WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Miami Sol	56		Excitement	8.3 [25]		MVP	Ruth Riley (MIA): +99.1%
Detroit Shock	55		Comeback	203.1 [1]		LVP	Sheri Sam (MIA): -27.3%

Miami Sol
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruth Riley	0.99	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.99	0.06	0.94	0.01	6	67%	1.06	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.26
Elena Baranova	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07	-0.00	0.07	0.00	4	60%	0.16	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Debbie Black	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sandy Brondello	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	14	47%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marla Brumfield	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristen Rasmussen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Reid	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	6	40%	0.08	2	-0.13	3	67%	0.03
Sheri Sam	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.27	-0.10	-0.19	-0.01	9	20%	-0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Detroit Shock
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dominique Canty	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,0.19	0.19	-0.04	0.24	0.00	3	25%	0.34	1	-0.15	2	100%	0.16
Astou Ndiaye-Diatta	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.04	0.01	13	58%	0.19	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
Elena Tornikidou	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deanna Nolan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	8	44%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wendy Palmer	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	44%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.06
Rachael Sporn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Claudia Neves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Barbara Farris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Edwina Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	62%	0.05	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Jae Kingi-Cross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	4	0%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	DET	WNBA	MIA	DET	WNBA
this game	19.4	18.1	17.0	88.9	84.6	92.0
season	18.4	16.3		88.8	90.0
opponent	17.3	17.6		96.9	87.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	18.4	20.7	18.7	20.0	19.4
DET	16.4	16.3	21.3	18.7	18.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIA	0%	72%	25%	3.8%	0.0%	44.7%	23.1%	50.0%
DET	0%	71%	25%	3.8%	0.0%	48.6%	15.4%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Miami Sol
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ruth Riley	0	0%	5	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Elena Baranova	0	0%	1	100%	2	0%	1	100%
Debbie Black	0	0%	6	67%	2	50%	0	0%
Sandy Brondello	0	0%	12	42%	2	50%	0	0%
Marla Brumfield	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristen Rasmussen	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Tracy Reid	0	0%	4	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Sheri Sam	0	0%	6	17%	2	0%	1	0%
Sol	0	0%	38	45%	13	23%	2	50%

Detroit Shock
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Dominique Canty	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	1	0%
Astou Ndiaye-Diatta	0	0%	11	64%	2	0%	0	0%
Elena Tornikidou	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Deanna Nolan	0	0%	4	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Wendy Palmer	0	0%	8	37%	2	50%	1	100%
Rachael Sporn	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Claudia Neves	0	0%	2	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Barbara Farris	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Edwina Brown	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Jae Kingi-Cross	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Shock	0	0%	37	49%	13	15%	2	50%