NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	122		Excitement	14.3 [6]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +70.8%
Houston Rockets	120		Comeback	80.3 [9]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -33.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.71	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.71	0.15	0.58	0.03	19	62%	0.73	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.15
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.36	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.25,0.09,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.36,0.36	0.17	0.20	0.02	31	61%	0.72	3	-0.36	13	77%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.11	0.00	10	70%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	7	33%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Will Barton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Freeland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Dorell Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.06	-0.15	-0.01	16	47%	-0.10	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.19	0.19	-0.03	0.19	-0.02	21	46%	0.24	2	-0.05	17	53%	-0.03
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	11	56%	0.17	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	42%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.08
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.01	8	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08	-0.08	0.06	-0.16	-0.01	21	55%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0,-0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.13,-0.33	-0.33	-0.11	-0.23	-0.01	28	41%	-0.21	4	-0.12	10	80%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.1	3.4	34.1	18.6	31.5	3.6	51.4	3.4	26.4	199.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +112.1%

POR +6.0%

HOU -51.1%

HOU -20.0%

POR +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	14.5	15.1	116.2	111.1	105.2
season	15.1	14.3		109.6	109.5
opponent	15.2	14.8		105.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	14.8	17.6	16.1	14.2	12.6	15.4
HOU	13.4	13.7	14.6	15.8	15.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	85	87	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.51	9	-7	16	15.5	14.8	0.68	14.0	16.7	-2.67
Dorell Wright	26	27	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.89	-10	12	-22	16.6	14.9	1.63	12.0	15.4	-3.41
Damian Lillard	91	94	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-5	12	14.7	19.4	-4.62	15.1	10.9	4.21
Nicolas Batum	91	94	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	-1	4	14.9	18.2	-3.30	14.5	14.6	-0.06
LaMarcus Aldridge	86	90	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.18	17	-15	32	15.3	15.4	-0.08	15.1	11.7	3.42
Thomas Robinson	26	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.28	11	-9	20	17.0	14.8	2.24	15.6	14.1	1.48
Joel Freeland	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	5	-8	5.7	15.6	-9.97	12.0	14.6	-2.59
Will Barton	1	1	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	5	-8	2.0	15.5	-13.48	20.0	14.5	5.53
Mo Williams	51	54	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	8	-14	16.4	14.4	2.06	14.3	14.7	-0.44
Robin Lopez	65	63	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.26	-15	17	-32	15.3	15.4	-0.04	14.5	14.6	-0.14

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	1	-4	14.7	14.5	0.24	16.6	15.0	1.55
Jeremy Lin	67	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-7	12	14.6	14.4	0.17	16.3	13.8	2.43
Patrick Beverley	75	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	0	-2	15.4	12.5	2.97	14.8	16.8	-1.99
Dwight Howard	70	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	2	-6	15.0	13.7	1.29	14.8	16.4	-1.54
Terrence Jones	75	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	1	-4	13.9	16.0	-2.18	15.8	14.5	1.31
Francisco Garcia	38	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.60	6	-8	14	14.1	14.7	-0.64	15.1	15.5	-0.45
Chandler Parsons	97	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.4	15.4	-0.94	15.1	17.7	-2.65
James Harden	94	90	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.53	-7	5	-12	14.2	16.9	-2.77	15.3	15.5	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.54,0.85,0.55,0.33,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 121, NOH 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.79,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.91,0.46,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.73,0	89.3%
SAS 96, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.83,0.77,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	89.0%
POR 111, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.71,0.72,0.84,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.43,0.28,0	87.8%