NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	7.7 [304]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +64.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Comeback	174.4 [10]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -38.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	22	40%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.02	12	64%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	89%	0.19	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	20	53%	0.08	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.39	-0.08	-0.32	-0.02	16	46%	0.11	5	-0.49	5	80%	0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.64	0.64	0.15	0.51	0.01	23	61%	0.75	4	-0.11	16	87%	0.23
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	5	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	57%	0.04	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	0.06	22	48%	-0.05	2	-0.05	12	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.4	3.0	34.1	19.6	28.5	3.5	38.8	164.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -30.3%

OKC +58.4%

LAC -11.7%

OKC +37.6%

LAC -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	15.5	14.0	15.1	107.2	107.1	105.2
season	14.3	14.4		111.0	107.8
opponent	15.4	15.4		102.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.1	14.7	15.6	18.1	15.5
OKC	12.5	14.7	15.7	13.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	35	37	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.32	-1	0	-1	16.7	14.9	1.74	16.4	12.6	3.82
Danny Granger	23	22	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.17	-1	0	-1	16.2	15.3	0.88	14.8	13.8	1.00
JJ Redick	48	51	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.42	17	-18	35	14.6	16.4	-1.78	14.5	13.5	0.94
Ryan Hollins	1	1	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-1	1	0.0	15.7	-15.71	10.0	14.0	-4.04
Jared Dudley	2	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	1	-3	2.0	15.8	-13.83	2.0	14.1	-12.12
Chris Paul	77	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.60	11	-12	23	16.5	11.9	4.59	14.2	13.0	1.24
Darren Collison	23	23	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	14	-29	13.8	16.1	-2.31	12.8	14.4	-1.53
Matt Barnes	87	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	1	-3	15.4	17.0	-1.62	14.1	12.9	1.23
Glen Davis	40	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.51	-2	1	-3	15.3	15.7	-0.46	11.8	15.5	-3.71
Jamal Crawford	62	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.39	-10	9	-19	15.4	15.9	-0.53	13.8	14.4	-0.66
Blake Griffin	87	87	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.69	0	-1	1	16.0	11.9	4.07	13.9	15.2	-1.33

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	63	63	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.51	13	-12	25	13.0	15.8	-2.84	15.6	15.5	0.12
Serge Ibaka	57	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.56	-1	2	-3	14.5	13.2	1.30	16.7	13.8	2.97
Caron Butler	35	35	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-6	13	14.4	13.8	0.58	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Kevin Durant	87	87	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	-1	3	14.0	13.6	0.41	15.3	17.4	-2.07
Russell Westbrook	87	87	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.58	-6	7	-13	14.1	13.3	0.82	15.3	17.5	-2.18
Thabo Sefolosha	39	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	6	-11	14.6	13.6	0.98	14.4	16.2	-1.80
Derek Fisher	15	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	-1	3	13.2	14.1	-0.94	17.0	15.3	1.68
Kendrick Perkins	45	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	3	-5	14.2	13.8	0.45	16.1	15.1	0.98
Steven Adams	47	49	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.35	10	-9	19	14.4	13.6	0.86	15.4	15.7	-0.36
Perry Jones	1	0	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	4	-7	0.0	14.1	-14.14	0.0	15.5	-15.55
Nick Collison	14	13	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	13	-25	12.5	14.2	-1.75	14.8	15.7	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.2,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.23,1	90.8%
CLE 90, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.15,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.16,1	89.3%
MIN 107, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.41,1	89.1%