NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	106		Excitement	8.8 [207]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +39.4%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	14.7 [110]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -23.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.00	21	59%	0.42	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.11	0.01	23	60%	0.27	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Quinn Cook	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.02	5	92%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Bell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.14	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	36%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,-0.15	0.04	-0.19	0.00	8	70%	0.11	2	-0.25	4	25%	-0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	68%	0.15	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.05	0.03	6	85%	0.08	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.12,0.08,0.13,0.11,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.08	-0.00	24	46%	0.13	5	-0.12	8	75%	-0.01
Patrick McCaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	15	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,-0.23	-0.23	0.00	-0.23	0.00	16	53%	-0.16	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.1	2.8	34.3	15.4	26.6	3.4	33.2	146.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +98.6%

TOR -8.2%

TOR -9.5%

TOR -29.8%

TOR -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	TOR	NBA	GSW	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	14.3	112.8	109.4	109.3
season	13.4	14.3		114.5	111.5
opponent	14.5	15.0		105.9	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	14.2	15.1	15.0	14.6
TOR	16.4	13.0	17.6	16.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	59	62	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	-2	5	14.1	15.4	-1.33	15.5	16.1	-0.59
Shaun Livingston	32	29	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	-1	3	15.8	14.0	1.84	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Draymond Green	80	81	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.46	-2	3	-5	14.4	15.8	-1.40	15.8	15.4	0.37
Stephen Curry	80	81	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.46	-2	3	-5	14.4	15.8	-1.40	15.8	15.4	0.37
Klay Thompson	85	86	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.51	-6	7	-13	14.3	17.3	-3.03	15.6	16.6	-1.00
Kevon Looney	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	-3	7	14.1	14.9	-0.86	15.7	15.7	-0.07
Kevin Durant	22	25	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	-5	11	14.2	14.7	-0.48	16.8	15.3	1.42
Alfonzo McKinnie	5	5	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	-4	9	13.2	14.7	-1.47	14.6	15.8	-1.17
Quinn Cook	21	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	-3	7	15.5	14.3	1.13	16.5	15.4	1.06
DeMarcus Cousins	40	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	5	-9	15.5	13.9	1.57	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Andrew Bogut	4	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	3	-5	14.5	14.6	-0.10	15.4	15.7	-0.33
Jordan Bell	7	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.03	-3	4	-7	18.6	14.3	4.30	18.6	15.5	3.09

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	24	22	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.36	6	-7	13	17.1	15.2	1.83	15.6	14.3	1.36
Patrick McCaw	4	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	2	-5	5.2	16.2	-10.91	16.0	14.6	1.43
Serge Ibaka	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	4	-9	15.3	15.9	-0.62	16.1	13.8	2.32
Pascal Siakam	69	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	4	-9	15.5	16.1	-0.61	14.9	14.0	0.90
Marc Gasol	63	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.46	4	-5	9	15.9	15.3	0.62	13.8	16.1	-2.32
Kyle Lowry	84	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.50	4	-5	9	16.2	12.6	3.57	14.5	15.4	-0.94
Kawhi Leonard	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-2	3	15.7	15.5	0.24	14.3	16.2	-1.81
Fred VanVleet	52	53	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.35	-12	11	-23	16.5	14.7	1.81	14.6	14.6	0.02
Danny Green	69	67	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.87	5	-6	11	14.8	18.0	-3.24	14.4	15.2	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.53,0.75,0.93,0.77,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 71, CHA 69	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	92.0%
NYK 90, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.84,0.68,0.58,0	91.2%
IND 105, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.14,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.53,0.85,0.55,0.42,0	90.2%