NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	6.5 [500]		MVP	Courtney Lee (MEM): +93.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	111		Comeback	9999+ [1312]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -32.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.45	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.45	-0.05	0.46	-0.04	17	54%	0.59	6	-0.14	7	86%	0.14
Carl Landry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Darren Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.01	11	69%	0.07	3	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01	0.11	-0.10	0.02	17	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	5	60%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.06	0.07	-0.11	0.01	12	61%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.93	0.93	0.10	0.88	0.04	9	76%	0.94	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.45	0.45	0.05	0.42	0.02	17	55%	0.47	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.03	0.04	5	110%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.01	1	0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.09	11	91%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.09,-0.32	-0.32	0.03	-0.29	0.06	13	50%	-0.32	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	35.0	15.8	29.8	2.0	37.5	146.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +99.7%

SAC -35.7%

SAC -22.2%

MEM +5.5%

MEM +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	15.1	114.6	120.7	104.2
season	14.9	15.9		103.7	103.8
opponent	15.2	14.8		100.8	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.1	14.8	18.5	16.9	15.7
MEM	15.8	14.6	14.9	14.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	76	73	0.44	-0.94	1.38	0.15	10	-11	21	14.6	19.6	-5.02	15.1	14.4	0.73
Nik Stauskas	19	19	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.58	-7	6	-13	20.7	14.4	6.24	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Reggie Evans	24	22	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.20	-6	5	-11	19.0	14.6	4.49	12.6	15.7	-3.04
Ramon Sessions	19	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.27	-9	8	-17	20.7	14.4	6.24	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Omri Casspi	17	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.28	-11	10	-21	14.8	15.9	-1.04	13.0	15.3	-2.32
Carl Landry	50	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.63	-23	22	-45	16.7	14.5	2.22	13.4	16.6	-3.24
DeMarcus Cousins	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.98	19	-20	39	14.5	17.9	-3.41	16.2	12.5	3.66
Rudy Gay	79	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.75	10	-11	21	15.9	14.8	1.04	15.3	13.0	2.32
Darren Collison	77	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.75	8	-9	17	14.4	20.7	-6.24	15.1	14.4	0.73
Jason Thompson	56	53	-0.93	0.43	-1.35	-1.10	6	-7	13	14.6	17.1	-2.52	15.9	13.7	2.22

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	34	33	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.39	20	-19	39	13.6	15.7	-2.06	16.0	15.5	0.49
Zach Randolph	66	70	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.83	4	-3	7	15.1	14.6	0.51	15.2	17.0	-1.81
Courtney Lee	69	73	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.30	15	-14	29	14.5	16.3	-1.75	15.8	15.3	0.55
Mike Conley	74	77	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.30	13	-12	25	14.6	16.2	-1.52	16.2	13.4	2.88
Marc Gasol	72	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.59	-2	3	-5	15.3	13.7	1.59	15.5	16.4	-0.95
Kosta Koufos	20	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.12	3	-2	5	13.7	15.3	-1.59	17.1	15.3	1.82
Jon Leuer	26	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	2	-3	14.6	15.1	-0.51	17.0	15.2	1.81
Quincy Pondexter	15	18	-0.14	0.65	-0.79	0.00	-5	6	-11	15.0	14.9	0.06	14.6	15.9	-1.31
Beno Udrih	18	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.18	-12	13	-25	16.2	14.6	1.52	13.4	16.2	-2.88
Tayshaun Prince	20	21	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.25	-20	21	-41	17.2	14.3	2.88	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Tony Allen	46	48	-0.59	1.09	-1.69	-0.30	-10	11	-21	15.6	14.3	1.24	15.7	15.7	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.72,1	91.0%
WAS 117, GSW 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.22,0.28,1	90.9%
MIA 96, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.14,0.04,0.07,0.19,0.21,0.43,0.72,1	90.8%