1	150%	48	50%	5	20%	7	64%