NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	8.6 [185]		MVP	Draymond Green (GSW): +32.1%
Golden State Warriors	89		Comeback	2.5 [239]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -32.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,0.2	0.05	0.15	0.01	23	52%	0.25	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Tristan Thompson	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	3	90%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mo Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	13	46%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	9	41%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	24	47%	0.02	5	-0.14	10	80%	0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.30	0.04	0.02	15	94%	0.37	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Festus Ezeli	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	17	41%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	6	29%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.33	-0.33	-0.07	-0.26	0.00	19	44%	-0.16	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	3.6	32.4	16.7	31.6	3.6	34.2	147.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +5.5%

CLE +23.3%

CLE +20.1%

CLE +0.3%

CLE +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	17.3	14.9	14.9	103.3	100.0	105.1
season	15.8	13.7		110.3	112.3
opponent	15.1	14.9		102.9	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.6	15.2	16.1	21.8	17.3
GSW	14.7	15.4	15.2	14.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	54	53	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.46	19	-15	34	17.7	16.6	1.03	15.4	14.2	1.25
Kyrie Irving	80	79	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.44	10	-6	16	17.0	18.9	-1.85	14.9	14.8	0.12
J.R. Smith	74	72	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	-3	10	17.1	18.0	-0.91	14.6	16.2	-1.57
LeBron James	88	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	0	4	17.2	17.5	-0.25	14.9	13.5	1.44
Tristan Thompson	61	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	2	0	17.3	17.2	0.07	14.7	15.4	-0.76
Richard Jefferson	48	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.21	-8	12	-20	17.6	16.9	0.70	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Mo Williams	9	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.01	-5	9	-14	15.2	17.5	-2.26	16.4	14.7	1.68
Iman Shumpert	36	36	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.05	-9	13	-22	17.5	17.1	0.36	14.8	15.0	-0.13

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	30	29	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.01	8	-12	20	15.2	14.8	0.44	18.3	16.8	1.51
Leandro Barbosa	8	10	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.01	5	-9	14	15.0	14.9	0.10	12.9	17.8	-4.90
Marreese Speights	10	8	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-7	10	14.6	14.9	-0.35	15.1	17.5	-2.34
Festus Ezeli	22	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	5	-14	15.6	14.7	0.96	16.8	17.4	-0.59
Anderson Varejao	16	16	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	5	-14	15.5	14.8	0.72	15.1	17.7	-2.67
Andre Iguodala	68	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-7	10	14.8	15.1	-0.30	17.4	16.7	0.65
Draymond Green	86	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	15.1	10.3	4.74	17.2	17.5	-0.25
Stephen Curry	73	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-1	-2	14.5	16.9	-2.47	17.2	17.4	-0.15
Harrison Barnes	53	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	2	-8	14.7	15.2	-0.57	18.7	14.9	3.83
Klay Thompson	79	80	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.45	-11	7	-18	15.0	14.5	0.46	17.1	18.7	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.52,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.42,0	91.8%
NYK 107, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.37,0.17,0.42,0	90.9%
ORL 94, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.47,0.54,0.23,0.42,0	90.8%