WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	72		Excitement	13.5 [2]		MVP	Helen Luz (WAS): +15.1%
Seattle Storm	69		Comeback	2.4 [96]		LVP	Chamique Holdsclaw (WAS): -69.1%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Helen Luz	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	7	69%	0.16	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Audrey Sauret	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	6	54%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.02
Murriel Page	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.20	1	-0.14	2	0%	-0.12
Annie Burgess	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cass Bauer-Bilodeau	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikki McCray	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	17	53%	0.26	6	-0.31	4	100%	0.02
Tausha Mills	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vicky Bullett	-0.47	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.36,-0.42,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47	-0.18	-0.30	-0.01	12	19%	-0.29	3	-0.18	3	67%	-0.01
Chamique Holdsclaw	-0.69	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35,-0.41,-0.54,-0.63,-0.68,-0.68,-0.74,-0.73,-0.73,-0.73,-0.73,-0.73,-0.73,-0.69	-0.19	-0.50	-0.00	19	31%	-0.43	5	-0.26	10	50%	-0.12

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Lovelace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Semeka Randall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.39,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.12,0.09,0.05,-0.05,-0.2,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.05	-0.00	21	38%	0.29	4	-0.32	0	0%	0.00
Simone Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.04	0.05	7	61%	0.05	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.03
Lauren Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.06	29	40%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Sonja Henning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	0.00	1	75%	0.04	1	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Jamie Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kamila Vodichkova	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	10	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charmin Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michelle Marciniak	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45	-0.45	-0.17	-0.31	-0.03	11	9%	-0.33	2	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SEA	WNBA	WAS	SEA	WNBA
this game	18.2	20.2	17.0	75.0	75.0	92.0
season	16.2	18.8		84.0	87.1
opponent	16.7	17.7		92.3	90.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.1	15.0	15.9	24.6	18.2
SEA	18.6	23.7	17.7	19.9	20.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	46%	47%	6.8%	0.0%	55.9%	25.7%	20.0%
SEA	4%	55%	30%	11.0%	87.5%	35.0%	22.2%	40.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Helen Luz	0	0%	1	150%	5	60%	1	0%
Audrey Sauret	0	0%	4	50%	1	100%	1	0%
Murriel Page	0	0%	7	57%	2	50%	1	100%
Annie Burgess	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Cass Bauer-Bilodeau	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Nikki McCray	0	0%	7	57%	10	40%	0	0%
Tausha Mills	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Vicky Bullett	0	0%	5	30%	6	0%	1	0%
Chamique Holdsclaw	0	0%	8	62%	10	0%	1	0%
Mystics	0	0%	34	56%	35	26%	5	20%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Stacey Lovelace	0	0%	2	125%	1	0%	0	0%
Semeka Randall	0	0%	8	37%	8	25%	5	60%
Simone Edwards	2	100%	2	50%	2	50%	1	0%
Lauren Jackson	1	150%	17	41%	9	22%	2	50%
Sonja Henning	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Jamie Redd	0	0%	2	0%	4	25%	0	0%
Kamila Vodichkova	0	0%	9	22%	1	0%	0	0%
Charmin Smith	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Michelle Marciniak	0	0%	7	14%	2	0%	2	0%
Storm	4	87%	50	35%	27	22%	10	40%