WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	74		Excitement	4.8 [168]		MVP	Nykesha Sales (CON): +33.5%
Connecticut Sun	73		Comeback	453.6 [1]		LVP	Katie Douglas (CON): -9.9%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tari Phillips	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.33	0.14	0.23	0.04	9	72%	0.36	2	-0.03	7	71%	0.04
Crystal Robinson	0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22	0.17	0.09	0.04	14	68%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Vickie Johnson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.01	0.06	11	67%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Elena Baranova	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.06	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Tamika Whitmore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Linda Frohlich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Erin Thorn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Yamasaki	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
K.B. Sharp	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Teresa Weatherspoon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nykesha Sales	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34	0.34	0.30	0.04	0.00	20	67%	0.34	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Brooke Wyckoff	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.09	0.03	4	125%	0.21	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adrienne Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.18,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.08	-0.03	8	71%	0.22	3	-0.19	8	50%	-0.05
Taj McWilliams-Franklin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wendy Palmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	6	36%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rebecca Lobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Debbie Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Katie Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	-0.07	6	0%	-0.08	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	CON	WNBA	NYL	CON	WNBA
this game	16.4	21.3	16.8	117.5	114.1	94.7
season	17.8	16.3		95.4	95.9
opponent	17.0	17.1		97.5	95.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	21.0	15.5	14.9	15.0	16.4
CON	23.8	22.7	20.7	18.9	21.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	8%	82%	8%	2.0%	87.5%	56.2%	112.5%	0.0%
CON	9%	87%	4%	0.0%	0.0%	57.1%	150.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tari Phillips	1	150%	5	60%	2	100%	1	0%
Crystal Robinson	1	100%	11	55%	2	125%	0	0%
Vickie Johnson	1	0%	10	70%	0	0%	0	0%
Elena Baranova	1	100%	7	64%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamika Whitmore	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Linda Frohlich	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erin Thorn	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsey Yamasaki	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
K.B. Sharp	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Teresa Weatherspoon	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Liberty	4	87%	40	56%	4	112%	1	0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nykesha Sales	2	0%	18	72%	0	0%	0	0%
Brooke Wyckoff	0	0%	3	117%	1	150%	0	0%
Adrienne Johnson	1	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Shannon Johnson	1	0%	6	83%	1	150%	0	0%
Taj McWilliams-Franklin	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Wendy Palmer	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Lobo	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Debbie Black	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Douglas	1	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	5	0%	49	57%	2	150%	0	0%