inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 109 Excitement0.2 [1312] MVPKevin Durant (GSW): +11.6%
Golden State Warriors 146 Comeback0.1 [1310] LVPRyan Arcidiacono (CHI): -5.5%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach LaVine0.060,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.120.010.061674%0.095-0.02786%0.00
Bobby Portis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.090.000.07773%0.021-0.00887%0.01
Antonio Blakeney0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.070.000.07767%0.0100.00475%-0.01
Chandler Hutchison0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03743%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Lauri Markkanen0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00844%0.0100.002100%0.01
Cristiano Felicio0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Kris Dunn-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07930%0.001-0.00250%-0.00
Wayne Selden-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03623%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Shaquille Harrison-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01275%0.003-0.014100%-0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04540%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Robin Lopez-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.030.000.04462%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.090.000.14483%-0.0500.004100%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.160.010.051179%0.1210.006100%0.01
Klay Thompson0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.230.000.121875%0.1100.00475%-0.01
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.150.010.081680%0.094-0.023100%0.00
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.00662%0.0600.0010%-0.01
Quinn Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.041168%0.0410.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0210.001100%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01467%0.0110.01475%-0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.01150%0.0200.002100%0.01
Marcus Derrickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01856%0.0010.00250%0.00
Jordan Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.050.000.061062%-0.001-0.001100%-0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02350%0.012-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.527.715.332.42.424.6132.0
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +30.6%
GSW +12.4%
GSW +3.0%
GSW +2.4%
GSW +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIGSWNBACHIGSWNBA
this game14.613.514.3106.9141.7109.3
season14.613.4104.2114.5
opponent15.014.3108.9112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.614.113.014.714.6
GSW12.212.613.615.913.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robin Lopez28300.01-0.510.51-0.2910-475713.615.0-1.3514.013.30.64
Cristiano Felicio16170.00-0.500.500.000-373713.914.7-0.7716.612.93.68
Antonio Blakeney2626-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-363513.714.9-1.1516.112.63.48
Shaquille Harrison3839-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-353313.815.0-1.1913.713.40.37
Wayne Selden4343-0.09-0.410.32-0.214-414514.514.7-0.2115.512.13.35
Ryan Arcidiacono5050-0.11-0.390.27-0.296-434914.814.40.3415.112.13.00
Bobby Portis3736-0.17-0.330.170.51-23-14-914.114.9-0.8414.013.30.75
Chandler Hutchison6060-0.33-0.17-0.160.23-19-18-114.914.20.6814.312.32.00
Wendell Carter Jr.4040-0.36-0.14-0.220.82-403-4314.714.50.2711.514.8-3.25
Kris Dunn5455-0.43-0.07-0.360.89-458-5314.814.40.4412.314.9-2.63
Zach LaVine6060-0.43-0.07-0.370.62-36-1-3515.313.61.6511.616.1-4.51
Lauri Markkanen5859-0.44-0.06-0.390.70-392-4115.113.91.1911.616.0-4.42

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevon Looney51500.460.040.41-0.573523311.715.2-3.5015.513.71.75
Klay Thompson57570.450.050.40-0.433072311.815.6-3.7414.914.20.65
Stephen Curry62620.400.100.30-0.7439-24111.816.1-4.2914.614.50.10
Kevin Durant64630.390.110.28-0.8442-54712.615.1-2.5114.414.9-0.58
Draymond Green44460.380.120.25-0.3625121312.614.2-1.6114.914.40.51
Shaun Livingston19200.110.39-0.280.20-340-4313.513.5-0.0516.014.21.82
Jonas Jerebko41400.100.40-0.300.16-239-4116.111.84.2914.514.6-0.10
Andre Iguodala41410.090.41-0.32-0.09631-2514.013.20.7713.315.4-2.13
Quinn Cook39390.070.43-0.37-0.231027-1716.111.94.2114.614.6-0.04
Alfonzo McKinnie43410.050.45-0.390.14-340-4314.412.91.4714.514.6-0.09
Jordan Bell30280.000.50-0.49-0.26928-1916.012.53.4613.215.1-1.84
Marcus Derrickson24230.000.50-0.500.09-340-4315.912.83.0814.714.50.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 105, NYK 1320.5,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
MIA 84, UTA 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
ATL 67, LAL 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%